Somalia vs Guinea: prediction & betting odds 5 September 2025

The Matchday 7 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Somalia and Guinea will take place on September 5 at the Nelson Mandela National Stadium in Kampala, Uganda. Somalia vs. Guinea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.


Somalia

In their last qualifier match, Somalia suffered a 0-3 defeat against Nigeria. This result extended their winless run in the qualifiers to six matches (2 draws, 4 losses). Currently, Somalia sits at the bottom of their group with only two points and will need to win their remaining matches to have a chance of advancing.


  • Somalia has not won in their last five home matches in World Cup qualifiers (3 draws, 2 losses).
  • The team has conceded at least two goals in each of their last five home matches in this tournament.
  • Somalia has failed to score in 4 of their last 6 home matches in World Cup qualifiers.

Guinea

Guinea secured a 2-1 victory over Sudan in their last qualifier match. This win marked their third consecutive victory in the qualifiers. Guinea is currently second in their group with 12 points, and a win in this match would significantly boost their chances of qualifying for the World Cup.


  • Guinea has not lost in their last five away matches in World Cup qualifiers (4 wins, 1 draw).
  • The team has scored at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches in this tournament.
  • Guinea has kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 away matches in World Cup qualifiers.

Somalia vs. Guinea: Match Prediction

Somalia has struggled in the qualifiers, especially at home, where they have found it difficult to score and secure points. On the other hand, Guinea has been in excellent form, particularly in their recent away matches. They have shown the ability to score consistently and defend well. Considering these factors, my prediction: Total under 3.5 goals

Somalia — Guinea betting tips 5 September 2025

The upcoming fixture will be Somalia’s third in 2025. They have already met Guinea in the current qualifying campaign for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, playing out a goalless draw, and that game showed that both sides struggled with chance conversion.

It appears that Somalia have almost no chance of reaching the World Cup finals. Ranked 200th in the FIFA Rankings with four rounds to go, they cannot qualify automatically, and they are 11 points off the second play-off spot. Somalia have only one point on the board, which came from that meeting with Guinea. Their last victory in any match came back in December 2019, when Somalia beat Burundi (1:0), who are now ranked 139th in the world.

Guinea sit much higher at 81st, but they are underperforming in this qualifying campaign and are second-bottom in Group G. They are six points clear of Somalia but they are five points adrift of Mozambique. It is obvious for Guinea that the home draw with the underdog was a missed opportunity. Now they must play away, albeit not in Somalia itself but at a neutral venue in Uganda.

This year Guinea have played five away matches and won only one, against Niger (1:0). That scoreline, or a goalless draw, has occurred in four of those fixtures, so we are confidently backing Total Under 2.5 and Double Chance. Somalia still have plenty of work to do before they can start winning again.

Betting prediction
Guinea to win or draw + Total Under 2.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
18/25
Bet now

Somalia vs Guinea Odds

CAF World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Somalia
25.03.25
Botswana
Somalia
L
21.03.25
Guinea
Somalia
D
10.06.24
Somalia
Botswana
L
07.06.24
Mozambique
Somalia
L
21.11.23
Somalia
Uganda
L
16.11.23
Algeria
Somalia
L
More matches
Guinea
25.03.25
Uganda
Guinea
L
21.03.25
Guinea
Somalia
D
10.06.24
Guinea
Mozambique
L
06.06.24
Algeria
Guinea
W
21.11.23
Botswana
Guinea
L
17.11.23
Guinea
Uganda
W
More matches

H2H: Somalia — Guinea

CAF World Cup
21.03.25
Guinea
Somalia

Group stage

WC Qualification Africa: Group G
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Algeria
  5:1 3:1 -:- 1:2 3:1 7 6 0 1
19:7
18
2
Mozambique
0:2   -:- 3:1 -:- 2:1 6 4 0 2
10:11
12
3
Botswana
1:3 2:3   -:- 1:0 2:0 7 3 0 4
10:11
9
4
Uganda
1:2 -:- 1:0   1:0 -:- 6 3 0 3
6:7
9
5
Guinea
-:- 0:1 -:- 2:1   0:0 6 2 1 3
4:5
7
6
Somalia
-:- -:- 1:3 0:1 -:-   6 0 1 5
3:11
1

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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