Match stats

Logo Tottenham Hotspur Logo Burnley
67 Ball possession (%) 33
16 Goal attempts 14
6 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked shots 3

Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley: prediction & betting odds 16 August 2025

The Premier League Matchday 1 encounter between Tottenham and Burnley will take place on August 16 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Tottenham vs. Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Tottenham

The Londoners finished 17th in last season's championship, marking the club's worst campaign since the formation of the Premier League. However, they managed to secure a trophy for the first time in 17 years by defeating Manchester United 1-0 in the Europa League final. Notably, Tottenham focused all their efforts on the European competition and succeeded, but in the Premier League, they ended the season with a seven-match winless streak (1 draw and 6 losses). During the offseason, they played six friendly matches, losing only once (2 wins and 3 draws). Subsequently, the team lost to PSG in the UEFA Super Cup (2-2, penalties 3-4).


In July, Thomas Frank took over as head coach, having previously worked with Brentford. The team also strengthened with the additions of forwards Mohammed Kudus and Mathys Tel, midfielder Joao Palhinha, and defenders Kevin Danso and Luka Vuskovic. Forward Son Heung-min and midfielder Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg left the club.

  • The club has not won in 11 of their last 12 Premier League matches (2 draws and 9 losses).
  • Both teams scored in 6 of Tottenham's last 8 league matches.
  • At home in the Premier League, the team has won only 2 of their last 14 matches (3 draws and 9 losses).

Predicted lineup for Tottenham (4-3-3)

Guglielmo Vicario – Djed Spence, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Pedro Porro – Lukas Bergvall, Joao Palhinha, Rodrigo Bentancur – Wilson Odobert, Dominic Solanke, Mohammed Kudus.


Defenders Destiny Udogie and Radu Dragusin, and midfielders James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski are currently sidelined due to injuries.

Burnley

Scott Parker took charge of the club in July last year and immediately returned them to the Premier League. The team finished second in the Championship, amassing the same points as Leeds (100). Notably, Burnley suffered only 2 losses in 46 matches in England's second-tier division, ending the season with a five-match winning streak. Additionally, the team conceded just 16 goals in the 2024/25 Championship. Over the summer, Burnley played five friendly matches, winning 2, drawing 1, and losing 2.


During the transfer window, goalkeeper James Trafford, defender CJ Egan-Riley, and midfielders Josh Brownhill and Han-Noah Massengo left the club. The team welcomed forwards Armando Broja and Lum Chauna, defenders Bashir Humphreys and Quilindschy Hartman, and midfielder Lesley Ugochukwu.

  • In their last 20 Premier League matches, the club has won only 2 (7 draws and 11 losses).
  • Both teams scored in Burnley's last 6 Premier League matches.
  • At least 3 goals were scored in 8 of the team's last 10 away games in the Premier League.

Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-2-3-1)

Etienne Green – Connor Roberts, Maxime Esteve, Joe Worrall, Lucas Pires – Josh Cullen, Josh Laurent – Hannibal Mejbri, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony – Ashley Barnes.


Defender Bashir Humphreys and forward Zeki Amdouni will miss the first round due to injuries. The participation of goalkeeper Martin Dubravka, midfielder Benson Manuel, and forward Zian Flemming is doubtful.

Referee

Michael Oliver (England)


Matches – 26 (Premier League, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 116;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 12%.

Tottenham vs. Burnley: Match Prediction

The London club disappointed last season, breaking all their negative records in the Premier League. I believe that Tottenham's style of play will not change drastically even with a new head coach. The team will need time to adapt to the coach's demands, so I do not expect the hosts to secure a confident victory in their first match, especially since they have only won once by more than 1 goal in their last 12 Premier League matches.


With Scott Parker's arrival, Burnley has significantly improved defensively. In the Championship, the team conceded far fewer goals than any other (an average of 0.35 goals per match), and both of their losses were by a narrow 0-1 margin. I predict that the team will focus on defensive tactics in the Premier League as well, preventing Tottenham from dominating in attack.


My prediction – Burnley with a handicap (+1.5)

Betting tips 16 August 2025

Tottenham Hotspur kick off the new Premier League campaign in revamped fashion – with a new head coach, a reshaped squad and ambitions of returning to the fight for the top places. For Burnley, this will be their first real test since winning promotion back to the top flight.

Last season was a domestic disaster for Tottenham: just 11 wins, 5 draws and 22 defeats saw them finish 17th, leading to the sacking of Ange Postecoglou despite a Europa League triumph. Thomas Frank’s first major test came instantly in the UEFA Super Cup against Paris Saint-Germain—a nightmare debut as his team collapsed from 2:0 up by the 84th minute, eventually falling 3:2 on penalties. The summer transfer window brought big changes: Son Heung-min’s departure was a major blow, but the arrivals of Mohammed Kudus, Luka Vušković and the permanent signings of Mathys Tel and Kevin Danso have added depth and quality. In pre-season, the team looked well-drilled, with four of their six matches finishing under 2.5 goals.

Burnley stormed through the Championship last term, finishing second with 100 points and just two defeats in 46 matches. Their success was built on solid defending and organisation under Scott Parker. However, the summer brought significant squad turnover, including the painful loss of goalkeeper James Trafford. Pre-season showed signs of rust, with three straight defeats—including setbacks against the likes of Warrington (2:3) and Stoke City (0:1).

With Tottenham strengthened and settled, and Burnley still adjusting and short on form, the hosts are well-placed to start with three points. However, given the defensive approach of both managers, this isn’t likely to turn into a goal fest.

Betting prediction
Tottenham Hotspur to win + Total Under 3.5
Cf
Odds
6/5
Bet now

Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley Odds

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Tottenham Hotspur
The team hasn't played a game yet this season
Burnley
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

H2H: Tottenham Hotspur — Burnley

Premier League 2023-2024
11.05.24
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
FA Cup 2023-2024
05.01.24
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
1
:
0
Premier League 2023-2024
02.09.23
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League 2021-2022
15.05.22
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
23.02.22
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League 2020-2021
28.02.21
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
26.10.20
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League 2019-2020
07.03.20
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
07.12.19
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
Premier League 2018-2019
23.02.19
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
15.12.18
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
Premier League 2017-2018
23.12.17
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
27.08.17
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
Premier League 2016-2017
01.04.17
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
18.12.16
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
Premier League 2014-2015
05.04.15
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
FA Cup 2014-2015
14.01.15
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
4
:
2
05.01.15
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
1
:
1
Premier League 2014-2015
20.12.14
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
Premier League 2009-2010
08.05.10
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
4
:
2
25.09.09
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
5
:
0
League Cup 2008-2009
21.01.09
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
3
:
0
0
:
2
OT
06.01.09
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
4
:
1
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3
Tottenham Hotspur
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 4:2 3
5
Nottingham Forest
1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7
Leeds United
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8
Fulham
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9
Chelsea
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10
Crystal Palace
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11
Brighton and Hove Albion
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12
Newcastle United
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13
Aston Villa
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14
Everton
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15
Manchester United
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16
Bournemouth
1 0 0 1 2:4 0
17
Brentford
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18
West Ham United
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
19
Burnley
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2
Tottenham Hotspur
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4
Nottingham Forest
1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5
Leeds United
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6
Chelsea
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7
Brighton and Hove Albion
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8
Aston Villa
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9
Manchester City
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10
Arsenal
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11
Fulham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12
Crystal Palace
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13
Newcastle United
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14
Everton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15
Manchester United
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16
Bournemouth
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17
Brentford
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18
West Ham United
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19
Burnley
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3
Fulham
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4
Crystal Palace
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
5
Newcastle United
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6
Sunderland
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7
Tottenham Hotspur
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8
Liverpool
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9
Nottingham Forest
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10
Leeds United
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11
Chelsea
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12
Brighton and Hove Albion
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13
Aston Villa
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14
Everton
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15
Manchester United
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16
Bournemouth
1 0 0 1 2:4 0
17
Brentford
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18
West Ham United
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
19
Burnley
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0 0 0 0 0:0 0

Team lineups

Tottenham Hotspur

Thomas Frank
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Guglielmo Vicario
gk. 0 0
Cristian Gabriel Romero
df. 0 0
Diop Tehuti Djed-Hotep Spence
df. 0 0
Micky van de Ven
df. 0 0
Pedro Porro
df. 0 0
Archie James Francis Gray
mf. 0 0
Lucas Erik Holger Bergvall
mf. 0 0
Mohammed Kudus
mf. 0 0
Pape Matar Sarr
mf. 0 0
Brennan Price Johnson
fw. 0 0
Richarlison
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Antonín Kinský
gk. 0 0
Ben Davies
df. 0 0
Kevin Danso
df. 0 0
Luka Vušković
df. 0 0
João Maria Lobo Alves Palhares Costa Palhinha Gonçalves
mf. 0 0
Rodrigo Bentancur
mf. 0 0
Dominic Solanke
fw. 0 0
Mathys Henri Tel
fw. 0 0
Wilson Serge Eric Odobert
fw. 0 0
Burnley

Scott Matthew Parker
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Martin Dúbravka
gk. 0 0
Hjalmar Ekdal
df. 0 0
Kyle Walker
df. 0 0
Maxime Fernand Christian Estève
df. 0 0
Oliver Sonne Christensen
df. 0 0
Quilindschy Hartman
df. 0 0
Hannibal Mejbri
mf. 0 0
Josh Cullen
mf. 0 0
Joshua Ishaele Jacob-Heron Hunt-Laurent
mf. 0 0
Jaidon Kya Denley Anthony
fw. 0 0
Lyle Brent Foster
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Max Weiß
gk. 0 0
Joseph Adrian Worrall
df. 0 0
Lucas Pires Silva
df. 0 0
Aaron James Ramsey
mf. 0 0
Lesley Chimuanya Ugochukwu
mf. 0 0
Zian Flemming
mf. 0 0
Jacob Bruun Larsen
fw. 0 0
Loum Tchaouna
fw. 0 0
Marcus Edwards
fw. 0 0
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