Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Portuguese Primeira Liga match.
Braga are still in the hunt for a spot in European competitions, but their inconsistency and a midweek defeat to AS Roma (0:3) cast doubt on their readiness for the upcoming match. Visiting them will be Famalicão, a solid mid-table side capable of challenging any opponent.
Braga
Braga currently sit in fifth place in the Primeira Liga, trailing the third spot by seven points. Their primary issue is the unreliable defence, particularly at home, where they've conceded 10 goals despite 7.7 xGA. In total, they have let in 13 goals, averaging one per match. Notably, Braga have kept just two clean sheets in their seven games at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Interestingly, in their last seven encounters with Famalicão, they managed to avoid conceding in only one instance.
Famalicão
Famalicão have suffered just three defeats in 13 matches this season, showcasing an organised defence that concedes only 0.9 goals per game. They consistently put up a fight, even against stronger opponents. In a recent match against Porto, the team held them to a draw (1:1), outperforming them on expected goals (1.1–0.88). Famalicão are also quite productive on the road, having scored in six out of their seven away games.
Braga vs Famalicão Prediction
Despite being favourites, Braga face defensive challenges and fatigue following their European exploits. Famalicão frequently find the net away, while the hosts struggle to defend on their home turf. Therefore, we would bet on Famalicão to score.
