Odds overview
Newcastle United are favourites at 2.08 to win, while a Coventry City win and a draw are available at around 3.40–3.65. In the main goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.65 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.20. Newcastle United Draw No Bet at 1.55 is shorter than Coventry City Draw No Bet at 2.45.
Why Newcastle United are favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Newcastle United are available at 2.08 to win, Coventry City at 3.40 and the draw at 3.65.
• The league positions support that assessment: Newcastle United are ninth in the Premier League, while Coventry City are 18th and in the relegation zone.
• The hosts have already suffered a heavy home defeat, losing 0:5 to Brighton & Hove Albion.
Form and Line-up Coventry City
Coventry City kept a clean sheet in their 1:0 win over Nottingham Forest in Matchday 5, but creating chances remains their main problem: the hosts average just 0.2 goals per match. No other team have scored as few. Yet Frank Lampard's side have created chances worth 4.98 xG.
The West Midlands side also concede an average of two goals per match, while their games produce a modest 2.2 goals on average.
- Coventry City's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Both of Coventry City's Premier League home matches this season have featured fewer than 9.5 corners.
- Fewer than 3.5 first-half goals have been scored in all five of Coventry City's Premier League matches this season.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Carl Rushworth, Stephen Mfuni, Bobby Thomas, Ethan Pinnock, Milan van Ewijk, Frank Onyeka, Matt Grimes, Jay Dasilva, Jack Rudoni, Loum Tchaouna, Brandon Thomas-Asante
Unavailable: Aurèle Amenda, Haji Wright, Josh Eccles, Luke Woolfenden (injured), Taiwo Awoniyi (suspended), Kaine Kesler-Hayden (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Newcastle United
After a 1:4 defeat away to Leeds United, Newcastle United responded immediately with a 2:1 home win over Hull City. A key factor was that the Magpies led the resilient newcomers 2:0 as early as the seventh minute. The win lifted Matthias Jaissle's side three places to ninth.
Newcastle United's matches are open affairs, producing a high average of 3.6 goals. They score and concede at the same rate — 1.8 goals per game.
- Newcastle United's opponents have been caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of the club's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Newcastle United have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Newcastle United's opponents have committed more than 10.5 fouls in 8 of the club's last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukáš Horníček, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Amar Dedić, Lewis Hall, Lewis Miley, Sean Sturr, Jacob Murphy, Matías Fernández-Pardo, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa
Unavailable: Anthony Elanga, Joelinton, Jacob Ramsey, William Osula, Tino Livramento, Dan Burn (injured)
The teams' chances
Coventry City are available at 3.40 to win, with fair odds of 3.57 and a 28.0% probability. The draw is available at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.83 and a 26.1% probability. Newcastle United are available at 2.08 to win, with fair odds of 2.18 and a 45.8% probability, making them favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City win | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.83 | 26.1% |
| Newcastle United win | 2.08 | 2.18 | 45.8% |
Total goals betting
At a 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.65 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.20. At a 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap betting
Newcastle United (-1.5) at 3.50 is shorter than Coventry City (-1.5) at 5.80. At the 1.5 handicap line, Newcastle United (+1.5) are shorter at 1.09 than Coventry City (+1.5) at 1.25. For the 1-goal line, Newcastle United (+1) at 1.11 are favoured over Coventry City (+1) at 1.38, while Newcastle United (0) at 1.55 are shorter than Coventry City (0) at 2.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.80 | -1.5 | 3.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| 5.10 | -1 | 2.85 |
| 1.38 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 2.45 | 0 | 1.55 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.58 is shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.30, making Yes the more likely outcome according to the odds.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.58 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
29/100
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
3/4
|
29/100
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines for this match: Coventry City at 1 goal and Newcastle United at 1.5 goals.
Coventry City team total goals
For Coventry City's team total, Under 0.5 at 3.20 is longer than Over 0.5 at 1.30; at the 1-goal line, Under at 2.25 is longer than Over at 1.60. At the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.55 is shorter than Over at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Newcastle United team total goals
For Newcastle United's team total, Under 0.5 at 4.60 is considerably longer than Over 0.5 at 1.14; at the 1-goal line, the odds are 3.25 and 1.30 respectively. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under at 1.88 and Over at 1.87. At the 2-goal line, Under at 1.42 is shorter than Over at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.25 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.88 | 1.5 | 1.87 |
| 1.42 | 2 | 2.65 |
