Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the US Open match.
When Aryna Sabalenka hits her stride like she has now, she becomes almost unstoppable. In this form, she bears a strong resemblance to Serena Williams at her peak, where her phenomenal serving and powerful groundstrokes leave opponents with no chance. Her performance at the Cincinnati tournament was particularly telling, as Sabalenka stormed through the competition to win the title decisively.
Sabalenka always prefers to serve first, and in the early rounds, underdogs rarely manage to break her serve. To surpass a total of 17.5, the match would need three breaks of serve.
Sabalenka’s opponent, Priscilla Hon, is currently more aligned with the level of ITF tournaments rather than the WTA circuit. At 26 years old, just making it through the qualifying rounds at the US Open is likely the peak of Hon's expectations at Grand Slam events. Therefore, a bet on total under seems more than justified.