Odds overview
Liverpool are clear favourites to win at 1.27, compared with around 6.60 for a draw and 9.40 for a LASK win. Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.35, while Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.93. In the handicap market, Liverpool (-1.5) at 1.69 looks more attractive than LASK (+1.5) at 2.08.
Why Liverpool are favourites
Liverpool are 1.27 to win, a draw is available at 6.60, and a LASK victory is quoted at 9.40.
- Liverpool beat Atlético Madrid (2:1) in their opening UEFA Champions League match, while LASK began with a 0:1 defeat to AEK Athens.
- LASK lost their most recent Austrian Bundesliga home match 0:2 to Rapid Wien, struggling badly in attack.
- The standard of the English league is not comparable to the Austrian Bundesliga, and Liverpool's squad is worth many times more than LASK's.
Form and Line-up LASK
After losing their UEFA Champions League opener to AEK Athens (0:1), a match in which the Austrians generated just 0.72 xG, LASK have also struggled in the domestic league — drawing with Hartberg (3:3) and losing to Sturm Graz (1:2) and Rapid Wien (0:2).
- LASK's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- LASK's opponents have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Fewer than 9.5 corners have been taken in 8 of LASK's last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (5-3-2): Lukas Jungwirth, Kasper Jörgensen, Alemão, Xavier Mbuyamba, Andres Andrade, Yvan Dibango, Robert Ljubicic, Christoph Lang, Sascha Horvath, Sasa Kalajdzic, Samuel Adeniran.
Absentees: George Bello, Moses Usor, Ramiz Harakaté (all injured).
Form and Line-up Liverpool
Liverpool lost at home to Manchester City (0:3) in the Premier League, but had previously beaten Bournemouth away (1:0) and knocked Tottenham Hotspur out of the EFL Cup (3:1). In the UEFA Champions League, Iraola's side opened with a win over Atlético Madrid (2:1), coming back from 0:1 down.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Liverpool's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- Liverpool's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- More than 8.5 corners have been taken in 9 of Liverpool's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Alisson, Ronald Araújo, Virgil van Dijk, Jérémy Jacquet, Milos Kerkez, Florian Wirtz, Alexis Mac Allister, Bradley Barcola, Florian Wirtz, Rio Ngumoha, Lewis Koumas.
Absentees: Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak, Giovanni Leoni, Dominik Szoboszlai (all injured).
The teams' chances
A LASK win is offered at 9.40, with fair odds of 9.83 and a probability of 10.2%; the corresponding figures for a draw are 6.60, 6.90 and 14.5%. A Liverpool win is quoted at 1.27, with fair odds of 1.33 and a probability of 75.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| LASK to win | 9.40 | 9.83 | 10.2% |
| Draw | 6.60 | 6.90 | 14.5% |
| Liverpool to win | 1.27 | 1.33 | 75.3% |
Total goals betting analysis
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.93, compared with 1.35 for Over 2.5; at a line of 2 goals, the respective odds are 4.85 and 1.13. Under 3.5 goals is quoted at 1.83 and Over 3.5 at 1.91, suggesting a closely balanced market with a slight edge for the under.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.93 | 1.35 |
| 2 | 4.85 | 1.13 |
| 3.5 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
Both teams to score betting analysis
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.70 and No at 2.08; the market expects goals from both sides.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.08 |
Handicap betting analysis
LASK (+1.5) is available at 2.08, while Liverpool (-1.5) is offered at 1.69; the odds favour the Liverpool option.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | 1.5 | 1.69 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/1
|
17/100
|
2/25
|
| William Hill |
7/4
|
1/5
|
1/10
|
| 888sport |
7/4
|
1/5
|
1/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team-goals totals for this match: 0.5 goals for LASK and 2.5 goals for Liverpool.
LASK team goals
LASK team goals: Under 0.5 is 2.22, compared with 1.60 for Over 0.5; Under 1 is 1.45, compared with 2.65 for Over 1; Under 1.5 is 1.22, compared with 3.75 for Over 1.5. The market favours the unders by a considerable margin at the 1 and 1.5-goal lines.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.22 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 2.65 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.75 |
Liverpool team goals
Liverpool team goals: Under 0.5 is 7.90, compared with 1.03 for Over 0.5; Under 2 is 2.90, compared with 1.38 for Over 2; Under 2.5 is 1.92, compared with 1.82 for Over 2.5; Under 3 is 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Over 3. At the 2.5-goal line, the odds are almost equal, with a slight edge for the over.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.90 | 2 | 1.38 |
| 1.92 | 2.5 | 1.82 |
| 1.55 | 3 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches — 10 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.3;
Matches with red cards — 2 out of 10;
Matches with penalties — 3 out of 10.
