Odds Overview
Getafe are slight favourites in the 1X2 market: home win is around 2.45, the draw 2.85 and away win about 3.50. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.75. In the main handicap market, Getafe Draw No Bet at 1.62 is shorter than Deportivo Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Why Getafe Are Favourites
Getafe to win is available at 2.45, the draw at 2.85 and Deportivo to win at 3.50. The arguments for this assessment are:
Deportivo have had fewer shots than their opponents in each of their last 10 away matches.
Getafe are unbeaten in their last five home matches in all competitions.
Celta have not won away to Getafe in six consecutive matches.
Form and Line-up Getafe
In their latest La Liga home match, Getafe drew 1:1 with Celta, with Martin Satriano scoring the only goal in the 21st minute. The team continue to struggle to create clear-cut chances: Getafe's xG in the league's pre-match data is just 0.92, the third-lowest figure. The draw gave the hosts their fourth point; before that, they beat Racing (1:0) but lost twice — to Osasuna (0:1) and Alaves (0:3).
Key numbers:
Getafe have had no more than 4 shots on target in each of their last 10 La Liga matches.
In 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches, Getafe have attempted no more than 12 shots, including blocked efforts.
There have been no more than 3 goals in 9 of Getafe's last 10 La Liga home matches.
Probable Getafe line-up (5-3-2): David Soria — Saba Sazonov, Davinchi, Djene Dakonam, Nemanja Gudelj, Johan Mojica — Ramon Terrats, Orel Mangala, Mario Martin — Martin Satriano, Enes Unal.
Absentees: Christantus Uche, Juanmi, Abdel Abqar, Kiko Femenia, Francho Serrano (all injured), Zaid Romero (suspended).
Form and Line-up Deportivo La Coruna
In the previous round, Deportivo won 3:2 away to Villarreal despite their opponents having a substantial advantage in shots (8:17). Aubameyang was again the main man, with his goal against the Yellow Submarine his fourth of the season. Before that, the La Coruna side beat Valencia (3:1) and drew twice, with Malaga (1:1) and Elche (1:1).
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 La Liga away matches, Deportivo have had no more than 4 shots on target.
Deportivo have had no more than 12 shots, including blocked efforts, in each of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
In 8 of their last 10 La Liga away matches, Deportivo have scored no more than 1 goal.
Probable Deportivo La Coruna line-up (4-4-2): Leo Roman — Ximo Navarro, Lucas Noubi, Jose Maria Gimenez, Giacomo Quagliata — Luismi Cruz, Mario Soriano, Lorenzo Amatucci, Ricky Rodriguez — Bil Nsongo, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Absentees: Noe Carrillo (injured).
Team Chances
Getafe to win is available at 2.45; the fair odds are 2.56, with a probability of 39.1%. The draw is quoted at 2.85, with fair odds of 2.98 and a probability of 33.6%. Deportivo to win at 3.50 corresponds to fair odds of 3.66 and a probability of 27.3%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Getafe to win | 2.45 | 2.56 | 39.1% |
Draw | 2.85 | 2.98 | 33.6% |
Deportivo La Coruna to win | 3.50 | 3.66 | 27.3% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.40 compared with 2.75 for Over 2.5 goals, so the market strongly favours a lower-scoring match. Under 2 goals at 1.65 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.17. The gap is even wider on the 3.5 line: Under 3.5 goals is 1.11 and Over 3.5 goals is 5.30.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
2 | 1.65 | 2.17 |
3.5 | 1.11 | 5.30 |
Handicap Prediction
Getafe (-1.5) is available at 5.30, while Deportivo (-1.5) is 7.50. On the 1.5 handicap line, Getafe (+1.5) at 1.05 and Deportivo (+1.5) at 1.11 are shorter. For the -1 line, the odds are 4.20 for Getafe (-1) and 6.50 for Deportivo (-1); for the +1 line, they are 1.06 for Getafe (+1) and 1.17 for Deportivo (+1). Getafe Draw No Bet at 1.62 is shorter than Deportivo Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Home | Handicap | Away |
5.30 | -1.5 | 7.50 |
1.05 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
4.20 | -1 | 6.50 |
1.06 | 1 | 1.17 |
1.62 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.52 is considerably shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.45, meaning the market more often expects at least one team not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.45 |
No | 1.52 |
Double Chance Prediction
The shortest double-chance odds are for 1X at 1.30. The 12 option is available at 1.42, while X2 is 1.55.
1X | 12 | X2 |
3/10
|
21/50
|
11/20
|
Team Totals Prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Getafe — 1 goal, Deportivo La Coruna — 0.5 goals.
Getafe Team Total
Getafe team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.60 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.47. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.75 and Over 1 is 2.00. For the 1.5 total, Under 1.5 goals at 1.35 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.60 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
1.75 | 1 | 2.00 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Deportivo La Coruna Team Total
Deportivo La Coruna team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.10 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.70. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.45 is shorter than Over 1 at 2.65, while on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 at 1.22 is compared with 3.80 for Over 1.5.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.10 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
1.45 | 1 | 2.65 |
1.22 | 1.5 | 3.80 |
