Norway Women vs Italy Women: prediction & betting odds 16 July 2025

The Women's Euro 2025 quarter-final match between Norway and Italy will take place on July 16 at the Stade de Genève. Norway vs. Italy: prediction and betting odds, Euro 2025 match statistics.

Norway (Women)

The team confidently advanced to the quarter-finals from the top spot in Group A, winning all three matches. As a result, Norway achieved maximum points in the group stage of the European Championship for the first time in their history. Additionally, this is the first time in three European Championships that Norway has reached the playoffs. Notably, along with Germany, they conceded the most goals (5) among the teams advancing to the quarter-finals. Moreover, Norway has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 European Championship matches.


Among the Norwegian players, forward Signe Gaupset stands out as the top scorer for her team in this tournament (2 goals, 2 assists). Goalkeeper Cecilie Fiskerstrand also impressed, making 14 saves.


  • The team has conceded exactly one goal in regular time in 9 of their last 12 European Championship matches.
  • At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Norway's last 6 matches in this tournament.
  • Norway has scored at least twice in regular time in 4 of their last 6 European Championship games.

Predicted lineup for Norway (Women) (4-3-3)

Cecilie Fiskerstrand – Emilie Woldvik, Maren Mjelde, Mathilde Harviken, Tuva Hansen – Vilde Bøe Risa, Frida Maanum, Lisa Naeslund – Celin Ildhusøy, Elisabeth Terland, Signe Gaupset.


Defender Marit Lund will miss the match due to suspension.

Italy (Women)

The team finished second in Group B, earning four points from three matches. Italy has reached the European Championship playoffs for the first time since 2013. However, the team did not display high scoring prowess in the group stage, netting only three goals – the lowest tally among the quarter-final participants. Additionally, in their last ten European Championship matches, Italy has kept a clean sheet only once.


  • The team has not won in regular time in 5 of their last 6 European Championship matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
  • Italy has not scored more than one goal in 90 minutes in their last six matches in this tournament.
  • Italy has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in regular time in 7 of their last 10 European Championship matches.

Predicted lineup for Italy (Women) (4-4-2)

Laura Giuliani – Martina Lenzini, Cecilia Salvai, Elena Linari, Lisa Boattin – Elisabetta Oliviero, Manuela Giugliano, Arianna Caruso, Barbara Bonansea – Sofia Cantore, Martina Piemonte.

Referee

Stéphanie Frappart (France)


Matches – 6 (International matches, 2025);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.3;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 17%.

Norway (Women) vs. Italy (Women): Match Prediction

In this encounter, I anticipate an active attacking performance from both teams, as there are reasons to expect such a display. Norway impressed during the group stage, scoring eight goals in three matches – only three teams in the tournament have a higher tally. However, they did not exhibit defensive solidity, conceding five goals. Furthermore, Norway has allowed 14 goals in their last five European Championship matches.


Italy, although not showcasing a bright offensive game in the group stage, managed to score in each of their three matches, finding the net against Spain, Belgium, and Portugal. Additionally, Italy has breached their opponents' defense in 10 of their last 11 European Championship encounters. Meanwhile, Italy often makes defensive errors, conceding 19 goals in their last ten European Championship matches.


My prediction: Both teams to score – Yes

Norway Women — Italy Women betting tips 16 July 2025

The opening knockout round of the Women’s Euro features a clash between Norway and Italy. Norway emerged from Group A as leaders with a perfect record, while Italy only just scraped through Group B. Despite that, it is Italy who come into this tie as favourites — but is that justified?

The FIFA rankings show little to separate the two sides: Italy are currently 13th, while Norway are just behind in 16th. However, rankings alone rarely tell the full story. Norway may not have faced the toughest opposition in the group stage, but they still managed to win all three matches — albeit by slim margins. Notably, they failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those games, with both teams scoring and Total Over 1.5 landing in every fixture. Does Italy’s group stage form show similar trends?

Italy managed only three goals in the group stage, compared to Norway’s tally of eight. However, the both teams to score market landed in two of Italy’s three matches — a 1:1 draw with Portugal and a 1:3 loss to Spain. Their only win came against Belgium, and even that was a narrow 1:0 result. It's surprising, then, that they’re considered the frontrunners here.

Looking at recent head-to-heads, the teams have faced off three times in the 2020s. Two of those encounters ended in draws (0:0 and 1:1), while the earliest, during the 2022 Algarve Cup, saw Italy edge a 2:1 victory. In their latest outing, Norway were reduced to ten players against Iceland after Marit Lund, a key member of the defence, was sent off. Her suspension could give Italy more opportunities in front of goal.

Betting prediction
Both Teams to Score – Yes
Cf
Odds
91/100
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Norway Women vs Italy Women Odds

Women Euro: previous matches in the tournament

Norway Women
10.07.25
Norway Women
Iceland Women
W
06.07.25
Norway Women
Finland Women
W
02.07.25
Switzerland Women
Norway Women
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Italy Women
11.07.25
Italy Women
Spain Women
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07.07.25
Portugal Women
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03.07.25
Belgium Women
Italy Women
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Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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