The Matchday 16 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between Peru and Ecuador will take place on June 11 at the Nacional Stadium in Lima. Peru vs. Ecuador: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee
Andres Rojas (Colombia)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 33%.
Predicted lineups for Peru vs. Ecuador
Peru (4-2-3-1): Pedro Gallese – Luis Advincula, Carlos Zambrano, Alexander Callens, Miguel Trauco – Renato Tapia, Pedro Aquino – Edison Flores, Christian Cueva, Andre Carrillo – Gianluca Lapadula.
Ecuador (4-4-2): Alexander Dominguez – Angelo Preciado, Robert Arboleda, Piero Hincapie, Pervis Estupinan – Angel Mena, Moises Caicedo, Carlos Gruezo, Gonzalo Plata – Enner Valencia, Michael Estrada.
Peru
In their last outing, Peru managed a 1-1 draw against Colombia, extending their unbeaten streak in the qualifiers to three matches (1 win, 2 draws). Despite not having the strongest attack, Peru has been resilient defensively, conceding just two goals in their last three games. Currently sitting in fourth place, Peru needs to maintain their form to secure a direct spot in the World Cup.
- Peru has not lost in regular time in their last 5 home World Cup qualifiers (3 wins, 2 draws).
- They have not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in their last six home games in this tournament.
- The scoreline has included the number "1" at the end of regular time in 4 of Peru's last 6 home qualifiers.
Ecuador
Gustavo Alfaro's team comes into this match following a 2-0 victory over Bolivia. This win marked Ecuador's third consecutive victory in the qualifiers, all achieved without conceding a single goal. With a solid defense and a dynamic attack, Ecuador is currently second in the standings and is keen to secure their place in the World Cup with another win.
- Ecuador has not won in regular time in their last four away World Cup qualifiers (1 draw, 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Ecuador's last 7 away games in this tournament.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in regular time in 5 of Ecuador's last 7 away qualifiers.
Peru vs. Ecuador: Match Prediction
Both teams have shown strong defensive capabilities in recent matches, which suggests a low-scoring affair. Peru's home advantage and Ecuador's current form make this an intriguing encounter. However, given the teams' recent performances, a cautious approach is expected from both sides.
Considering all factors, I predict: Total under 2.5 goals
