Shelbourne narrowly got past Linfield, but Shelbourne may struggle against a much stronger European opponent like Qarabag.
Shelbourne will host the first leg due to their lower seeding. In the derby, a slim 1:0 home win was just enough to see them through against Linfield. Even in domestic competition, Shelbourne have been inconsistent, recording only two wins in their past five league fixtures — despite potentially benefiting from their spring-to-autumn calendar. This season, they have not lived up to the expectations typically set for a title contender.
Qarabag have been the dominant force in their domestic league, winning the league title for four consecutive seasons. Their most recent triumph came with an emphatic 15-point lead, dropping only three matches across the campaign. In European competition last year, the squad reached the winter stages, only being eliminated in the group phase of the UEFA Europa League.
In other fixtures, it might make sense to favour the team in mid-season rhythm, but in this case, the gulf in quality is simply too great to overlook. Qarabag look well placed to secure victory even on the road.