Arsenal vs Newcastle United: prediction & betting odds 18 May 2025

The Premier League Matchday 37 clash between Arsenal and Newcastle will be held on May 18 at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs. Newcastle: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.

Arsenal

The Gunners have failed to win in their last three Premier League matches, suffering a 1-2 defeat to Bournemouth and drawing 2-2 with both Crystal Palace and Liverpool. The team remains in second place in the league standings and can secure a spot in next season's Champions League with a victory in the upcoming match. Even a draw would suffice, as Aston Villa, currently sixth and outside the Champions League zone, would still trail Arsenal due to an inferior goal difference (currently by 26 goals).

  • Arsenal has won just one of their last six Premier League matches (4 draws and 1 loss).
  • Both teams scored in 6 of Arsenal's last 7 Premier League games.
  • No more than three goals were scored in 9 of Arsenal's last 12 league matches.

Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)

David Raya – Miles Lewis-Skelly, Ben White, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Martin Odegaard, Thomas Partey, Mikel Merino – Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard, Bukayo Saka.

Forward Gabriel Jesus and defenders Gabriel Magalhaes and Takehiro Tomiyasu will miss the match due to injuries. Midfielder Mikel Merino is suspended. The participation of forwards Leandro Trossard and Kai Havertz, as well as midfielder Declan Rice, is in doubt.

Newcastle

In the previous round, the team secured an important victory over Chelsea, defeating their closest competitor 2-0. Eddie Howe's side moved up to third place, three points ahead of Aston Villa, who are sixth. A win in this match would see Newcastle swap places with Arsenal. It's also worth noting that Newcastle has climbed to second in the Premier League for goals scored in the 2024/25 season with 68. Additionally, the team has won 7 of their last 9 Premier League matches (1 draw and 1 loss).

  • At least three goals were scored in 6 of Newcastle's last 8 league games.
  • Newcastle scored two or more goals in 6 of their last 8 Premier League matches.
  • The team did not concede in the second half in 6 of their last 7 league matches.

Predicted lineup for Newcastle (4-5-1)

Nick Pope – Sven Botman, Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Dan Burn – Jacob Murphy, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes – Alexander Isak.

Defender Matt Targett, forward Joelinton, and midfielder Lewis Hall will not play due to injuries.

Referee

Simon Hooper (England)

Matches – 23 (Premier League, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 105;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 22%.

Arsenal vs. Newcastle: Match Prediction

Both teams have strong motivations in the standings. This is particularly true for the visitors, who could see their chances of finishing in the Champions League zone diminish with a loss, while the Gunners can afford a draw. Arsenal also has a final match against Southampton, where they are unlikely to lose. Therefore, Eddie Howe's side will be more determined and eager to win.

Furthermore, Newcastle's current form is noticeably better. In their last nine Premier League matches, they have only lost to Aston Villa. That defeat is also their only loss in their last four away matches in the Premier League (2 wins and 1 draw). Meanwhile, Arsenal has not won in three consecutive home league matches (2 draws and 1 loss). Therefore, my prediction is "Newcastle win or draw".

Arsenal vs Newcastle United Odds

Current season

Logo Arsenal Logo Newcastle United
18 Wins 20
4 Lost 10
14 Draws 6
1.83 GF per game 1.89
0.92 GA per game 1.25
6.47 Corners per game 5.5
1.78 Yellow cards per game 1.78

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Arsenal
11.05.25
Liverpool
Arsenal
D
03.05.25
Arsenal
Bournemouth
L
23.04.25
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
D
20.04.25
Ipswich
Arsenal
W
12.04.25
Arsenal
Brentford
D
05.04.25
Everton
Arsenal
D
01.04.25
Arsenal
Fulham
W
16.03.25
Arsenal
Chelsea
W
09.03.25
Manchester United
Arsenal
D
26.02.25
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
D
22.02.25
Arsenal
West Ham United
L
15.02.25
Leicester City
Arsenal
W
02.02.25
Arsenal
Manchester City
W
25.01.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
W
18.01.25
Arsenal
Aston Villa
D
15.01.25
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
W
04.01.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal
D
01.01.25
Brentford
Arsenal
W
27.12.24
Arsenal
Ipswich
W
21.12.24
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
W
14.12.24
Arsenal
Everton
D
08.12.24
Fulham
Arsenal
D
04.12.24
Arsenal
Manchester United
W
30.11.24
West Ham United
Arsenal
W
23.11.24
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
W
10.11.24
Chelsea
Arsenal
D
02.11.24
Newcastle United
Arsenal
L
27.10.24
Arsenal
Liverpool
D
19.10.24
Bournemouth
Arsenal
L
05.10.24
Arsenal
Southampton
W
28.09.24
Arsenal
Leicester City
W
22.09.24
Manchester City
Arsenal
D
15.09.24
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
W
31.08.24
Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
D
24.08.24
Aston Villa
Arsenal
W
17.08.24
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
More matches
Newcastle United
11.05.25
Newcastle United
Chelsea
W
04.05.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Newcastle United
D
26.04.25
Newcastle United
Ipswich
W
19.04.25
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
L
16.04.25
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
W
13.04.25
Newcastle United
Manchester United
W
07.04.25
Leicester City
Newcastle United
W
02.04.25
Newcastle United
Brentford
W
10.03.25
West Ham United
Newcastle United
W
26.02.25
Liverpool
Newcastle United
L
23.02.25
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
W
15.02.25
Manchester City
Newcastle United
L
01.02.25
Newcastle United
Fulham
L
25.01.25
Southampton
Newcastle United
W
18.01.25
Newcastle United
Bournemouth
L
15.01.25
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
04.01.25
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
W
30.12.24
Manchester United
Newcastle United
W
26.12.24
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
W
21.12.24
Ipswich
Newcastle United
W
14.12.24
Newcastle United
Leicester City
W
07.12.24
Brentford
Newcastle United
L
04.12.24
Newcastle United
Liverpool
D
30.11.24
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
D
25.11.24
Newcastle United
West Ham United
L
10.11.24
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United
W
02.11.24
Newcastle United
Arsenal
W
27.10.24
Chelsea
Newcastle United
L
19.10.24
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
L
05.10.24
Everton
Newcastle United
D
28.09.24
Newcastle United
Manchester City
D
21.09.24
Fulham
Newcastle United
L
15.09.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Newcastle United
W
01.09.24
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
W
25.08.24
Bournemouth
Newcastle United
D
17.08.24
Newcastle United
Southampton
W
More matches

H2H: Arsenal — Newcastle United

League Cup 2024-2025
05.02.25
Newcastle United
Arsenal
07.01.25
Arsenal
Newcastle United
Premier League 2024-2025
02.11.24
Newcastle United
Arsenal
Premier League 2023-2024
24.02.24
Arsenal
Newcastle United
04.11.23
Newcastle United
Arsenal
Premier League 2022-2023
07.05.23
Newcastle United
Arsenal
03.01.23
Arsenal
Newcastle United
Premier League 2021-2022
16.05.22
Newcastle United
Arsenal
27.11.21
Arsenal
Newcastle United
Premier League 2020-2021
02.05.21
Newcastle United
Arsenal
18.01.21
Arsenal
Newcastle United
FA Cup 2020-2021
08.01.21
Arsenal
Newcastle United
0
:
0
2
:
0
OT
Premier League 2019-2020
16.02.20
Arsenal
Newcastle United
11.08.19
Newcastle United
Arsenal
Premier League 2018-2019
01.04.19
Arsenal
Newcastle United
15.09.18
Newcastle United
Arsenal
Premier League 2017-2018
15.04.18
Newcastle United
Arsenal
16.12.17
Arsenal
Newcastle United
Premier League 2015-2016
02.01.16
Arsenal
Newcastle United
29.08.15
Newcastle United
Arsenal
Premier League 2014-2015
21.03.15
Newcastle United
Arsenal
13.12.14
Arsenal
Newcastle United
Premier League 2013-2014
27.04.14
Arsenal
Newcastle United
3
:
0
28.12.13
Newcastle United
Arsenal
0
:
1
Premier League 2012-2013
18.05.13
Newcastle United
Arsenal
0
:
1
28.12.12
Arsenal
Newcastle United
7
:
3
Premier League 2011-2012
11.03.12
Arsenal
Newcastle United
2
:
1
12.08.11
Newcastle United
Arsenal
0
:
0
Premier League 2010-2011
04.02.11
Newcastle United
Arsenal
4
:
4
06.11.10
Arsenal
Newcastle United
0
:
1
Premier League 2008-2009
20.03.09
Newcastle United
Arsenal
1
:
3
29.08.08
Arsenal
Newcastle United
3
:
0
Premier League 2007-2008
28.01.08
Arsenal
Newcastle United
3
:
0
04.12.07
Newcastle United
Arsenal
1
:
1
Premier League 2006-2007
08.04.07
Newcastle United
Arsenal
0
:
0
17.11.06
Arsenal
Newcastle United
1
:
1
Premier League 2005-2006
09.12.05
Newcastle United
Arsenal
1
:
0
13.08.05
Arsenal
Newcastle United
2
:
0
Premier League 2004-2005
22.01.05
Arsenal
Newcastle United
1
:
0
28.12.04
Newcastle United
Arsenal
0
:
1
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
36 25 8 3 83:37 83
2
Arsenal
36 18 14 4 66:33 68
3
Newcastle United
36 20 6 10 68:45 66
4
Chelsea
37 19 9 9 63:43 66
5
Aston Villa
37 19 9 9 58:49 66
6
Manchester City
36 19 8 9 67:43 65
7
Nottingham Forest
36 18 8 10 56:44 62
8
Brentford
36 16 7 13 63:53 55
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
36 14 13 9 59:56 55
10
Bournemouth
36 14 11 11 55:43 53
11
Fulham
36 14 9 13 51:50 51
12
Crystal Palace
36 12 13 11 46:48 49
13
Everton
36 9 15 12 39:44 42
14
Wolverhampton Wanderers
36 12 5 19 51:64 41
15
West Ham United
36 10 10 16 42:59 40
16
Manchester United
37 10 9 18 42:54 39
17
Tottenham Hotspur
37 11 5 21 63:61 38
18
Ipswich
36 4 10 22 35:77 22
19
Leicester City
36 5 7 24 31:78 22
20
Southampton
36 2 6 28 25:82 12
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
18 14 3 1 41:15 45
2
Chelsea
19 12 5 2 35:18 41
3
Aston Villa
19 11 7 1 34:20 40
4
Manchester City
18 12 3 3 40:22 39
5
Newcastle United
18 12 2 4 40:19 38
6
Arsenal
18 10 6 2 34:17 36
7
Nottingham Forest
18 9 5 4 26:15 32
8
Brentford
18 9 4 5 38:32 31
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
18 7 8 3 27:24 29
10
Fulham
18 7 5 6 27:28 26
11
Bournemouth
18 7 4 7 21:16 25
12
Crystal Palace
18 5 7 6 20:24 22
13
Tottenham Hotspur
18 6 3 9 34:31 21
14
Everton
18 4 9 5 24:23 21
15
Manchester United
18 6 3 9 21:28 21
16
Wolverhampton Wanderers
18 6 2 10 26:31 20
17
West Ham United
18 5 5 8 22:32 20
18
Leicester City
18 3 3 12 13:34 12
19
Ipswich
18 1 4 13 13:41 7
20
Southampton
18 1 3 14 12:45 6
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
18 11 5 2 42:22 38
2
Arsenal
18 8 8 2 32:16 32
3
Nottingham Forest
18 9 3 6 30:29 30
4
Bournemouth
18 7 7 4 34:27 28
5
Newcastle United
18 8 4 6 28:26 28
6
Crystal Palace
18 7 6 5 26:24 27
7
Manchester City
18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8
Brighton and Hove Albion
18 7 5 6 32:32 26
9
Aston Villa
18 8 2 8 24:29 26
10
Chelsea
18 7 4 7 28:25 25
11
Fulham
18 7 4 7 24:22 25
12
Brentford
18 7 3 8 25:21 24
13
Everton
18 5 6 7 15:21 21
14
Wolverhampton Wanderers
18 6 3 9 25:33 21
15
West Ham United
18 5 5 8 20:27 20
16
Manchester United
19 4 6 9 21:26 18
17
Tottenham Hotspur
19 5 2 12 29:30 17
18
Ipswich
18 3 6 9 22:36 15
19
Leicester City
18 2 4 12 18:44 10
20
Southampton
18 1 3 14 13:37 6

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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