Match stats

Logo Atletico Madrid Logo Botafogo
61 Ball possession (%) 39
23 Goal attempts 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
12 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked shots 3

Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo: prediction & betting odds 23 June 2025

The Matchday 3 encounter of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Botafogo (Brazil) will be held on June 23 at the Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, USA. Atletico Madrid vs. Botafogo: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Atletico Madrid

The Spaniards bounced back from a heavy defeat to PSG in the first round by defeating Seattle 3-1 in their last match. These three points helped Diego Simeone's side level with PSG in the Group B standings. To advance to the playoffs, Atletico must not only beat the Brazilians but also improve their goal difference. Notably, Atletico has won 7 of their last 9 official international matches.

  • At least three goals have been scored in 14 of Atletico's last 15 UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup matches.
  • The team has conceded in 6 of their last 7 games in these tournaments.
  • At least one goal has been scored in both halves in 14 of Atletico's last 15 UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup matches.

Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (3-4-3)

Jan Oblak – Jose Maria Gimenez, Javi Galan, Robin Le Normand – Marcos Llorente, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Koke – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone.

Botafogo

The Brazilians caused a sensation by defeating PSG 1-0 in the last round. With two wins, Renato Paiva's team leads Group B, and they only need a draw in the upcoming match to advance to the Round of 16. The team is on a five-match winning streak in the Copa Libertadores and Club World Cup.

  • Botafogo has not conceded more than two goals in 7 of their last 8 official international matches.
  • The Brazilians have not drawn in their last 12 matches in the Copa Libertadores and Club World Cup (8 wins, 4 losses).
  • The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches in these tournaments.

Predicted lineup for Botafogo (4-4-2)

John Victor – Alex Telles, Vitinho, Jair Cunha, Alexander Barbosa – Allan Marques Loureiro, Gregory, Marlon Freitas, Leo Arthur – Jefferson Savarino, Igor Jesus.

Referee

Cesar Ramos (Mexico)

Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 50%.

Match Prediction: Atletico Madrid vs. Botafogo

The Spaniards find themselves in a tough spot. Atletico needs to win and score as many goals as possible. Diego Simeone's team will have to push forward, leaving gaps in their defense. However, the team's defense lacks reliability, having conceded 5 goals in this tournament already. Moreover, Atletico has kept only one clean sheet in their last seven UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup matches.

The Brazilians are unlikely to take risks. Renato Paiva's side can comfortably sit back and defend the draw, which would see them top the group and advance to the playoffs. Meanwhile, Botafogo is free to launch counterattacks, and in such a scenario, the South Americans could punish Atletico. The club has no issues with scoring, having found the net in 6 of their last 7 official international matches. In the last round, Botafogo even scored against PSG, who had not conceded for 336 minutes.

My prediction: Botafogo Individual Total Over 0.5

Betting tips 23 June 2025

Heading into the final round of the group stage, Atlético Madrid find themselves in a difficult situation — even a win might not guarantee a place in the knockout round. Their opponents, Botafogo, have exceeded expectations with a composed and confident campaign so far, highlighted by a stunning victory over Paris Saint-Germain that has left them on the verge of qualification.

Atlético Madrid are in desperate need of a convincing win, but after their heavy 0:4 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, even a 3:1 result against Seattle Sounders FC has done little to ease concerns about their defensive fragility. Across their two FIFA Club World Cup matches, the squad have allowed 32 shots in total, with 15 on target. Moreover, they have conceded in four of their last five fixtures. Problems persist in attack as well. Despite scoring three against Seattle Sounders FC, the squad’s primary attackers — Alexander Sorloth, Julián Alvarez, and Giuliano Simeone — have yet to open their accounts in the tournament.

Botafogo have impressed with their discipline and tactical organisation. In their match against Paris Saint-Germain, they maintained a compact shape and limited their opponents to very few chances (xGA of just 0.54). Over two games, the team have conceded only once, underlining their ability to contain even top-tier opposition. Offensively, they have been highly efficient, converting three goals from a combined xG of just 1.19.

Atlético Madrid will have no choice but to commit bodies forward, which could leave them vulnerable to counter-attacks. However, given their current issues with pressing and lack of sharpness in the final third, breaking down the disciplined defence of Botafogo may prove extremely challenging. Having already shut out Paris Saint-Germain, the squad should be capable of at least earning a draw — a result that would be sufficient to see them through to the knockout round.

Betting prediction
Botafogo to win or draw
Cf
Odds
63/50
Bet now

Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo Odds

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FIFA Club World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Atlético Madrid
19.06.25
Seattle Sounders FC
Atlético Madrid
W
15.06.25
PSG
Atlético Madrid
L
More matches
Botafogo
20.06.25
PSG
Botafogo
W
16.06.25
Botafogo
Seattle Sounders FC
W
More matches

Group stage

FIFA Club World Cup: Group B
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
PSG
  0:1 4:0 -:- 3 2 0 1
6:1
6
2
Botafogo
-:-   -:- 2:1 3 2 0 1
3:2
6
3
Atlético Madrid
-:- 1:0   -:- 3 2 0 1
4:5
6
4
Seattle Sounders FC
0:2 -:- 1:3   3 0 0 3
2:7
0

Team lineups

Atlético Madrid

Diego Pablo Simeone González
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Jan Oblak
gk. 0 0
Clément Lenglet
df. 0 0
Javi Galán
df. 0 0
Robin Le Normand
df. 0 0
Conor Gallagher
mf. 0 0
Marcos Llorente
mf. 0 0
Pablo Barrios Rivas
mf. 0 0
Rodrigo De Paul
mf. 0 0
Alexander Sorloth
fw. 0 0
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
fw. 0 0
Julián Alvarez
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Antonio Gomis Alemañ
gk. 0 0
Juan Musso
gk. 0 0
Axel Witsel
df. 0 0
César Azpilicueta
df. 0 0
Ilias Kostis
df. 0 0
Nahuel Molina Lucero
df. 0 0
Reinildo Mandava
df. 0 0
Javier Serrano Martínez
mf. 0 0
Koke
mf. 0 0
Rodrigo Riquelme
mf. 0 0
Samuel Dias Lino
mf. 0 0
Tom Lemaire
mf. 0 0
Antoine Griezmann
fw. 0 0
Carlos Martín Domínguez
fw. 0 0
Ángel Correa
fw. 0 0
Botafogo

Renato Manuel Alves Paiva
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
John Victor Maciel Furtado
gk. 0 0
Alex Nicolao Telles
df. 0 0
Alexander Nahuel Barboza Ullúa
df. 0 0
Jair Paula da Cunha Filho
df. 0 0
Victor Alexander da Silva
df. 0 0
Allan Marques Loureiro
mf. 0 0
Gregore
mf. 0 0
Marlon Rodrigues de Freitas
mf. 0 0
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
fw. 0 0
Jefferson David Savarino Quintero
fw. 0 0
Leo Artur
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Leonardo Matias Baiersdorf Linck
gk. 0 0
Raul Jonas Steffens
gk. 0 0
Bastos
df. 0 0
David Ricardo Loiola da Silva
df. 0 0
Kaio
df. 0 0
Luis Eduardo Soares da Silva
df. 0 0
Mateo Ponte Costa
df. 0 0
Danilo Barbosa da Silva
mf. 0 0
Newton
mf. 0 0
Santiago Mariano Rodríguez Molina
mf. 0 0
Álvaro Montoro
mf. 0 0
Arthur Cabral
fw. 0 0
Gonzalo Mathías Mastriani Borges
fw. 0 0
Joaquín Correa
fw. 0 0
Nathan Ribeiro Fernandes
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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