The Matchday 3 clash of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Botafogo (Brazil) will take place on June 23 at the Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, USA. Atletico Madrid vs. Botafogo: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atletico Madrid
The Spaniards bounced back from a heavy defeat against PSG in the first round by defeating Seattle 3-1 in their last match. These three points helped the Madrid side level with the Parisians in the Group B standings. To progress to the playoffs, Diego Simeone's men need to beat the Brazilians. Notably, Atletico has won 7 of their last 9 official matches at the international level.
- At least three goals have been scored in 14 of Atletico's last 15 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup.
- The team has conceded in 6 of their last 7 games in these tournaments.
- At least one goal has been scored in both halves in 14 of Atletico's last 15 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (3-4-3)
Jan Oblak – Jose Maria Gimenez, Javi Galan, Robin Le Normand – Marcos Llorente, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Koke – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone.
Botafogo
The Brazilians caused an upset by defeating PSG 1-0 in the last round. With two wins, Renato Paiva's side has taken the lead in Group B, and a draw in the upcoming match will be enough for Botafogo to advance to the Round of 16. The team is on a five-match winning streak in the Copa Libertadores and the Club World Cup.
- Botafogo has not conceded more than two goals in 7 of their last 8 official international matches.
- The Brazilians have not drawn in 12 matches in the Copa Libertadores and the Club World Cup (8 wins, 4 losses).
- The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches in these tournaments.
Predicted lineup for Botafogo (4-4-2)
John Victor – Alex Telles, Vitinho, Jair Cunha, Alexander Barbosa – Allan Marques Loureiro, Gregory, Marlon Freitas, Leo Arthur – Jefferson Savarino, Igor Jesus.
Referee
Cesar Ramos (Mexico)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 50%.
Atletico Madrid vs. Botafogo: Match Prediction
The Spaniards are in a tough spot. Atletico needs a win, which means they must score. Diego Simeone's side will have to push forward, leaving gaps in defense. However, their defense lacks reliability, having conceded 5 goals in this tournament. Furthermore, Atletico has only kept a clean sheet in one of their last seven matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup.
The Brazilians are unlikely to take risks. Renato Paiva's team can comfortably sit back in defense and protect the draw that will see them through to the playoffs as group leaders. However, Botafogo is free to counter-attack, and in such a scenario, the South Americans can punish Atletico, especially since the club has no issues with scoring: the Brazilians have scored in 6 of their last 7 international official matches. In the last round, Botafogo even breached PSG's defense, which had not conceded for 336 minutes.
My prediction: Botafogo individual total over 0.5
