Match stats

Logo Borussia Dortmund Logo Lille
43 Ball possession (%) 57
7 Goal attempts 9
1 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked shots 3

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille: betting odds 4 Mar 2025

The first leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 between Borussia Dortmund (Germany) and Lille (France) will take place on March 4 at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Borussia Dortmund

The German club successfully advanced from the previous round, virtually securing their place in the Round of 16 after a 3-0 away victory over Sporting. The return leg ended in a goalless draw, which snapped Borussia's nine-match scoring streak in the Champions League. Although the team had a chance to score, Serhou Guirassy missed a penalty. Notably, the forward had scored in five consecutive Champions League matches prior to this game. Dortmund has reached the Round of 16 for the third consecutive season.

  • At least three goals have been scored in 5 of the club's last 6 Champions League matches.
  • Borussia has not lost in 5 of their last 7 Champions League games (4 wins, 1 draw).
  • In 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament, the team has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)

Gregor Kobel – Daniel Svensson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Karim Adeyemi, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Emre Can – Serhou Guirassy.

Midfielder Felix Nmecha is injured.

Lille

Seventh place in the overall stage standings allowed Bruno Genesio's side to avoid the additional burden of playoff matches. The French team did not lose in 6 of their 8 matches in the main round (5 wins, 1 draw), scoring 17 goals, the third-best result among the top-8 clubs. However, Lille's defense lacked reliability, with the team conceding goals in six consecutive Champions League games. Notably, the club has reached the Round of 16 for the third time in its history but has never progressed further.

  • Both teams scored in Lille's last 6 matches in this European competition.
  • Away from home, the French team has not won in 5 of their last 7 Champions League matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
  • In 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament, the club has scored against opponents.

Predicted lineup for Lille (4-5-1)

Lucas Chevalier – Gabriel Gudmundsson, Alessandro, Bafode Diakite, Thomas Meunier – Ngalayel Mukau, Ayoub Bouaddi, Hakon Haraldsson, Remy Cabella, Nabil Bentaleb – Jonathan David.

Forwards Edon Zhegrova, Osame Sahraoui, and defenders Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos will miss the match due to injuries.

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez (Spain)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 14%.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille: Match Prediction

Niko Kovac's side did not concede a single goal in their encounter with Sporting, although the Germans had failed to keep a clean sheet in their previous three Champions League matches. It is worth noting that the Portuguese team had significant squad issues, which affected their attacking play. Borussia played four home matches in the main round of this tournament and only managed to shut out one opponent, Sturm, who scored fewer goals than just two other teams in the overall stage.

Lille failed to score against Sporting in the first round but then went on a seven-match scoring streak in the Champions League. Even defensive powerhouses like Liverpool, Juventus, and Atletico suffered against the French side during this stretch. Away from home in the Champions League, the club has scored in 10 of their last 12 matches. Therefore, I believe bookmakers underestimate the visitors' chances of scoring.

My prediction: Lille Individual Total Over 0.5

Betting tips 4 Mar 2025

Under Niko Kovač, Borussia Dortmund have made significant defensive improvements, giving fans hope for a strong finish to the season. The German side enter their Champions League Round of 16 tie against Lille as favourites. While the French side impressed during the group stage, they still have notable defensive vulnerabilities.

Since Edin Terzić’s departure, Borussia Dortmund have lost just twice in nine matches, and since 11 February, they have conceded only two goals in five outings – keeping four clean sheets in the process. Their recent Bundesliga form is particularly impressive, having demolished Union Berlin (6:0) and secured a comfortable away win at St. Pauli (2:0). Striker Serhou Guirassy has netted five goals in those two matches, while Borussia Dortmund generated a total of 6.39 xG. In the previous Champions League round, Sporting Lisbon managed just 1.04 xG across two legs against them.

Not having to play a knockout round playoff in the Champions League may have worked against Lille. After finishing the group stage, they suffered an embarrassing Coupe de France elimination to Ligue 2’s Dunkerque (1:2 on penalties) and were comprehensively beaten by Paris Saint-Germain on Saturday (1:4, conceding 3.59 xGA). While the coaching staff rested some key players ahead of the trip to Germany, Lille will be without Edon Zhegrova due to injury – a major blow, as the winger has been one of their most creative attacking outlets.

Borussia Dortmund are expected to seize control of the tie on home soil. Lille have shown defensive weaknesses, and with Serhou Guirassy and Karim Adeyemi in fine form, the German side should take full advantage.

Betting prediction
Borussia Dortmund to win
Cf
Odds
13/20
Bet now

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS

Champions League: previous matches in the tournament

Borussia Dortmund
19.02.25
Borussia Dortmund
Sporting CP
D
11.02.25
Sporting CP
Borussia Dortmund
W
29.01.25
Borussia Dortmund
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
21.01.25
Bologna
Borussia Dortmund
L
11.12.24
Borussia Dortmund
Barcelona
L
27.11.24
Dinamo Zagreb
Borussia Dortmund
W
05.11.24
Borussia Dortmund
Sturm Graz
W
22.10.24
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
L
01.10.24
Borussia Dortmund
Celtic
W
18.09.24
Brugge
Borussia Dortmund
W
More matches
Lille
29.01.25
Lille
Feyenoord
W
21.01.25
Liverpool
Lille
L
11.12.24
Lille
Sturm Graz
W
27.11.24
Bologna
Lille
W
05.11.24
Lille
Juventus
D
23.10.24
Atlético Madrid
Lille
W
02.10.24
Lille
Real Madrid
W
17.09.24
Sporting CP
Lille
L
28.08.24
Slavia Prague
Lille
L
20.08.24
Lille
Slavia Prague
W
13.08.24
Fenerbahce
Lille
1
:
0
0
:
1
OT
L
06.08.24
Lille
Fenerbahce
W
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
8 7 0 1 17:5 21
2
Barcelona
8 6 1 1 28:13 19
3
Arsenal
8 6 1 1 16:3 19
4
Inter Milan
8 6 1 1 11:1 19
5
Atlético Madrid
8 6 0 2 20:12 18
6
Bayer 04
8 5 1 2 15:7 16
7
Lille
8 5 1 2 17:10 16
8
Aston Villa
8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9
Atalanta
8 4 3 1 20:6 15
10
Borussia Dortmund
8 5 0 3 22:12 15
11
Real Madrid
8 5 0 3 20:12 15
12
Bayern Munich
8 5 0 3 20:12 15
13
AC Milan
8 5 0 3 14:11 15
14
PSV
8 4 2 2 16:12 14
15
PSG
8 4 1 3 14:9 13
16
Benfica
8 4 1 3 16:12 13
17
Monaco
8 4 1 3 13:13 13
18
Brest
8 4 1 3 10:11 13
19
Feyenoord
8 4 1 3 18:21 13
20
Juventus
8 3 3 2 9:7 12
21
Celtic
8 3 3 2 13:14 12
22
Manchester City
8 3 2 3 18:14 11
23
Sporting CP
8 3 2 3 13:12 11
24
Brugge
8 3 2 3 7:11 11
25
Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 2 3 12:19 11
26
Stuttgart
8 3 1 4 13:17 10
27
Shakhtar Donetsk
8 2 1 5 8:16 7
28
Bologna
8 1 3 4 4:9 6
29
Red Star Belgrade
8 2 0 6 13:22 6
30
Sturm Graz
8 2 0 6 5:14 6
31
Sparta Prague
8 1 1 6 7:21 4
32
RB Leipzig
8 1 0 7 8:15 3
33
Girona
8 1 0 7 5:13 3
34
Red Bull Salzburg
8 1 0 7 5:27 3
35
Slovan Bratislava
8 0 0 8 7:27 0
36
BSC Young Boys
8 0 0 8 3:24 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2
Arsenal
4 4 0 0 9:0 12
3
Inter Milan
4 4 0 0 9:0 12
4
Bayer 04
4 4 0 0 9:0 12
5
Bayern Munich
4 4 0 0 14:3 12
6
Barcelona
4 3 1 0 14:3 10
7
Lille
4 3 1 0 11:4 10
8
Aston Villa
4 3 1 0 7:2 10
9
PSV
4 3 1 0 11:5 10
10
Celtic
4 3 1 0 10:3 10
11
Atlético Madrid
4 3 0 1 8:6 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 13:5 9
13
Real Madrid
4 3 0 1 14:7 9
14
AC Milan
4 3 0 1 7:5 9
15
Monaco
4 3 0 1 10:5 9
16
Manchester City
4 2 2 0 11:4 8
17
PSG
4 2 1 1 7:5 7
18
Brest
4 2 1 1 4:5 7
19
Sporting CP
4 2 1 1 8:7 7
20
Brugge
4 2 1 1 3:4 7
21
Feyenoord
4 2 0 2 8:9 6
22
Juventus
4 2 0 2 5:4 6
23
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 2 0 2 5:9 6
24
Sturm Graz
4 2 0 2 2:3 6
25
Atalanta
4 1 2 1 7:3 5
26
Dinamo Zagreb
4 1 2 1 4:6 5
27
Benfica
4 1 1 2 9:8 4
28
Stuttgart
4 1 1 2 7:8 4
29
Bologna
4 1 1 2 3:4 4
30
Red Star Belgrade
4 1 0 3 10:11 3
31
Sparta Prague
4 1 0 3 4:9 3
32
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 6:8 3
33
Girona
4 1 0 3 5:6 3
34
Red Bull Salzburg
4 0 0 4 1:13 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 4:14 0
36
BSC Young Boys
4 0 0 4 1:11 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Atalanta
4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 7:4 9
3
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 14:10 9
4
Atlético Madrid
4 3 0 1 12:6 9
5
Benfica
4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6
Arsenal
4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7
Inter Milan
4 2 1 1 2:1 7
8
Feyenoord
4 2 1 1 10:12 7
9
Lille
4 2 0 2 6:6 6
10
Aston Villa
4 2 0 2 6:4 6
11
Borussia Dortmund
4 2 0 2 9:7 6
12
Real Madrid
4 2 0 2 6:5 6
13
AC Milan
4 2 0 2 7:6 6
14
PSG
4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15
Brest
4 2 0 2 6:6 6
16
Juventus
4 1 3 0 4:3 6
17
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 0 2 8:13 6
18
Stuttgart
4 2 0 2 6:9 6
19
Bayer 04
4 1 1 2 6:7 4
20
PSV
4 1 1 2 5:7 4
21
Monaco
4 1 1 2 3:8 4
22
Sporting CP
4 1 1 2 5:5 4
23
Brugge
4 1 1 2 4:7 4
24
Bayern Munich
4 1 0 3 6:9 3
25
Manchester City
4 1 0 3 7:10 3
26
Red Star Belgrade
4 1 0 3 3:11 3
27
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 0 3 4:14 3
28
Celtic
4 0 2 2 3:11 2
29
Bologna
4 0 2 2 1:5 2
30
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 0 1 3 3:7 1
31
Sparta Prague
4 0 1 3 3:12 1
32
Sturm Graz
4 0 0 4 3:11 0
33
RB Leipzig
4 0 0 4 2:7 0
34
Girona
4 0 0 4 0:7 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 3:13 0
36
BSC Young Boys
4 0 0 4 2:13 0

Team lineups

Borussia Dortmund

N. Kovač
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Gregor Kobel
gk. 7 -12
Nico Schlotterbeck
df. 10 0
Julian Ryerson
df. 9 0
Daniel Jonathan Svensson
df. 2 0
Emre Can
mf. 9 1
Julian Brandt
mf. 9 0
Marcel Sabitzer
mf. 9 0
Pascal Groß
mf. 8 0
Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens
fw. 10 4
Serhou Guirassy
fw. 10 10
Karim-David Adeyemi
fw. 6 4
Substitutes
Alexander Meyer
gk. 1 0
Rami Bensebayni
df. 8 2
Waldemar Anton
df. 7 0
Yan Bueno Couto
df. 6 0
Niklas Süle
df. 3 0
Giovanni Alejandro Reyna
mf. 5 0
Salih Uchan
mf. 1 0
Maximilian Beier
fw. 8 0
Julien Dienda M. Duranville
fw. 7 0
Lille

B. Génésio
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Lucas Chevalier
gk. 12 -14
Alexsandro Victor de Souza Ribeiro
df. 12 0
Bafodé Diakité
df. 12 0
Thomas Meunier
df. 11 0
Ismaily
df. 4 0
Benjamin André
mf. 11 0
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
mf. 8 1
Ayyoub Bouaddi
mf. 7 0
Ethan Mbappé Lottin
mf. 2 0
Ngal'ayel Mukau
mf. 0 0
Jonathan David
fw. 12 8
Substitutes
Marc-Aurèle Caillard
gk. 0 0
Vito Mannone
gk. 0 0
Gabriel Gudmundsson
df. 12 0
Mitchel Bakker
df. 7 1
Aïssa Mandi
df. 6 0
Isaac Cossier
df. 0 0
Rémy Cabella
mf. 10 1
Angel Gomes
mf. 6 1
André Filipe Tavares Gomes
mf. 0 0
Younes Lachaab
fw. 1 0
Chuba Akpom
fw. 0 0
Need Register or Need Login to access unique content: statistics, best odds, trends and tips. Login / Registration
Copy the token