The Matchday 18 fixture of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers between Chile and Uruguay will take place on September 10 at the Julio Martinez Pradanos Stadium in Santiago. Chile vs. Uruguay: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Anderson Daronco (Brazil)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 22%.
Chile have only one chance left to avoid finishing bottom. First, the team must beat Uruguay, and only then look at the result of Peru vs Paraguay.
Chile trail their rivals by two points. Even a win would not guarantee ninth place; it would also require the rival to lose. There are serious doubts that they will beat even a not particularly motivated Uruguay, given that Chile have only two wins from 17 qualifiers. Those victories came at home against Peru (2:0) and Venezuela (4:2), and those opponents are not on Uruguay’s level. The latter result was back in 2024.
However, Uruguay have been far from flawless away from home: they have three defeats and only one win from eight qualifiers away. They are winless in five away matches, with three draws and two defeats. The teams who halted Uruguay include Venezuela, Bolivia and Peru. Uruguay’s main issue in those fixtures was a failure to score. Among that trio, only Peru found the net and won 1:0. Even so, Uruguay have the fourth-best defensive record in CONMEBOL (0.7 conceded per game).
Uruguay’s attacking output drops away from home: they have scored only 0.8 per game compared with 1.8 overall. Chile have scored eight at home. That gives the hosts a strong chance of at least a draw, and the Total Under angle looks far stronger than the Total Over.
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