Colombia vs Bolivia: prediction & betting odds 5 September 2025

Matchday 17 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification tournament between Colombia and Bolivia will take place on September 5 at the Metropolitano Stadium in Barranquilla. Colombia vs. Bolivia: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.

Colombia

The national team has been unable to win in their last six South American qualifiers, recording three draws and three losses. This streak has seen Colombia drop to 6th place, but they still maintain a four-point lead over Venezuela, who are in 7th. To qualify directly for the 2026 World Cup, the team needs to win this upcoming match. Notably, Colombia has drawn their last three qualification matches.

  • Colombia has not lost in 8 of their last 9 home World Cup qualifiers (5 wins and 3 draws).
  • Colombia has conceded in 5 of their last 7 home qualification matches.
  • The team has not lost in the first half in 10 of their last 11 qualification matches (6 wins and 4 draws).

Predicted lineup for Colombia (4-2-3-1)

Kevin Mier – Johan Mojica, Daniel Muñoz, Yerry Mina, Davinson Sánchez – Jefferson Lerma, Kevin Castaño – John Arias, James Rodríguez, Luis Díaz – John Durán.

Bolivia

Oscar Villegas' side had not won in six qualification matches, with two draws and four losses, until they broke the streak by defeating Chile 2-0 at home in the last round. This victory has given Bolivia a chance to still qualify for the World Cup, but only through additional playoff matches. With two rounds remaining, Bolivia is one point behind 7th place, making it crucial for them to surpass Venezuela in the South American qualification standings. There is also a slim chance for them to finish 6th, but this requires winning both matches, Colombia losing in the final round, and Venezuela dropping points in Matchday 17.

  • At least one team failed to score in 6 of Bolivia's last 8 qualification matches.
  • The team is on a 4-match losing streak away from home in World Cup qualifiers.
  • Bolivia has failed to score in 9 of their last 13 away matches in South American World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Bolivia (4-2-3-1)

Carlos Lampe – Diego Medina, Efrain Morales, Diego Arroyo, Roberto Fernández – Moisés Villarroel, Erwin Vaca – Miguel Terceros, Hector Cuéllar, Enzo Monteiro – Carmelo Algarañaz.

Forward Lucas Chavez is suspended.

Referee

Dario Herrera (Argentina)

Matches – 22 (International matches, 2024–2025);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 100;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;

Red cards shown – 8;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 23%.

Match Prediction: Colombia vs. Bolivia

Colombia was in second place in the South American World Cup qualification for a long time. However, the team relaxed too early, thinking the World Cup ticket was secured. If they lose in the final rounds, they will miss out on the World Cup. Therefore, they will approach this match with maximum focus and secure the three points they need.

In the first round, Bolivia unexpectedly defeated Colombia 1-0 at home. Before that, Colombia had a significant advantage in head-to-head encounters, going unbeaten in 11 consecutive official matches with 9 wins and 2 draws. Colombia managed to keep a clean sheet 7 times during this series. Given that Bolivia failed to score in 5 of their last 7 away qualification matches, I predict a "clean sheet victory for Colombia."

My prediction: "Clean sheet victory for Colombia"

Colombia — Bolivia betting tips 5 September 2025

Colombia and Bolivia are fighting for the final FIFA World Cup places from South America. A draw may be enough for the hosts to seal their place at the FIFA World Cup.

Even a defeat would suffice if Venezuela lose to Argentina in Buenos Aires, which is the most likely scenario. A win would be better, of course, as it would guarantee qualification regardless of results elsewhere. In that case, their head-to-head in Venezuela would not matter. Head coach Néstor Lorenzo can call upon Luis Díaz, James Rodríguez and Jhon Arias. The trio still need to make amends for the goalless home draw with Peru in June.

Bolivia remain in the race because they beat Chile (2:0) in the previous round, with Chile the worst team in qualifying. Home high altitude helps, reflected by an average of 1.75 points per match there, although the hosts played 35 minutes with ten men after winger Lucas Chávez was sent off. That happened in the opening stages, and early in the second half the numbers were evened up. Away from home it is a different story. Bolivia struggle with conditions on the road, hence just one win in eight away matches, and that came against the same weakest Chile side (2:1). All the other results were defeats.

We do not expect that pattern to change here. Colombia should score at least once, and even that ought to be enough for the win. In truth, they are unlikely to stop there. Bolivia’s last two away games ended in 3:0 defeats. A similar outcome is plausible this time.

Betting prediction
Colombia (-2)
Cf
Odds
3/4
Bet now

Colombia vs Bolivia Odds

CONMEBOL World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Colombia
11.06.25
Argentina
Colombia
D
06.06.25
Colombia
Peru
D
26.03.25
Colombia
Paraguay
D
21.03.25
Brazil
Colombia
L
19.11.24
Colombia
Ecuador
L
16.11.24
Uruguay
Colombia
L
15.10.24
Colombia
Chile
W
10.10.24
Bolivia
Colombia
L
10.09.24
Colombia
Argentina
W
07.09.24
Peru
Colombia
D
21.11.23
Paraguay
Colombia
W
17.11.23
Colombia
Brazil
W
18.10.23
Ecuador
Colombia
D
12.10.23
Colombia
Uruguay
D
13.09.23
Chile
Colombia
D
08.09.23
Colombia
Venezuela
W
More matches
Bolivia
10.06.25
Bolivia
Chile
W
06.06.25
Venezuela
Bolivia
L
25.03.25
Bolivia
Uruguay
D
21.03.25
Peru
Bolivia
L
19.11.24
Bolivia
Paraguay
D
15.11.24
Ecuador
Bolivia
L
16.10.24
Argentina
Bolivia
L
10.10.24
Bolivia
Colombia
W
10.09.24
Chile
Bolivia
W
05.09.24
Bolivia
Venezuela
W
21.11.23
Uruguay
Bolivia
L
16.11.23
Bolivia
Peru
W
18.10.23
Paraguay
Bolivia
L
13.10.23
Bolivia
Ecuador
L
12.09.23
Bolivia
Argentina
L
09.09.23
Brazil
Bolivia
L
More matches

H2H: Colombia — Bolivia

CONMEBOL World Cup
10.10.24
Bolivia
Colombia
World Cup 2018 Qualification
23.03.17
Colombia
Bolivia
1
:
0
24.03.16
Bolivia
Colombia
2
:
3
World Cup Qualifiers 2014
22.03.13
Colombia
Bolivia
5
:
0
11.10.11
Bolivia
Colombia
1
:
2
Copa America 2011
10.07.11
Colombia
Bolivia
2
:
0

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Argentina
16 11 2 3 28:9 35
2
Ecuador
16 7 7 2 13:5 25
3
Brazil
16 7 4 5 21:16 25
4
Uruguay
16 6 6 4 19:12 24
5
Paraguay
16 6 6 4 13:10 24
6
Colombia
16 5 7 4 19:15 22
7
Venezuela
16 4 6 6 15:19 18
8
Bolivia
16 5 2 9 16:32 17
9
Peru
16 2 6 8 6:17 12
10
Chile
16 2 4 10 9:24 10
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Argentina
8 6 1 1 17:4 19
2
Paraguay
8 6 1 1 9:3 19
3
Ecuador
8 5 3 0 10:2 18
4
Brazil
8 5 2 1 15:5 17
5
Uruguay
8 5 2 1 13:4 17
6
Venezuela
8 4 4 0 9:2 16
7
Colombia
8 4 3 1 13:7 15
8
Bolivia
8 4 2 2 12:7 14
9
Peru
8 2 4 2 6:6 10
10
Chile
8 2 3 3 8:7 9
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Argentina
8 5 1 2 11:5 16
2
Ecuador
8 2 4 2 3:3 10
3
Brazil
8 2 2 4 6:11 8
4
Uruguay
8 1 4 3 6:8 7
5
Colombia
8 1 4 3 6:8 7
6
Paraguay
8 0 5 3 4:7 5
7
Bolivia
8 1 0 7 4:25 3
8
Venezuela
8 0 2 6 6:17 2
9
Peru
8 0 2 6 0:11 2
10
Chile
8 0 1 7 1:17 1

Team lineups

Colombia

Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Camilo Andrés Vargas Gil
gk. 13 -12
Jhon Lucumí
df. 12 0
Davinson Sánchez Mina
df. 8 1
Johan Mojica
df. 7 0
Santiago Arias Naranjo
df. 3 0
James Rodríguez
mf. 55 2
Jhon Arias
mf. 13 0
Richard Ríos Montoya
mf. 11 0
Jefferson Lerma
mf. 10 0
Luis Díaz
fw. 46 6
Jhon Córdoba
fw. 8 0
Substitutes
David Ospina
gk. 73 0
Kevin Leonardo Mier Robles
gk. 0 0
Yerry Mina
df. 8 0
Andrés Román
df. 0 0
Álvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera
df. 0 0
Jorge Carrascal
mf. 12 0
Juan Fernando Quintero Paniagua
mf. 4 1
Juan Camilo Portilla Orozco
mf. 3 0
Jáminton Leandro Campaz
mf. 2 0
Dayro Mauricio Moreno Galindo
fw. 0 0
Luis Javier Suárez Charris
fw. 0 0
Marino Hinestroza
fw. 0 0
Bolivia

Óscar Adolfo Villegas Cámara
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Carlos Emilio Lampe Porras
gk. 17 -1
Jose Sagredo
df. 12 0
Luis Fernando Haquín Lopez
df. 12 0
Diego Daniel Medina Roman
df. 10 0
Roberto Fernández
df. 10 0
Efraín Andrés Morales Badillo
df. 4 0
Gabriel Alejandro Villamíl Cortéz
mf. 11 0
Miguel Ángel Terceros Acuña
mf. 8 5
Robson Matheus Tomé de Araújo Benegas
mf. 7 0
Ervin Vaca Moreno
mf. 3 1
Moisés Paniagua Leaño
fw. 2 0
Substitutes
Guillermo Viscarra Bruckner
gk. 13 -27
Luis Rodrigo Banegas Cury
gk. 0 0
Héctor Manuel Cuellar Rosales
df. 11 0
Yomar René Rocha Rodríguez
df. 3 0
Diego Júnior Arroyo Maldonado
df. 0 0
Moisés Villarroel Angúlo
mf. 13 0
Óscar David López Raslan
mf. 1 0
Carlos Antonio Melgar Vargas
mf. 2 0
Carmelo Algarañaz Añez
fw. 10 2
Enzo Eduardo Monteiro de Castro Becerra
fw. 4 1
Henry Vaca
fw. 7 1
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