Matchday 17 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification tournament between Colombia and Bolivia will take place on September 5 at the Metropolitano Stadium in Barranquilla. Colombia vs. Bolivia: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Colombia
The national team has been unable to win in their last six South American qualifiers, recording three draws and three losses. This streak has seen Colombia drop to 6th place, but they still maintain a four-point lead over Venezuela, who are in 7th. To qualify directly for the 2026 World Cup, the team needs to win this upcoming match. Notably, Colombia has drawn their last three qualification matches.
- Colombia has not lost in 8 of their last 9 home World Cup qualifiers (5 wins and 3 draws).
- Colombia has conceded in 5 of their last 7 home qualification matches.
- The team has not lost in the first half in 10 of their last 11 qualification matches (6 wins and 4 draws).
Predicted lineup for Colombia (4-2-3-1)
Kevin Mier – Johan Mojica, Daniel Muñoz, Yerry Mina, Davinson Sánchez – Jefferson Lerma, Kevin Castaño – John Arias, James Rodríguez, Luis Díaz – John Durán.
Bolivia
Oscar Villegas' side had not won in six qualification matches, with two draws and four losses, until they broke the streak by defeating Chile 2-0 at home in the last round. This victory has given Bolivia a chance to still qualify for the World Cup, but only through additional playoff matches. With two rounds remaining, Bolivia is one point behind 7th place, making it crucial for them to surpass Venezuela in the South American qualification standings. There is also a slim chance for them to finish 6th, but this requires winning both matches, Colombia losing in the final round, and Venezuela dropping points in Matchday 17.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Bolivia's last 8 qualification matches.
- The team is on a 4-match losing streak away from home in World Cup qualifiers.
- Bolivia has failed to score in 9 of their last 13 away matches in South American World Cup qualifiers.
Predicted lineup for Bolivia (4-2-3-1)
Carlos Lampe – Diego Medina, Efrain Morales, Diego Arroyo, Roberto Fernández – Moisés Villarroel, Erwin Vaca – Miguel Terceros, Hector Cuéllar, Enzo Monteiro – Carmelo Algarañaz.
Forward Lucas Chavez is suspended.
Referee
Dario Herrera (Argentina)
Matches – 22 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 100;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 8;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 23%.
Match Prediction: Colombia vs. Bolivia
Colombia was in second place in the South American World Cup qualification for a long time. However, the team relaxed too early, thinking the World Cup ticket was secured. If they lose in the final rounds, they will miss out on the World Cup. Therefore, they will approach this match with maximum focus and secure the three points they need.
In the first round, Bolivia unexpectedly defeated Colombia 1-0 at home. Before that, Colombia had a significant advantage in head-to-head encounters, going unbeaten in 11 consecutive official matches with 9 wins and 2 draws. Colombia managed to keep a clean sheet 7 times during this series. Given that Bolivia failed to score in 5 of their last 7 away qualification matches, I predict a "clean sheet victory for Colombia."
My prediction: "Clean sheet victory for Colombia"