Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the home win has a slight edge at 2.65, while the away win is available at 2.95 and the draw at 3.05. In the main total-goals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.60 is considerably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the handicap market, Home Draw No Bet at 1.80 is shorter than Away Draw No Bet at 2.02.
Why Deportivo are favourites
Deportivo to win is available at 2.65, Valencia to win at 2.95 and the draw at 3.05. The arguments supporting this assessment are:
Home advantage. The match is being played at the Riazor, which gives the hosts a minimal statistical advantage.
Weak away attack. Valencia have scored no goals in two La Liga rounds.
A steady points start. Deportivo have picked up two points from two draws and are 10th with a goal difference of 2:2.
Form and Line-up Deportivo
The Galicians began the season with two draws: 1:1 against Elche at home and 1:1 against Malaga away. Deportivo have also performed well at the Riazor — losing only once in their previous eight matches.
Key numbers:
Under 2.5 goals has landed in five consecutive matches.
Fewer than four yellow cards have been shown in 9 of the previous 10 matches.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in 9 of the last 10 matches.
Probable Deportivo line-up (4-4-2): Leo Roman — Ximo Navarro, Lucas Noubi, Bright Ede, Giacomo Quagliata — Adria Altimira, Mario Soriano, Lorenzo Amatucci, Jonathan Asp Jensen — Luismi Cruz, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Absentees: Noe Carrillo (injury).
Form and Line-up Valencia
Valencia began the season without scoring — first drawing 0:0 with Celta, then losing 0:1 to Betis after conceding only in the 83rd minute. The Bats have had mixed results away from home: they have lost four of their last 10 matches but won five and drawn one.
Key numbers:
Valencia have gone Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their previous 5 matches.
Fewer than four yellow cards have been shown in 9 of the previous 10 matches.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in eight consecutive matches.
Probable Valencia line-up (5-3-2): Stole Dimitrievski — Pablo Maffeo, Cesar Tarrega, Pepelu, Mouctar Diakhaby, Jesus Vazquez — Ryunosuke Sato, Guido Rodriguez, Javi Guerra — Hugo Duro, Arnaut Danjuma.
Absentees: Jose Manuel Copete, Alberto Mari, Justin De Haas (all injured), Dimitri Foulquier, Luis Rioja, Diego Lopez (all doubtful).
Team chances
The home win is available at 2.65; fair odds are 2.77 and 36.1%. The figures for the draw are 3.05, 3.18 and 31.4%, and for the away win 2.95, 3.08 and 32.5%: the hosts have only a minimal advantage.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Deportivo La Coruna to win | 2.65 | 2.77 | 36.1% |
Draw | 3.05 | 3.18 | 31.4% |
Valencia to win | 2.95 | 3.08 | 32.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.60 is preferable to Over 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the line of 2, Over is shorter at 1.77 than Under at 1.97, while at 3.5 Under has a clear edge at 1.17 versus 4.20 for Over.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
2 | 1.97 | 1.77 |
3.5 | 1.17 | 4.20 |
Handicap prediction
Home handicap (-1.5) at 5.60 is slightly more likely than away handicap (-1.5) at 6.10, while at the 1.5 line, home handicap (+1.5) at 1.08 and away handicap (+1.5) at 1.09 are almost equal. Home handicap (-1) at 4.60 is shorter than away handicap (-1) at 5.10; at the line of 1, it is 1.12 versus 1.14. In the Draw No Bet market, the home side at 1.80 is preferred to the away side at 2.02.
Home | Handicap | Away |
5.60 | -1.5 | 6.10 |
1.08 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
4.60 | -1 | 5.10 |
1.12 | 1 | 1.14 |
1.80 | 0 | 2.02 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.85 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.90, so the scenario in which at least one team fails to score is marginally more likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.90 |
No | 1.85 |
Double chance prediction
The shortest odds are for 12 at 1.38, followed by 1X at 1.40, while X2 is longer at 1.48.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.40 | 1.38 | 1.48 |
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Deportivo La Coruna — 1 goal, Valencia — 1 goal.
Deportivo La Coruna team total
Deportivo La Coruna: Over 0.5 goals at 1.37 is considerably more likely than Under 0.5 goals at 2.85. At the line of 1, the odds are close: Over at 1.83 versus Under at 1.91. At 1.5, Under is shorter at 1.40, while Over is available at 2.75.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.85 | 0.5 | 1.37 |
1.91 | 1 | 1.83 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
Valencia team total
Valencia: Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is preferable to Under 0.5 goals at 2.70. At the line of 1, Under at 1.75 is shorter than Over at 2.05, and at 1.5 Under has the edge at 1.33 versus 3.05 for Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.75 | 1 | 2.05 |
1.33 | 1.5 | 3.05 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Miguel Angel Ortiz (Spain)
Matches — 21 (La Liga, 2025/26 - 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 21;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 21.
