Match stats

Logo England Logo Latvia
74 Ball possession (%) 26
27 Goal attempts 3
8 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 1
10 Blocked shots 1

England vs Latvia: betting odds 24 Mar 2025

The Matchday 2 World Cup 2026 qualifier between England and Latvia will take place on March 24 at Wembley Stadium in London. England vs. Latvia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

England

Thomas Tuchel made a winning debut as the head coach of the pioneers of football. On their home turf, the team comfortably defeated Albania, not allowing the opponent a single shot on target (2-0). Notably, England's unbeaten streak in World Cup qualifying has now stretched to 32 matches (24 wins and 8 draws). The team immediately topped Group K.

  • England has won 13 of their last 15 World Cup qualifiers.
  • England has kept a clean sheet in 10 of their last 13 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • The team scored first in 12 of their last 13 European World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for England (4-2-3-1)

Jordan Pickford – Dan Burn, Ezri Konsa, Kyle Walker, Myles Lewis-Skelly – Declan Rice, Curtis Jones – Marcus Rashford, Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden – Harry Kane.

Forward Anthony Gordon has left the squad due to injury.

Latvia

Latvia played their first round away against Andorra. The team expectedly won, though the victory was narrow and hard-fought – just 1-0. Even against an underdog, Paolo Nicolato's side did not look convincing: the shots on target were 2-2, and the xG was 0.37:0.47. Interestingly, Latvia has not lost in the World Cup qualifying cycle for three matches (2 wins and 1 draw).

  • The team has not scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 World Cup qualifiers.
  • No more than three goals have been scored in 6 of Latvia's last 7 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • Latvia is unbeaten in their last five away World Cup qualifiers (2 wins and 3 draws).

Predicted lineup for Latvia (3-4-2-1)

Krishjanis Zviedris – Daniels Balodis, Antonijs Cernomordijs, Raivis Jurkovskis – Roberts Savalnieks, Andrejs Ciganiks, Aleksejs Saveļjevs, Deniss Melniks – Dmitrijs Zelenkovs, Janis Ikaunieks – Vladislavs Gutkovskis.

Referee

Orel Grinfeld (Israel)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 29%.

Match Prediction: England vs. Latvia

England are the undisputed favorites in Group K. If the team encounters any difficulties in qualifying, it will likely be in matches against Serbia. Against the other three teams, Thomas Tuchel's side should have no significant issues. In this match, England is expected to win, but the victory might not be too large. The hosts have little reason to exert maximum effort, as they have upcoming league matches in a few days, and many players are physically worn out towards the end of the season.

England boasts an impressive unbeaten home streak in World Cup qualifying, which has lasted since March 2001. However, England has won by a margin of four or more goals in only 4 of their last 14 home World Cup qualifiers. Additionally, Latvia does not play open football away, opting to sit back in defense, making them difficult to break down. Since 1993, Latvia has never lost by a margin of four or more goals in away World Cup qualifiers.

My prediction: Latvia with a handicap (+3.5)

* The lineup for each team is based on their previous match.

Betting tips 24 Mar 2025

After a fairly routine debut from Thomas Tuchel in England’s dugout, fans at Wembley will be expecting a far more dominant attacking display against Latvia. The German tactician is set to experiment with new combinations, giving fringe players a chance to impress — and that usually spells trouble for a side like Latvia.

In Friday’s win over Albania (2:0), England were in full control from the off, with Myles Lewis-Skelly opening the scoring early and the underdogs retreating into damage control. They registered 1.58 xG with 74% possession, and the difference in shots on target was even more telling (6-0). That was their fourth consecutive victory, with 13 goals scored across those games. Expect to see fresh faces like Jarrod Bowen, Anthony Gordon, Morgan Rogers, and Dominic Solanke given a chance to shine.

Latvia, meanwhile, narrowly avoided embarrassment in Andorra, edging out the group’s weakest side (1:0) thanks to a second-half strike from substitute Dario Šits. But the performance was uninspiring: just 0.47 xG and two shots on target across 90 minutes. Before that, Latvia hadn’t won away from home in nearly three years, going winless in 11 straight matches on the road (eight losses, three draws).

This marks the first-ever meeting between England and Latvia, and it’s likely to be one-sided. While the visitors might manage to frustrate the hosts early on, England’s squad depth and attacking firepower should break through as the game wears on — especially with competition for starting spots at stake.

Betting prediction
England (-3.5)
Cf
Odds
23/25
Bet now

England vs Latvia Odds

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World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

England
21.03.25
England
Albania
W
Latvia
21.03.25
Andorra
Latvia
W

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group K
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
England
  2:0 3:0 -:- -:- 2 2 0 0
5:0
6
2
Albania
-:-   -:- -:- 3:0 2 1 0 1
3:2
3
3
Latvia
-:- -:-   -:- -:- 2 1 0 1
1:3
3
4
Serbia
-:- -:- -:-   -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
5
Andorra
-:- -:- 0:1 -:-   2 0 0 2
0:4
0

Team lineups

England

T. Tuchel
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Jordan Pickford
gk. 0 0
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
df. 0 0
Marc Guehi
df. 0 0
Reece James
df. 0 0
Jude Victor William Bellingham
mf. 1 0
Declan Rice
mf. 0 0
Myles Anthony Lewis-Skelly
mf. 0 0
Harry Kane
fw. 0 0
Jarrod Bowen
fw. 0 0
Marcus Rashford
fw. 0 0
Morgan Elliot Rogers
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Dean Henderson
gk. 0 0
James Harrington Trafford
gk. 0 0
Kyle Walker
df. 1 0
Dan Burn
df. 0 0
Jarell Amorin Quansah
df. 0 0
Levi Lemar Samuels Colwill
df. 0 0
Phil Foden
mf. 1 0
Curtis Jones
mf. 0 0
Ebere Eze
mf. 0 0
Jordan Henderson
mf. 0 0
Morgan Gibbs-White
mf. 0 0
Dominic Solanke
fw. 0 0
Latvia

P. Nicolato
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Krišjānis Zviedris
gk. 1 0
Antonijs Černomordijs
df. 1 0
Raivis Andris Jurkovskis
df. 1 0
Alvis Jaunzems
df. 0 0
Andrejs Cigaņiks
df. 0 0
Daniels Balodis
df. 0 0
Roberts Savalnieks
df. 0 0
Aleksejs Saveļjevs
mf. 1 0
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
mf. 0 0
Janis Ikaunieks
mf. 0 0
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
fw. 1 0
Substitutes
Rihards Matrevics
gk. 0 0
Roberts Ozols
gk. 0 0
Maksims Toņiševs
df. 0 0
Niks Sliede
df. 0 0
Vitālijs Jagodinskis
df. 0 0
Vjačeslavs Isajevs
df. 0 0
Deniss Meļņiks
mf. 1 0
Eduards Dašķevičs
mf. 0 0
Lūkass Vapne
mf. 0 0
Raimonds Krollis
fw. 1 0
Dario Šits
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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