The semi-final match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Fluminense (Brazil) and Chelsea (England) will take place on July 8 at MetLife Stadium in New York, USA. Fluminense vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fluminense
Renato Gaúcho's side remains unbeaten in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup. In the group stage, the team secured one win and two draws. In the playoffs, the Brazilians have significantly improved, advancing through two rounds by defeating their opponents in regular time: first overcoming Inter (2-0), then defeating Al-Hilal (2-1). Notably, the South Americans have conceded only three goals in the current Club World Cup.
- Fluminense has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 matches in the Club World Cup (4 wins and 2 draws).
- At least one team failed to score in regular time in 5 of the last 7 matches for the Brazilians in this tournament.
- In the last 15 matches in the Copa Libertadores and the Club World Cup, the South Americans have suffered only 2 defeats in regular time (9 wins and 4 draws).
Predicted lineup for Fluminense (3-5-2)
Fabio – Gabriel Fuentes, Samuel Xavier, Ignacio – Samuel Xavier, Gabriel Fuentes, Mateus Lima, Nonato, Facundo Bernal – John Arias, German Cano.
Defender Juan Pablo Freitas and midfielder Mateus Lima will miss the match due to suspensions, while forward Riquelme Felipe and midfielder Isaque are out with injuries. Defender Samuel Xavier is doubtful due to an injury.
Chelsea
In the previous stage of the tournament, the English team faced another representative of Brazil's Serie A: they managed to defeat Palmeiras with a score of 2-1. Before that, in the Round of 16 of the 2025 Club World Cup, the Londoners overcame Portuguese side Benfica – 1-1, extra time 3-0. Interestingly, this upcoming match will be Chelsea's third against opponents from the Brazilian league in this tournament. Besides Palmeiras, the team also faced Flamengo in the group stage, where Chelsea lost 1-3.
- Chelsea's uncompromising streak in regular time in the Club World Cup and UEFA Champions League totals 12 matches (8 wins and 4 losses).
- A maximum of three goals were scored in 90 minutes in 13 of Chelsea's last 14 games in these tournaments.
- The Londoners have played 9 matches in the Club World Cup, suffering only two defeats in regular time (5 wins and 2 draws).
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-3-3)
Robert Sanchez – Malo Gusto, Levi Colwill, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella – Andrey Santos, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer – Christopher Nkunku, Pedro Neto, Liam Delap.
Defender Levi Colwill and forward Liam Delap are out due to suspensions. Injuries may sideline defenders Benoit Badiashile and Reece James, as well as midfielders Romeo Lavia and Andrey Santos.
Match Prediction: Fluminense vs. Chelsea
I believe bookmakers continue to underestimate Renato Gaúcho's side. Since taking over the club in April this year, the team has played 20 official matches, suffering only 3 defeats (13 wins and 4 draws). Only once has Fluminense lost by more than one goal. Additionally, the South Americans are on a 10-match unbeaten run at the official level.
The Londoners have not particularly impressed with confident victories on the international stage. In their last 11 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup, they have only three wins with a margin of more than one goal. Furthermore, in their last 8 matches in the Club World Cup, the English side has only won twice by a margin of two or more goals. Considering all the above, I believe the Brazilians will at least not lose, and if they do, it will be by a minimal score.
My prediction – Fluminense with a handicap (+1)
