Match stats

Logo Genoa Logo AC Milan
40 Ball possession (%) 60
11 Goal attempts 10
4 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked shots 2

Genoa vs AC Milan: prediction & betting odds 5 May 2025

The Matchday 35 clash in Serie A between Genoa and AC Milan will take place on May 5 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. Genoa vs. AC Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Genoa

In the last round, Patrick Vieira's side suffered a 0-1 defeat away to Como. As a result, Genoa has managed to earn only one point from their last three league matches, following a draw with Verona and a loss to Lazio. Moreover, the team failed to score in these three encounters. However, in 10 of their last 11 Serie A matches, Genoa conceded no more than one goal. In the standings, the team sits in 13th place with 39 points and has already secured safety from relegation.

  • The team has not lost in 6 of their last 7 home Serie A matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
  • The club has scored exactly one or two goals in their last seven home league games.
  • Genoa has conceded no more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 home Serie A matches.

Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-5-1)

Nicola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Johan Vasquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Koni De Winter – Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Morten Thorsby, Honest Ahanor, Lior Kasa – Jeff Ehator.

Midfielders Ruslan Malinovskyi and Fabio Miretti will miss the game due to injuries.

AC Milan

Sergio Conceicao's side defeated Venezia 2-0 away in the last round. This victory marked only their second win in the last five league matches (1 draw, 2 losses). Additionally, it was the second time in the last ten Serie A games that Milan kept a clean sheet. The Rossoneri have 54 points and are in ninth place, six points behind the European qualification spots. Notably, the club has scored 28 away goals this season, ranking third in this aspect.

  • Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 7 of their last 9 away Serie A matches.
  • The team scored in the second half in 6 of their last 7 away league games.
  • Milan has scored exactly one or two goals in 5 of their last 7 away Serie A matches.

Predicted lineup for AC Milan (4-5-1)

Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernandez – Alejandro Jimenez, Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao – Tammy Abraham.

Referee

Giuseppe Collu (Italy)

Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 18;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 30;

Penalties – 0%.

Genoa vs. AC Milan: Match Prediction

Genoa feels confident at home and often achieves positive results, playing boldly and attacking actively. It's rare for Genoa not to score at home; in 7 of their last 8 home Serie A matches, the team has found the net, scoring at least two goals on three occasions. This includes breaching the defenses of Inter and Napoli, who possess strong defenses, in the current season.

Milan cannot boast reliable defensive actions, especially away from home, where they concede regularly. In this Serie A season, the team has kept a clean sheet only five times on the road, conceding a total of 23 goals in 17 matches. Furthermore, Milan has let in 14 goals in their last ten league encounters. I expect at least one goal from the hosts in this match, so my prediction: Genoa Individual Total Over 0.5


* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.

Betting tips 5 May 2025

Despite a recent upturn in form, AC Milan remain somewhat adrift from the group vying for Champions League and Europa League qualification. Against Genoa, they are unlikely to adopt a fully aggressive approach, particularly with the hosts expected to set up in a deep, defensive shape.

With only one win in their last five league outings, Genoa have edged five points clear of 12th place, while maintaining a six-point cushion above 14th. They currently hold the weakest attacking record among the top 15 clubs in Serie A, managing just 29 goals across 34 matches. In their recent fixtures against Lazio (0:2) and Como 1907 (0:1), Genoa produced a combined xG of only 1.52, underlining their ongoing issues in front of goal as the campaign winds down.

Reaching the Coppa Italia final has provided AC Milan with renewed motivation heading into the closing stages of the season. In their most recent win over Venezia (2:0), winter signing Álex Jiménez ended a long scoring drought dating back to mid-February. AC Milan have registered clean sheets in their last three away matches, winning each of them. A tight, low-scoring victory in Genoa would be seen as a satisfactory result for the visitors.

Over the course of the season, Genoa have seen Total Over 2.5 goals in only 11 of their 34 matches — the second-lowest tally in Serie A, behind only Torino (10). In the reverse fixture at San Siro, AC Milan were held to a goalless draw (0:0) by the mid-table side, and a similar scenario could unfold on Monday.

Betting prediction
Total Under 3
Cf
Odds
63/100
Bet now

Genoa vs AC Milan Odds

Serie A: previous matches in the tournament

Genoa
27.04.25
Como
Genoa
L
23.04.25
Genoa
Lazio
L
13.04.25
Hellas Verona
Genoa
D
04.04.25
Genoa
Udinese
W
29.03.25
Juventus
Genoa
L
14.03.25
Genoa
Lecce
W
07.03.25
Cagliari
Genoa
D
02.03.25
Genoa
Empoli
D
22.02.25
Inter Milan
Genoa
L
17.02.25
Genoa
Venezia
W
08.02.25
Torino
Genoa
D
02.02.25
Fiorentina
Genoa
L
27.01.25
Genoa
Monza
W
17.01.25
AS Roma
Genoa
L
12.01.25
Genoa
Parma
W
05.01.25
Lecce
Genoa
D
28.12.24
Empoli
Genoa
W
21.12.24
Genoa
Napoli
L
15.12.24
AC Milan
Genoa
D
07.12.24
Genoa
Torino
D
01.12.24
Udinese
Genoa
W
24.11.24
Genoa
Cagliari
D
07.11.24
Genoa
Como
D
04.11.24
Parma
Genoa
W
31.10.24
Genoa
Fiorentina
L
27.10.24
Lazio
Genoa
L
19.10.24
Genoa
Bologna
D
05.10.24
Atalanta
Genoa
L
28.09.24
Genoa
Juventus
L
21.09.24
Venezia
Genoa
L
15.09.24
Genoa
AS Roma
D
01.09.24
Genoa
Hellas Verona
L
24.08.24
Monza
Genoa
W
17.08.24
Genoa
Inter Milan
D
More matches
AC Milan
27.04.25
Venezia
AC Milan
W
20.04.25
AC Milan
Atalanta
L
11.04.25
Udinese
AC Milan
W
05.04.25
AC Milan
Fiorentina
D
30.03.25
Napoli
AC Milan
L
15.03.25
AC Milan
Como
W
08.03.25
Lecce
AC Milan
W
02.03.25
AC Milan
Lazio
L
27.02.25
Bologna
AC Milan
L
22.02.25
Torino
AC Milan
L
15.02.25
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
W
08.02.25
Empoli
AC Milan
W
02.02.25
AC Milan
Inter Milan
D
26.01.25
AC Milan
Parma
W
18.01.25
Juventus
AC Milan
L
14.01.25
Como
AC Milan
W
11.01.25
AC Milan
Cagliari
D
29.12.24
AC Milan
AS Roma
D
20.12.24
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
W
15.12.24
AC Milan
Genoa
D
06.12.24
Atalanta
AC Milan
L
30.11.24
AC Milan
Empoli
W
23.11.24
AC Milan
Juventus
D
09.11.24
Cagliari
AC Milan
D
02.11.24
Monza
AC Milan
W
29.10.24
AC Milan
Napoli
L
19.10.24
AC Milan
Udinese
W
06.10.24
Fiorentina
AC Milan
L
27.09.24
AC Milan
Lecce
W
22.09.24
Inter Milan
AC Milan
W
14.09.24
AC Milan
Venezia
W
31.08.24
Lazio
AC Milan
D
24.08.24
Parma
AC Milan
L
17.08.24
AC Milan
Torino
D
More matches

H2H: Genoa — AC Milan

Serie A 2024-2025
15.12.24
AC Milan
Genoa
Serie A 2023-2024
05.05.24
AC Milan
Genoa
07.10.23
Genoa
AC Milan
Serie A 2021-2022
15.04.22
AC Milan
Genoa
01.12.21
Genoa
AC Milan
Serie A 2020-2021
18.04.21
AC Milan
Genoa
16.12.20
Genoa
AC Milan
Serie A 2019-2020
08.03.20
AC Milan
Genoa
05.10.19
Genoa
AC Milan
Serie A 2018-2019
21.01.19
Genoa
AC Milan
31.10.18
AC Milan
Genoa
Serie A 2017-2018
11.03.18
Genoa
AC Milan
22.10.17
AC Milan
Genoa
Serie A 2016-2017
18.03.17
AC Milan
Genoa
25.10.16
Genoa
AC Milan
Serie A 2015-2016
14.02.16
AC Milan
Genoa
27.09.15
Genoa
AC Milan
Serie A 2014-2015
29.04.15
AC Milan
Genoa
07.12.14
Genoa
AC Milan
Serie A 2013-2014
06.04.14
Genoa
AC Milan
1
:
2
22.11.13
AC Milan
Genoa
1
:
1
Serie A 2012-2013
07.03.13
Genoa
AC Milan
0
:
2
26.10.12
AC Milan
Genoa
1
:
0
Serie A 2011-2012
24.04.12
AC Milan
Genoa
1
:
0
01.12.11
Genoa
AC Milan
0
:
2
Serie A 2010-2011
05.02.11
Genoa
AC Milan
1
:
1
24.09.10
AC Milan
Genoa
1
:
0
Serie A 2009-2010
08.05.10
Genoa
AC Milan
1
:
0
05.01.10
AC Milan
Genoa
5
:
2
Serie A 2008-2009
27.01.09
AC Milan
Genoa
1
:
1
13.09.08
Genoa
AC Milan
2
:
0
Serie A 2007-2008
26.01.08
AC Milan
Genoa
2
:
0
25.08.07
Genoa
AC Milan
0
:
3
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Napoli
38 24 10 4 59:27 82
2
Inter Milan
38 24 9 5 79:35 81
3
Atalanta
37 22 8 7 76:34 74
4
Juventus
37 17 16 4 55:33 67
5
AS Roma
37 19 9 9 54:35 66
6
Lazio
37 18 11 8 61:48 65
7
Fiorentina
37 18 8 11 57:39 62
8
Bologna
37 16 14 7 56:44 62
9
AC Milan
37 17 9 11 59:43 60
10
Como
38 13 10 15 49:52 49
11
Torino
37 10 14 13 39:43 44
12
Udinese
37 12 8 17 39:53 44
13
Genoa
37 9 13 15 34:48 40
14
Cagliari
38 9 9 20 40:56 36
15
Hellas Verona
37 9 7 21 32:65 34
16
Parma
37 6 15 16 41:56 33
17
Lecce
37 7 10 20 26:58 31
18
Empoli
37 6 13 18 32:57 31
19
Venezia
37 5 14 18 30:53 29
20
Monza
37 3 9 25 28:67 18
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Napoli
19 14 3 2 32:13 45
2
Inter Milan
19 13 4 2 40:21 43
3
AS Roma
19 13 2 4 37:15 41
4
Juventus
19 11 7 1 31:15 40
5
Fiorentina
19 12 4 3 32:18 40
6
Bologna
18 10 7 1 32:15 37
7
Atalanta
18 9 5 4 34:21 32
8
AC Milan
18 8 7 3 28:16 31
9
Lazio
18 7 9 2 33:25 30
10
Como
19 8 5 6 28:26 29
11
Torino
18 6 7 5 17:16 25
12
Udinese
18 7 3 8 20:24 24
13
Cagliari
19 6 4 9 24:28 22
14
Genoa
19 5 7 7 21:25 22
15
Parma
19 5 6 8 25:28 21
16
Venezia
18 5 5 8 15:19 20
17
Lecce
19 4 6 9 13:31 18
18
Hellas Verona
19 4 5 10 15:36 17
19
Empoli
18 2 7 9 9:24 13
20
Monza
19 1 5 13 13:31 8
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Atalanta
19 13 3 3 42:13 42
2
Inter Milan
19 11 5 3 39:14 38
3
Napoli
19 10 7 2 27:14 37
4
Lazio
19 11 2 6 28:23 35
5
AC Milan
19 9 2 8 31:27 29
6
Juventus
18 6 9 3 24:18 27
7
AS Roma
18 6 7 5 17:20 25
8
Bologna
19 6 7 6 24:29 25
9
Fiorentina
18 6 4 8 25:21 22
10
Como
19 5 5 9 21:26 20
11
Udinese
19 5 5 9 19:29 20
12
Torino
19 4 7 8 22:27 19
13
Empoli
19 4 6 9 23:33 18
14
Genoa
18 4 6 8 13:23 18
15
Hellas Verona
18 5 2 11 17:29 17
16
Cagliari
19 3 5 11 16:28 14
17
Lecce
18 3 4 11 13:27 13
18
Parma
18 1 9 8 16:28 12
19
Monza
18 2 4 12 15:36 10
20
Venezia
19 0 9 10 15:34 9

Team lineups

Genoa

P. Vieira
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Nicola Leali
gk. 27 -26
Johan Vásquez
df. 33 2
Aaron Martin
df. 32 0
Stefano Sabelli
df. 30 0
Koni De Winter
df. 22 3
Brooke Dion Nelson Norton-Cuffy
df. 10 0
Morten Frendrup
mf. 32 2
Morten Thorsby
mf. 28 0
Patrizio Masini
mf. 22 1
Andrea Pinamonti
fw. 33 8
Junior Walter Messias
fw. 14 1
Substitutes
Benjamin Siegrist
gk. 0 0
Daniele Sommariva
gk. 0 0
Alessandro Zanoli
df. 28 1
Mattia Bani
df. 17 0
Honest Ahanor
df. 4 0
Sebastian Otoa
df. 1 0
Milan Badelj
mf. 22 1
Lior Kassa
mf. 7 0
Jeff Ekhator Osayuki
fw. 22 1
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
fw. 21 0
Lorenzo Venturino
fw. 4 0
AC Milan

Sérgio Conceição
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Mike Maignan
gk. 33 -36
Theo Hernandez
df. 31 4
Matteo Gabbia
df. 22 1
Strahinja Pavlović
df. 20 2
Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez
df. 18 0
Fikayo Tomori
df. 18 0
Tijani Reijnders
mf. 33 10
Youssouf Fofana
mf. 32 1
Christian Pulisic
mf. 30 10
Ruben Loftus Cheek
mf. 15 0
Luka Jović
fw. 11 2
Substitutes
Marco Sportiello
gk. 2 -2
Lorenzo Torriani
gk. 0 0
Malick Laye Thiaw
df. 21 0
Kyle Walker
df. 9 0
Davide Bartesaghi
df. 3 0
Alessandro Florenzi
df. 0 0
Yunus Dimoara Musah
mf. 25 0
Filippo Terracciano
mf. 12 0
Rafael Leão
fw. 32 7
Samuel Chukwueze
fw. 24 3
João Félix
fw. 11 0
Santiago Tomás Giménez
fw. 11 3
Francesco Camarda
fw. 9 0

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Andy H
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