Gibraltar vs Croatia: prediction & betting odds 6 June 2025

The Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Gibraltar and Croatia will take place on June 6 at the Algarve Stadium in Faro-Loulé, Portugal. Gibraltar vs. Croatia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Gibraltar

The team, as expected, lost their previous two matches, facing Montenegro (1-3) and the Czech Republic (0-4). Gibraltar has yet to earn any points in the World Cup qualifiers, having lost 22 consecutive matches. In Group L standings, they sit at the bottom, and among all participants, only Moldova has conceded more goals (8).

  • The team has conceded at least three goals in 16 consecutive World Cup qualifying matches.
  • In their last 8 home games in this tournament, Gibraltar has scored only one goal.
  • The team has conceded first in 20 out of 22 World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Gibraltar (4-5-1)

Bradley Banda – Bernardo Lopes, Ethan Britto, Louie Annesley, Kian Ronan – Ayoub El Hmidi, Dan Bent, Carlos Richards, James Scanlon, Liam Walker – Tjay De Barr.

Croatia

Zlatko Dalic's side missed previous rounds due to participation in the Nations League. They exchanged victories with France in regular time, both with a score of 2-0, but lost to them in a penalty shootout. In the previous World Cup qualifying cycle, the team performed well, remaining unbeaten in 9 out of 10 matches (7 wins, 2 draws) and ultimately finishing first in their group. Notably, Croatia kept a clean sheet in 7 matches during this period.

  • At least one opponent failed to score in 9 out of Croatia's last 10 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • In 10 of their last 14 away games in this tournament, the team did not score more than one goal.
  • The team has not conceded more than one goal in their last 12 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Croatia (4-5-1)

Dominik Livakovic – Josko Gvardiol, Josip Stanisic, Duje Caleta-Car, Josip Sutalo – Luka Modric, Luka Sucic, Martin Baturina, Ivan Perisic, Andrej Kramaric – Ante Budimir.

Midfielder Nikola Vlasic and defender Borna Sosa are unavailable due to injuries. Mateo Kovacic and Toni Fruk were injured during the team's training camp.

Referee

Georgi Kabakov (Bulgaria)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 55;

Average yellow cards per match – 5;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 19;

Penalties – 0%.

Gibraltar vs. Croatia: Match Prediction

There should be no doubt about the outcome of this match. Gibraltar is unlikely to challenge any opponent. However, the team has recently managed to avoid losing by embarrassing margins, showing some minor improvements.

Gibraltar has lost by more than five goals in only two of their last nine World Cup qualifying matches, both of which were away games. At home, they have lost by 2-4 goals in 5 out of their last 6 matches in this tournament.

While Croatia has performed well on the road, remaining unbeaten in 6 out of their last 7 World Cup qualifying matches (4 wins, 2 draws), they have only managed to thrash Cyprus (3-0) and Malta (7-1) during this period. Moreover, they have won with a goal difference of at least five only twice in their entire World Cup qualifying history.

My prediction: Gibraltar with a handicap (+4.5)

Gibraltar — Croatia betting tips 6 June 2025

In March, Croatia came close to securing another major result, narrowly missing out on a place in the UEFA Nations League semi-finals following a 3:2 aggregate defeat to France. Against Gibraltar, Croatia are expected to dominate from the outset, restricting any attacking efforts by the underdogs deep in their own half.

Ahead of the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, Gibraltar had gone seven matches unbeaten—a streak largely attributed to the level of opposition. In the lowest division of the Nations League, Gibraltar scored just four goals in a group featuring San Marino and Liechtenstein, finishing second. However, those limitations were quickly exposed in defeats to Montenegro (1:3) and the Czech Republic (0:4)—across 180 minutes of qualification football, the squad conceded a worrying 7.60 expected goals against and allowed 21 shots on target.

Having reached the final four in the last two World Cups, Croatia are focused on progressing through qualification without unnecessary complications. In the first leg of the Nations League quarter-finals, Croatia efficiently executed their tactical plan against France (2:0) on counter-attacks, despite Andrej Kramarić missing a penalty. In June, Croatia are likely to lean on the form of Ante Budimir—the experienced Osasuna forward scored 21 goals in La Liga, finishing among the league’s top five scorers.

The only previous encounter between Gibraltar and Croatia took place ten years ago, when Luka Modrić and his teammates secured a comfortable 4:0 victory. The gap in quality remains clear, and Croatia are expected to surpass their individual Total Over.

Betting prediction
Croatia Total Over 3.5
Cf
Odds
57/100
Bet now

Gibraltar vs Croatia Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS

World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Gibraltar
25.03.25
Gibraltar
Czech Republic
L
22.03.25
Montenegro
Gibraltar
L
More matches
Croatia
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

H2H: Gibraltar — Croatia

Friendlies 2014-2015
06.06.15
Croatia
Gibraltar
4
:
0

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group L
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Czech Republic
  -:- -:- 2:1 -:- 2 2 0 0
6:1
6
2
Montenegro
-:-   -:- 1:0 3:1 2 2 0 0
4:1
6
3
Croatia
-:- -:-   -:- -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
4
Faroe Islands
-:- -:- -:-   -:- 2 0 0 2
1:3
0
5
Gibraltar
0:4 -:- -:- -:-   2 0 0 2
1:7
0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
Need Register or Need Login to access unique content: statistics, best odds, trends and tips. Login / Registration
Copy the token