Inter Milan vs Arsenal: betting odds 6 Nov 2024

The Matchday 4 clash of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Inter Milan (Italy) and Arsenal (England) will take place on November 6 at the San Siro Stadium in Milan. Inter vs Arsenal: prediction and betting, odds, statistics.

Projected lineups for the Inter vs Arsenal match

Inter (3-5-2): Yann Sommer – Benjamin Pavard, Stefan de Vrij, Alessandro Bastoni – Matteo Darmian, Nicolo Barella, Davide Frattesi, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram.

Arsenal (4-3-3): David Raya – Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior, Ben White – Jorginho, Thomas Partey, Declan Rice – Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Leandro Trossard.

Inter

The Milanese side is among the top eight after three rounds. Simone Inzaghi's charges have also kept a clean sheet, just like four other clubs. The Italians managed a draw away at Manchester City (0:0), as well as victories over Red Star Belgrade (4:0) and Young Boys (1:0). It is worth noting that in their last 11 Champions League matches, Inter has lost only once in regular time, securing six wins and four draws.

Defender Francesco Acerbi and midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu will miss the game due to injuries.

• At least one team failed to score within 90 minutes in 5 of the last 6 games played by the Milanese in this tournament.
• In 12 of Inter's last 14 Champions League matches in regular time, no more than three goals were scored.
• The Italians have not conceded in the first half in their last six home matches in this competition.

Arsenal

The Gunners, like the Milanese, have yet to concede a goal, tallying 7 points in the group stage of the UCL. The English side also started with a draw – away against Atalanta (0:0). Then, Mikel Arteta's team won against PSG (2:0) and Shakhtar Donetsk (1:0) at home. Notably, the matches between Arsenal and Atalanta are the lowest-scoring of the group stage, averaging just 1 goal per game.

Defenders Takehiro Tomiyasu, Riccardo Calafiori, and Kieran Tierney will miss the match due to injuries.

• Arsenal scored a maximum of one goal in regular time in 6 out of their last 8 games in this competition.
• At least one team failed to score within 90 minutes in 8 out of the last 10 Arsenal's UCL encounters.
• The club has not won in the second 45 minutes in seven consecutive away matches in this tournament (2 draws and 5 losses).

Inter vs Arsenal: Match Prediction

In my opinion, the optimal strategy for advancing to the next stage of the Champions League is to maximize points against significantly weaker opponents, while it's acceptable to play for a draw against equally matched teams. This is exactly how both Milanese and London teams have been performing in the first three rounds. It's challenging to predict a winner in the upcoming confrontation, and it's no surprise that bookmakers are offering equal odds for both clubs. In such matches, a single goal could be decisive.

Both teams are focusing on defense in this tournament and are not scoring many goals. Therefore, I believe it is unlikely that this confrontation will see more than two goals. This has been the case in 10 out of 14 of Inter's previous Champions League matches, as well as in 7 out of 8 of Arsenal's last games in the competition. Additionally, the Gunners haven't scored in their last three away matches in this European cup, while the Milanese haven't conceded in their last three home games in the UCL.

My prediction is "Under 2.5 Total Goals" with odds of

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