The Matchday 1 clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Israel and Estonia will take place on March 22 at the Nadierdei Stadium in Debrecen, Hungary. Israel vs. Estonia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Israel
In the last World Cup qualifying cycle, Israel finished third in their group. The team remained unbeaten in 6 out of 10 matches (5 wins, 1 draw) but fell 7 points short of second-placed Scotland. Notably, matches involving Israel were the highest-scoring in Group F, with an average of 4.4 goals per game. The team also struggled last year, finishing at the bottom of Group A2 in the Nations League.
- In 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifying matches, Israel conceded at least two goals.
- At least three goals were scored in Israel's last 8 World Cup qualifying games.
- The team has remained unbeaten in their last 4 home matches in this tournament (3 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Israel (4-5-1)
Daniel Peretz – Raz Shlomo, Roy Revivo, Eliezer Dasa, Idan Nachmias – Mahmoud Jaber, Oscar Gloukh, Dan Biton, Mohammad Abu Fani, Manor Solomon – Dor Turgeman.
Defender Miguel Vitor and midfielder Dia Saba are injured.
Estonia
In the previous qualifiers, Estonia collected only 4 points by defeating Belarus, who finished last in the group, and drawing with Wales. The Estonian team suffered six defeats, but they managed to score in four of those losses. However, this was more of a spike in performance, as Estonia failed to score in 5 of their last 6 official matches in the Nations League. Nevertheless, Jürgen Henn's side avoided relegation in that tournament.
- No more than two goals were scored in 4 of Estonia's last 5 World Cup qualifying games.
- The team has not won in 11 of their last 12 away World Cup qualifiers (3 draws, 8 losses).
- In 6 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament, Estonia scored no more than once.
Predicted lineup for Estonia (4-5-1)
Karl Hein – Joonas Tamm, Maksim Paskotsi, Märten Kuusk, Rasmus Peetson – Markus Poom, Vlasi Sinjavski, Markus Soomets, Ioan Yakovlev, Mattias Käit – Henri Anier.
Defender Karol Mets and midfielder Rocco Robert Shein are not called up due to injuries.
Referee
Nikola Dabanović (Montenegro)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 10%.
Israel vs. Estonia: Match Prediction
Israel's recent results should not be misleading. The team was placed in a group with France, Italy, and Belgium, making it difficult to secure points against such opponents. However, before the start of the 2024/25 Nations League, Israel remained unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 home official matches (6 wins, 4 draws). Additionally, in the World Cup qualifiers, Israel won three consecutive home games.
Estonia, on the other hand, has only managed to defeat Gibraltar in away World Cup qualifiers over the last 13 years. Generally, the team struggles to win against opponents with even a slight edge in class. Following away victories against Malta and San Marino, Estonia has failed to win in 8 consecutive official away matches (2 draws, 6 losses).
My prediction: Israel to win