The second leg of the 2024/25 Conference League quarter-final between Jagiellonia (Poland) and Real Betis (Spain) will take place on April 17 at the Miejski Stadium in Bialystok. The first match ended 2-0 in favor of Real Betis. Jagiellonia vs. Betis: prediction and statistics.
Jagiellonia
The Polish side could not withstand the pressure from the Sevillians on their turf and lost 0-2. This was the second consecutive defeat for Adrian Semenets's team in this European competition. To advance to the next round of the Conference League, Jagiellonia must defeat the Spaniards by a large margin. If they manage to win by exactly two goals, extra time will be played.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Jagiellonia's last 11 matches in this tournament.
- In 6 of Jagiellonia's last 8 Conference League games, the first half ended in a draw.
- The team has not conceded in the second half in their last five home matches in this European competition.
Predicted lineup for Jagiellonia (4-3-3)
Slawomir Abramowicz – Dusan Stojinovic, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Enzo Ebosse, Joao Gervasio Moutinho – Leon Flak, Taras Romanchuk, Miki Villar – Darko Churlinov, Afimico Pululu, Jesus Imaz.
Real Betis
The Spaniards outperformed their opponents in the first leg, but only managed a 2-0 victory. It's worth noting that the Sevillians had an xG of 3.35. In the return match, the team will be satisfied with a draw or even a one-goal defeat. If Betis succeeds over two legs against the Polish side, they will reach the semi-finals of a European competition for the first time this century.
- In their last seven Conference League games, the Sevillians have suffered only one defeat (5 wins and 1 draw).
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Betis's last 7 matches in this European competition.
- In their last 10 matches in this tournament, the Spaniards have not conceded a goal in the first half.
Predicted lineup for Real Betis (4-3-3)
Fran Vieites – Nathan, Ricardo Rodriguez, Diego Llorente, Youssouf Sabaly – Joao Cardoso, Isco, Pablo Fornals – Antony Mateus, Jesus Rodriguez, Cedric Bakambu.
Forward Abde Ezzalzouli is out due to injury.
Referee
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 57%.
Jagiellonia vs. Betis: Match Prediction
The last visit to Poland ended in defeat for the Spaniards. Recall that in the group stage of the Conference League, the Sevillians encountered Legia and narrowly lost (0-1). In total, Manuel Pellegrini's team has played seven away matches in this European competition, winning four, drawing one, and losing two. However, only Gent was a significant opponent they managed to defeat.
Jagiellonia has yet to lose at home in the Conference League. The team has played five home matches in this tournament, winning four and drawing one. Moreover, they have conceded only one goal in these encounters. With such solid defense, even the in-form Betis will find it challenging to break through. Therefore, I predict that the hosts, supported by their fans, will manage to avoid defeat.
My prediction: Jagiellonia to win or draw
