Lille vs Marseille: prediction & betting odds 4 May 2025

The central match of Ligue 1 Round 32 between Lille and Marseille will take place on May 4 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Marseille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Lille

The team secured their third consecutive victory in Ligue 1 by defeating Angers 2-0 in the last round. Notably, this marks the first time Lille has won three consecutive matches in the current championship. Thanks to this successful run, the club has climbed to third place in the Ligue 1 standings. In the match against Angers, the team also managed to keep a clean sheet for the 11th time this season. Overall, Lille's defense is second only to PSG, having conceded 32 goals compared to the champion's 31. It's important to note that the club has won their last four home matches in Ligue 1.

  • The team's uncompromising streak in the top French division stands at 14 matches (9 wins, 5 losses).
  • No more than 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Lille's last 11 matches in the championship.
  • The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 12 of Lille's previous home matches in Ligue 1.

Predicted lineup for Lille (4-4-2)

Lucas Chevalier – Thomas Meunier, Bafodé Diakité, Alessandro, Ismaily – André Gomes, Benjamin André, Mathias Fernandez Pardo, Hákon Haraldsson – Chuba Akpom, Jonathan David.

Defender Bafodé Diakité is unavailable due to suspension.

Marseille

After thrashing Montpellier 5-1 in the French championship, Marseille also won their next match in this tournament, defeating Brest 4-1. These victories not only helped the club reclaim second place in the Ligue 1 standings but also put them three points ahead of their closest pursuer. Additionally, such a high-scoring performance in the last two matches allowed Marseille to climb to second place in the list of the most prolific teams in the tournament, with 66 goals, second only to PSG's 84. However, Marseille's away form has been poor recently, losing their last four away matches in the championship.

  • At least 4 goals have been scored in 5 of Marseille's last 6 Ligue 1 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 5 of the team's last 6 matches in this tournament.
  • The club has not drawn away in 17 championship matches (10 wins, 7 losses).
  • Marseille has conceded exactly 3 goals in their last 4 away Ligue 1 matches.

Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-5-1)

Geronimo Rulli – Ulisses Garcia, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Leonardo Balerdi, Amir Murillo – Valentin Rongier, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Luis Henrique, Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood – Amine Gouiri.

Referee

Eric Wattellier (France)

Matches – 15 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 20%.

Match Prediction: Lille vs. Marseille

The teams approach the upcoming match as neighbors in the standings, separated by just three points. The hosts have improved at the right time, achieving their longest winning streak of the current championship. At home, Lille has won their last four Ligue 1 matches, including victories over strong opponents like Monaco (2-1) and Lens (1-0). The team has extended their home scoring streak in this tournament to 40 matches. Lille continues to prove that they are traditionally strong at home. In the current championship, Lille has not lost in 13 of their 15 home matches, winning 10.

This could be problematic for Marseille, who have lost their last four away matches in the championship with a total score of 2-12. During this period, they even lost to modest Auxerre and Reims. Yes, the team won their last two Ligue 1 matches convincingly, but both victories came at home, including against a hopeless Montpellier. In their most recent away match, Marseille suffered a heavy defeat to another rival for second place in the championship, Monaco, with a score of 0-3.

Recent head-to-head statistics on Lille's home turf in Ligue 1 do not favor the visitors. Marseille has lost the last four matches there, conceding at least twice in each game. I am confident that this time, the hosts, who need to catch up with their upcoming opponent, will be closer to success. My prediction is Lille with a handicap (0)

Lille vs Marseille Odds

Current season

Logo Lille Logo Marseille
16 Wins 18
7 Lost 9
8 Draws 4
1.58 GF per game 2.13
1.03 GA per game 1.39
4.81 Corners per game 5.1
2.35 Yellow cards per game 1.71

Ligue 1: previous matches in the tournament

Lille
27.04.25
Angers
Lille
W
20.04.25
Lille
Auxerre
W
12.04.25
Toulouse
Lille
W
05.04.25
Lyon
Lille
L
30.03.25
Lille
Lens
W
15.03.25
Nantes
Lille
L
08.03.25
Lille
Montpellier
W
01.03.25
PSG
Lille
L
22.02.25
Lille
Monaco
W
16.02.25
Rennes
Lille
W
08.02.25
Lille
Le Havre
L
01.02.25
Lille
AS Saint-Étienne
W
25.01.25
Strasbourg
Lille
L
17.01.25
Lille
Nice
W
10.01.25
Auxerre
Lille
D
04.01.25
Lille
Nantes
D
14.12.24
Marseille
Lille
D
06.12.24
Lille
Brest
W
01.12.24
Montpellier
Lille
D
24.11.24
Lille
Rennes
W
10.11.24
Nice
Lille
D
01.11.24
Lille
Lyon
D
26.10.24
Lens
Lille
W
18.10.24
Monaco
Lille
D
05.10.24
Lille
Toulouse
W
28.09.24
Le Havre
Lille
W
21.09.24
Lille
Strasbourg
D
13.09.24
AS Saint-Étienne
Lille
L
01.09.24
Lille
PSG
L
24.08.24
Lille
Angers
W
17.08.24
Reims
Lille
W
More matches
Marseille
27.04.25
Marseille
Brest
W
19.04.25
Marseille
Montpellier
W
12.04.25
Monaco
Marseille
L
06.04.25
Marseille
Toulouse
W
29.03.25
Reims
Marseille
L
16.03.25
PSG
Marseille
L
08.03.25
Marseille
Lens
L
02.03.25
Marseille
Nantes
W
22.02.25
Auxerre
Marseille
L
15.02.25
Marseille
AS Saint-Étienne
W
09.02.25
Angers
Marseille
W
02.02.25
Marseille
Lyon
W
26.01.25
Nice
Marseille
L
19.01.25
Marseille
Strasbourg
D
11.01.25
Rennes
Marseille
W
05.01.25
Marseille
Le Havre
W
14.12.24
Marseille
Lille
D
08.12.24
AS Saint-Étienne
Marseille
W
01.12.24
Marseille
Monaco
W
23.11.24
Lens
Marseille
W
08.11.24
Marseille
Auxerre
L
03.11.24
Nantes
Marseille
W
27.10.24
Marseille
PSG
L
20.10.24
Montpellier
Marseille
W
04.10.24
Marseille
Angers
D
29.09.24
Strasbourg
Marseille
L
22.09.24
Lyon
Marseille
W
14.09.24
Marseille
Nice
W
31.08.24
Toulouse
Marseille
W
25.08.24
Marseille
Reims
D
17.08.24
Brest
Marseille
W
More matches

H2H: Lille — Marseille

French Cup 2024-2025
14.01.25
Marseille
Lille
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
3
:
4
P
Ligue 1 2024-2025
14.12.24
Marseille
Lille
Ligue 1 2023-2024
05.04.24
Lille
Marseille
04.11.23
Marseille
Lille
Ligue 1 2022-2023
20.05.23
Lille
Marseille
10.09.22
Marseille
Lille
Ligue 1 2021-2022
16.01.22
Marseille
Lille
03.10.21
Lille
Marseille
Ligue 1 2020-2021
03.03.21
Lille
Marseille
20.09.20
Marseille
Lille
Ligue 1 2019-2020
16.02.20
Lille
Marseille
02.11.19
Marseille
Lille
Ligue 1 2018-2019
25.01.19
Marseille
Lille
30.09.18
Lille
Marseille
Ligue 1 2017-2018
21.04.18
Marseille
Lille
29.10.17
Lille
Marseille
Ligue 1 2016-2017
17.03.17
Lille
Marseille
18.12.16
Marseille
Lille
Ligue 1 2015-2016
29.01.16
Marseille
Lille
25.10.15
Lille
Marseille
Ligue 1 2014-2015
16.05.15
Lille
Marseille
21.12.14
Marseille
Lille
Ligue 1 2013-2014
19.04.14
Marseille
Lille
0
:
0
02.12.13
Lille
Marseille
1
:
0
Ligue 1 2012-2013
13.04.13
Lille
Marseille
0
:
0
24.11.12
Marseille
Lille
1
:
0
Ligue 1 2011-2012
14.01.12
Marseille
Lille
2
:
0
27.08.11
Lille
Marseille
3
:
2
Ligue 1 2010-2011
05.03.11
Marseille
Lille
1
:
2
23.10.10
Lille
Marseille
1
:
3
Ligue 1 2009-2010
07.05.10
Lille
Marseille
3
:
2
15.08.09
Marseille
Lille
1
:
0
Ligue 1 2008-2009
25.04.09
Lille
Marseille
1
:
2
22.11.08
Marseille
Lille
2
:
2
Ligue 1 2007-2008
19.04.08
Marseille
Lille
1
:
3
30.11.07
Lille
Marseille
1
:
1
Ligue 1 2006-2007
07.04.07
Marseille
Lille
4
:
1
11.11.06
Lille
Marseille
1
:
0
Ligue 1 2005-2006
18.03.06
Lille
Marseille
0
:
0
28.10.05
Marseille
Lille
1
:
1
Ligue 1 2004-2005
10.01.05
Lille
Marseille
1
:
2
14.08.04
Marseille
Lille
3
:
0
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
32 24 6 2 85:33 78
2
Monaco
32 17 7 8 61:37 58
3
Marseille
31 18 4 9 66:43 58
4
Nice
32 16 9 7 60:39 57
5
Strasbourg
32 16 9 7 53:39 57
6
Lille
31 16 8 7 49:32 56
7
Lyon
31 16 6 9 62:42 54
8
Lens
31 13 6 12 35:37 45
9
Brest
31 13 5 13 49:53 44
10
Auxerre
31 11 8 12 45:45 41
11
Rennes
32 12 2 18 47:46 38
12
Toulouse
32 10 8 14 40:40 38
13
Reims
32 8 9 15 32:43 33
14
Nantes
31 7 11 13 35:50 32
15
Angers
31 8 6 17 29:50 30
16
Le Havre
31 8 4 19 34:65 28
17
AS Saint-Étienne
32 7 6 19 35:74 27
18
Montpellier
31 4 4 23 22:71 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
16 13 2 1 42:15 41
2
Monaco
16 11 3 2 36:16 36
3
Strasbourg
16 10 5 1 31:17 35
4
Nice
16 10 4 2 32:15 34
5
Lille
15 10 3 2 28:16 33
6
Lyon
15 10 2 3 34:19 32
7
Marseille
16 9 4 3 37:21 31
8
Brest
15 8 3 4 28:21 27
9
Auxerre
15 7 5 3 22:14 26
10
Rennes
16 8 1 7 23:17 25
11
AS Saint-Étienne
16 6 3 7 22:30 21
12
Lens
16 6 2 8 15:22 20
13
Toulouse
16 5 4 7 19:21 19
14
Nantes
15 4 6 5 16:17 18
15
Reims
16 4 4 8 17:23 16
16
Angers
16 4 2 10 16:32 14
17
Montpellier
16 3 4 9 16:37 13
18
Le Havre
16 3 2 11 14:38 11
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
16 11 4 1 43:18 37
2
Marseille
15 9 0 6 29:22 27
3
Lens
15 7 4 4 20:15 25
4
Lille
16 6 5 5 21:16 23
5
Nice
16 6 5 5 28:24 23
6
Lyon
16 6 4 6 28:23 22
7
Monaco
16 6 4 6 25:21 22
8
Strasbourg
16 6 4 6 22:22 22
9
Toulouse
16 5 4 7 21:19 19
10
Reims
16 4 5 7 15:20 17
11
Le Havre
15 5 2 8 20:27 17
12
Brest
16 5 2 9 21:32 17
13
Angers
15 4 4 7 13:18 16
14
Auxerre
16 4 3 9 23:31 15
15
Nantes
16 3 5 8 19:33 14
16
Rennes
16 4 1 11 24:29 13
17
AS Saint-Étienne
16 1 3 12 13:44 6
18
Montpellier
15 1 0 14 6:34 3

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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