Malta vs Lithuania: prediction & betting odds 7 June 2025

The Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between Malta and Lithuania will take place on June 7 at the National Stadium in Ta' Qali. Malta vs. Lithuania: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Malta

Emilio De Leo's side quickly found themselves at the bottom of Group G. The team lost both of their opening qualifiers without scoring: a 0-1 defeat to Finland at home and a 0-2 loss to Poland away. Malta's losing streak in World Cup qualifiers now stands at four matches, with a heavy aggregate score of 1-16.

  • The team has not won in World Cup qualifying for eight matches (1 draw and 7 losses).
  • Malta failed to score in 6 of their last 8 games in this tournament.
  • Malta has trailed at halftime in their last six World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Malta (3-5-2)

Henry Bonello – James Carragher, Zach Muscat, Enrico Pepe – Teddy Teuma, Joseph Mbong, Matthew Guillaumier, Ryan Camenzuli, Alex Satariano – Kyrian Nwoko, Paul Mbong.


Forward Ilyas Shouaref, defenders Gabriel Mentz and Kurt Shaw will miss the match due to suspensions.

Lithuania

The Baltic team had a decent showing in their March qualifiers. Edgaras Jankauskas's side narrowly lost 0-1 away to Poland and then drew 2-2 at home against Finland. Notably, in their last 17 European World Cup qualifiers, Lithuania has only scored more than one goal twice. The team currently sits third in the group with one point.

  • Lithuania has only one win in their last 17 games in this tournament (2 draws and 14 losses).
  • At least two goals have been scored in 15 of Lithuania's last 20 World Cup qualifiers.
  • In their last 13 away World Cup qualifiers, Lithuania has lost 10 times.

Predicted lineup for Lithuania (4-4-2)

Edvinas Gertmonas – Pijus Sirvys, Artemijus Tutyskinas, Edgaras Utkus, Kipras Kazukolovas – Vykintas Slivka, Gvidas Gineitis, Paulius Golubickas, Domantas Antanavicius – Gytis Paulauskas, Manfredas Ruzgis.

Referee

Marian Barbu (Romania)


Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 22%.

Match Prediction for Malta vs. Lithuania

This upcoming match features potential Group G underdogs. Both teams will be eager to improve their standings and avoid finishing at the bottom. However, both sides struggle in attack and score very few goals, so a high-scoring game is not expected.

Malta has scored only three goals in their last eight World Cup qualifiers. Additionally, in their last 44 home matches in this tournament, Malta has only managed to score more than one goal once. Lithuania, particularly weak on the road, has scored just four goals in their last 13 away World Cup qualifiers. Therefore, I anticipate that this match, like their last two encounters, will feature a maximum of two goals.

My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals

Malta — Lithuania betting tips 7 June 2025

There is a realistic chance that both Malta and Lithuania could end up in the same UEFA Nations League League D group in the next cycle. For now, though, they are set to meet in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers.

In the current UEFA standings, Lithuania are ranked 49th, while Malta sit 51st. The contrast is more noticeable in the FIFA World Rankings, where a 26-place gap separates the two teams. Malta are currently bottom of Group G in fifth place, but have surprisingly registered a respectable goal difference of –3 after two fixtures. The main issue is they have yet to score a goal. Their opponents so far? Considerably stronger teams than Lithuania: Finland (0:1) and Poland (0:2).

Lithuania, meanwhile, are third in the group, sitting above both Malta and the Netherlands. That might come as a surprise, but it’s easily explained — the Netherlands have yet to play a match in this qualifying campaign. Lithuania have faced the same opposition as Malta. They lost 0:1 to Poland in Warsaw and came from 0:2 down to earn a 2:2 draw with Finland in Kaunas.

Given that Lithuania have achieved superior results against identical opponents, logic suggests they are better positioned to come away with a win. Still, nothing can be taken for granted. In the 2018 World Cup qualifiers, the two nations drew 1:1 in Malta before Lithuania a 2:0 win at home. What appears more likely is that Lithuania will avoid defeat, and the match is expected to produce few goals.

Betting prediction
Lithuania to win or draw + Total Under 2.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
23/25
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Malta vs Lithuania Odds

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World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Malta
24.03.25
Poland
Malta
L
21.03.25
Malta
Finland
L
More matches
Lithuania
24.03.25
Lithuania
Finland
D
21.03.25
Poland
Lithuania
L
More matches

H2H: Malta — Lithuania

World Cup 2018 Qualification
05.10.17
Malta
Lithuania
1
:
1
11.10.16
Lithuania
Malta
2
:
0
Friendlies 2014-2015
08.06.15
Malta
Lithuania
2
:
0

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group G
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Poland
  -:- 1:0 -:- 2:0 2 2 0 0
3:0
6
2
Finland
-:-   -:- -:- -:- 2 1 1 0
3:2
4
3
Lithuania
-:- 2:2   -:- -:- 2 0 1 1
2:3
1
4
Netherlands
-:- -:- -:-   -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
5
Malta
-:- 0:1 -:- -:-   2 0 0 2
0:3
0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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