The Matchday 2 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Moldova and Estonia will take place on March 25 at the Zimbru Stadium in Chisinau. Moldova vs. Estonia: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Moldova
Sergei Kleshchenko's team suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat at home to Norway in the last round. The outcome was decided in the first half, where Moldova conceded four goals. This marked their 10th consecutive loss in World Cup qualifiers, equaling their longest losing streak in World Cup qualification history. Additionally, Moldova has conceded at least two goals in their last six matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Moldova's last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
- In their last 4 home World Cup qualifiers, the team failed to score against their opponents.
- Moldova has not won any of their last 11 home games in this tournament (2 draws, 9 losses).
Predicted lineup for Moldova (5-4-1)
Dmitri Celeadnic – Oleg Reabciuk, Artur Crăciun, Ioan-Călin Revenco, Victor Mudrac, Vladislav Baboglo – Vadim Rață, Virgiliu Postolachi, Mihail Caimacov, Nikita Moțpan – Ion Nicolaescu.
Estonia
Estonia also started the tournament with a defeat. Jürgen Henn's side took the lead against Israel but couldn't hold on, losing 1-2. This was their fourth consecutive loss in World Cup qualifiers, with three of those matches played away. Estonia has conceded in 8 of their last 10 World Cup qualifying games.
- Estonia has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
- The team has not won any of their last 5 away matches in this tournament (1 draw, 4 losses).
- In 4 of their last 5 away World Cup qualifiers, Estonia conceded at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Estonia (4-4-2)
Karl Hein – Michael Lilander, Maksim Paskotsi, Märten Kuusk, Rasmus Peetson – Markus Poom, Vlasi Sinjavski, Markus Soomets, Mattias Käit – Alex Tamm, Ioan Yakovlev.
Midfielder Markus Soomets will miss the match due to a suspension from the last round.
Referee
Lawrence Visser (Belgium)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.4;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 11%.
Match Prediction: Moldova vs. Estonia
The teams are relatively evenly matched, with bookmakers favoring Moldova, who will have the advantage of playing at home. Moldova's recent results in official matches appear more favorable than Estonia's. However, the situation is not straightforward.
Moldova has lost 9 of their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers, only picking up points against Georgia and the Faroe Islands. Last year, Sergei Kleshchenko's side won their Nations League group, but with Malta and Andorra as opponents, a different outcome was hard to expect.
Estonia has never experienced such a long losing streak in World Cup qualifiers as Moldova. Away in this tournament, they have avoided defeat in 4 of their last 8 matches, although they did lose to strong teams like the Czech Republic and Belgium, and with respectable scores. Half of Moldova's defeats during their unsuccessful streak were by large margins.
In my view, the hosts have no clear advantage, and the visitors could well earn points. My prediction: Estonia to win or draw