The Matchday 1 fixture of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Montenegro and Gibraltar will take place on March 22 at the Gradski Stadium in Nikšić. Montenegro vs. Gibraltar: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Montenegro
In the previous World Cup qualifying campaign, Montenegro finished fourth in their group. The Montenegrins managed to win only 3 out of 10 matches (3 draws, 4 losses) and trailed second-placed Turkey by 9 points. Notably, two of their victories were against Gibraltar. Montenegro also had a disappointing year in the Nations League, losing 5 out of 6 matches.
- In 5 of their last 7 World Cup qualifiers, the team conceded at least two goals.
- At home in this tournament, Montenegro has not won 5 of their last 6 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
- The team has not scored more than 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 home games in the World Cup qualifying cycle.
Predicted lineup for Montenegro (4-4-2)
Milan Mijatović – Adam Marušić, Igor Vujačić, Marko Vukčević, Marko Vešović – Stefan Lončar, Marko Janković, Driton Camaj, Marko Bakić – Nikola Krstović, Stefan Mugoša.
Defenders Risto Radunović and Stefan Savić are injured.
Gibraltar
The team failed to cause any upsets in the last World Cup qualifiers. Gibraltar lost all 10 matches in their group and conceded 43 goals, a tally only surpassed by San Marino (46). However, one of their four goals was scored against Montenegro. In the 2024/25 Nations League, Gibraltar went unbeaten (1 win, 3 draws), but these results were not enough for a top spot in the group.
- The team has lost all 20 matches in the World Cup qualifying cycle.
- Gibraltar conceded at least three goals in 10 away games in this tournament.
- In 10 of their last 14 World Cup qualifiers, the team failed to score.
Predicted lineup for Gibraltar (4-5-1)
Bradley Banda – Bernardo Lopes, Ethan Britto, Louie Annesley, Kian Ronan – Liam Walker, Graeme Torrilla, Nicholas Pozo, James Scanlon, Jack Sergeant – Tjay De Barr.
In March this year, Scott Wiseman was appointed as the acting head coach.
Referee
Antonio Nobre (Portugal)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 38%.
Montenegro vs. Gibraltar: Match Prediction
For the second consecutive time, the draw places these rivals in the same World Cup qualifying group. Gibraltar's memories of past encounters are not the best, which is often the case against technically superior opponents.
Out of 20 losses in the World Cup qualifying cycle, Gibraltar suffered heavy defeats 16 times. In 14 consecutive matches in this tournament, the team conceded at least three goals. Gibraltar's recent official matches have not been much better. Excluding two Nations League matches against Liechtenstein and San Marino, Gibraltar has a streak of 11 away defeats, 10 of which were by a margin of at least three goals.
Montenegro secured victories in the last two encounters with scores of 4-1 and 3-0. It is unlikely that anything will prevent the team from achieving another convincing win. My prediction: Montenegro with a handicap (-2.5)