Montenegro vs Gibraltar: betting odds 22 Mar 2025

The Matchday 1 fixture of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Montenegro and Gibraltar will take place on March 22 at the Gradski Stadium in Nikšić. Montenegro vs. Gibraltar: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Montenegro

In the previous World Cup qualifying campaign, Montenegro finished fourth in their group. The Montenegrins managed to win only 3 out of 10 matches (3 draws, 4 losses) and trailed second-placed Turkey by 9 points. Notably, two of their victories were against Gibraltar. Montenegro also had a disappointing year in the Nations League, losing 5 out of 6 matches.


  • In 5 of their last 7 World Cup qualifiers, the team conceded at least two goals.
  • At home in this tournament, Montenegro has not won 5 of their last 6 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
  • The team has not scored more than 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 home games in the World Cup qualifying cycle.

Predicted lineup for Montenegro (4-4-2)

Milan Mijatović – Adam Marušić, Igor Vujačić, Marko Vukčević, Marko Vešović – Stefan Lončar, Marko Janković, Driton Camaj, Marko Bakić – Nikola Krstović, Stefan Mugoša.


Defenders Risto Radunović and Stefan Savić are injured.

Gibraltar

The team failed to cause any upsets in the last World Cup qualifiers. Gibraltar lost all 10 matches in their group and conceded 43 goals, a tally only surpassed by San Marino (46). However, one of their four goals was scored against Montenegro. In the 2024/25 Nations League, Gibraltar went unbeaten (1 win, 3 draws), but these results were not enough for a top spot in the group.


  • The team has lost all 20 matches in the World Cup qualifying cycle.
  • Gibraltar conceded at least three goals in 10 away games in this tournament.
  • In 10 of their last 14 World Cup qualifiers, the team failed to score.

Predicted lineup for Gibraltar (4-5-1)

Bradley Banda – Bernardo Lopes, Ethan Britto, Louie Annesley, Kian Ronan – Liam Walker, Graeme Torrilla, Nicholas Pozo, James Scanlon, Jack Sergeant – Tjay De Barr.


In March this year, Scott Wiseman was appointed as the acting head coach.

Referee

Antonio Nobre (Portugal)


Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 38%.

Montenegro vs. Gibraltar: Match Prediction

For the second consecutive time, the draw places these rivals in the same World Cup qualifying group. Gibraltar's memories of past encounters are not the best, which is often the case against technically superior opponents.


Out of 20 losses in the World Cup qualifying cycle, Gibraltar suffered heavy defeats 16 times. In 14 consecutive matches in this tournament, the team conceded at least three goals. Gibraltar's recent official matches have not been much better. Excluding two Nations League matches against Liechtenstein and San Marino, Gibraltar has a streak of 11 away defeats, 10 of which were by a margin of at least three goals.


Montenegro secured victories in the last two encounters with scores of 4-1 and 3-0. It is unlikely that anything will prevent the team from achieving another convincing win. My prediction: Montenegro with a handicap (-2.5)

Betting tips 22 Mar 2025

Despite being relegated from Nations League B last autumn, Montenegro head into this World Cup qualifier as overwhelming favourites against Gibraltar. The two sides met not long ago in World Cup 2022 qualifying, where Montenegro  cruised to victories in both legs — 4:1 away and 3:0 at home.

By the final round of the Nations League group stage, Montenegro had already lost their chance to avoid relegation but managed to produce a shock result by beating Turkey (3:1). That win ended a run of seven straight defeats, and it was no fluke — a hat-trick from young star Nikola Krstović helped seal the win, with Montenegro generating 0.87 xG from six shots on target, mostly via counter-attacks. Manager Robert Prosinečki is expected to field his strongest attacking line-up in Nikšić, as the team looks to start their World Cup campaign on a high note.

Gibraltar’s seven-match unbeaten run suggests some progress, but it’s worth looking closer. The only notable result in that stretch was a 0:0 draw against Wales, and in their Nations League group, they finished below San Marino. Gibraltar’s last away win came in October 2020, and they continue to suffer heavy defeats on the road.

In their two meetings during World Cup 2022 qualification, Montenegro twice exceeded their individual total goal expectation of 2.5, with Gibraltar conceding a combined 47 shots over 180 minutes. A similar level of dominance is expected here, and the hosts should deliver a convincing win.

Betting prediction
Montenegro Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
11/20
Bet now

Montenegro vs Gibraltar Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS

World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Montenegro
The team hasn't played a game yet this season
Gibraltar
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

H2H: Montenegro — Gibraltar

World Cup 2022 2021-2022
08.10.21
Gibraltar
Montenegro
27.03.21
Montenegro
Gibraltar

Group stage

Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Montenegro
  -:- -:- 3:1 1 1 0 0
3:1
3
2
Czech Republic
-:-   2:1 -:- 1 1 0 0
2:1
3
3
Faroe Islands
-:- -:-   -:- 1 0 0 1
1:2
0
4
Gibraltar
-:- -:- -:-   1 0 0 1
1:3
0

Team lineups

Montenegro

R. Prosinečki
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Igor Nikić
gk. 0 0
Marko Tući
df. 0 0
Marko Vešović
df. 0 0
Nikola Šipčić
df. 0 0
Ognjen Gašević
df. 0 0
Driton Camaj
mf. 0 0
Marko Janković
mf. 0 0
Stefan Loncar
mf. 0 0
Nikola Krstović
fw. 0 0
Stefan Mugosa
fw. 0 0
Stevan Jovetić
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Balša Popović
gk. 0 0
Danijel Petković
gk. 0 0
Adam Marušić
df. 0 0
Andrija Vukčević
df. 0 0
Igor Vujacic
df. 0 0
Marko Vukčević
df. 0 0
Slobodan Rubežić
df. 0 0
Andrija Radulović
mf. 0 0
Edvin Kuč
mf. 0 0
Marko Bakić
mf. 0 0
Milan Vukotić
mf. 0 0
Miloš Brnović
mf. 0 0
Gibraltar

J. Ribas
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Bradley Banda
gk. 0 0
Bernardo Morgado Gaspar Lopes
df. 0 0
Ethan Britto
df. 0 0
Kian Ronan
df. 0 0
Louie Annesley
df. 0 0
Ayoub El Hmidi
mf. 0 0
Carlos Peliza Richards
mf. 0 0
Daniel David Bent
mf. 0 0
James Scanlon
mf. 0 0
Liam Joseph Jessop
fw. 0 0
Tjay De Barr
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
0 0
0 0
Christian López
gk. 0 0
Harry Philip Victor
gk. 0 0
Julian John Valarino
mf. 0 0
Kyle Clinton
mf. 0 0
Liam Walker
mf. 0 0
Nicholas Pozo
mf. 0 0
Jaiden Kamil Bartolo
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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