Monza’s dire situation leaves them among the prime relegation candidates across Europe’s top five leagues. This plays into Lecce’s hands, as the visitors have been collecting points steadily. Their solid defensive structure should help them maintain a safe distance from the drop zone.
A four-match losing streak led to their second managerial change of the season. Interestingly, Salvatore Bocchetti replaced Alessandro Nesta – the very coach Monza started this campaign with. Their home record is dismal, with just six points from 12 matches and an accumulated 11.06 xG, the second-worst tally in Serie A. Following Daniel Maldini and Warren Bondo’s departures, Monza now lack creative quality going forward.
Despite improving their results, Lecce still boast the league’s worst attack, scoring just 18 goals – the only team yet to hit the 20-goal mark. Their recent victory over Parma (3:1) was their first away win, before which they had scored just six goals in 11 away games. Lecce also lost Patrick Dorgu to Manchester United, stripping them of a key attacking option on the flank. This further limits their offensive potential.
Lecce’s 24 league matches have seen under 2.5 goals land 11 times, while their defensive mindset away from home suggests another low-scoring affair. Monza, desperate for points, are unlikely to break through Lecce’s compact defensive lines, keeping the match cagey and tight.
