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26 January 2025, 17:00
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Lecce vs Inter Milan: prediction & betting odds 26 January 2025

Published: 20 January 2025 07:53
Author: Simon Dalton Simon Dalton
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
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After drawing with an in-form Bologna, Inter Milan have relinquished their advantage over Napoli in terms of points dropped — as reigning champions, they cannot afford another slip-up. Their away game against Lecce is unlikely to pose a challenge for Inter Milan, especially after the coaching staff smartly managed player rotation in Prague against Sparta (1:0), preserving their energy for domestic competition.

Lecce 

Lecce remain precariously close to the relegation zone following a painful defeat by Cagliari (1:4), with their lead over 18th-placed Hellas Verona down to just one point. They still hold the least effective attack in the tournament (15 goals in 21 matches), and in terms of xGA, Lecce rank among the bottom three (39.21). While the underdogs show slightly more stability at home, they continue to falter against top-tier opponents — their loss to Lazio (1:2 with 1.96 xGA) being a case in point.

Inter Milan

In nine away matches in the Italian championship, Inter Milan have collected 23 points and remain unbeaten (goal difference +20) — a record matched only by Juventus. In the last round against Empoli (3:1), both Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram found the net. These leading forwards rank in the top 10 Serie A scorers (21+5 combined). Overall, Inter Milan boast the tournament's best shot efficiency, being the first to surpass 50 goals (51 in 20 matches).

Lecce vs Inter Milan Prediction

Since March 2023, Lecce have suffered four consecutive defeats to Inter Milan, losing by two or more goals each time. The favourites are expected to create a significant advantage in chances once again.

Betting prediction
Inter Milan (-1.5)
Cf
Odds
19/20

Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
55,5 %
Win rate
-6,2 %
ROI
1.70
Avg. Odds
385
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

Lecce

M. Giampaolo
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Wladimiro Falcone
gk. 21 -36
Federico Baschirotto
df. 21 0
Patrick Dorgu
df. 20 3
Frédéric Guilbert
df. 16 0
Gaby Jean
df. 10 0
Lassana Coulibaly
mf. 21 0
Balthazar Pierret
mf. 16 0
Johann Helgason Thorir
mf. 5 0
Nikola Krstović
fw. 21 6
Santiago Pierotti
fw. 20 2
Substitutes
Alexandru Gabriel Borbei
gk. 0 0
Christian Früchtl
gk. 0 0
Jasper Lauri Petteri Samooja
gk. 0 0
Antonino Gallo
df. 15 0
Kevin Bonifazi
df. 3 0
Ylber Ramadani
mf. 18 0
Mohamed Kaba
mf. 8 0
Ed McJannet
mf. 0 0
Jesper Karlsson
fw. 3 0
Rareş Cătălin Burnete
fw. 1 0
Inter Milan

S. Inzaghi
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Yann Sommer
gk. 21 -18
Alessandro Bastoni
df. 20 1
Denzel Dumfries
df. 18 5
Matteo Darmian
df. 18 2
Stefan de Vrij
df. 17 1
Carlos Augusto
df. 13 2
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
mf. 19 1
Piotr Zieliński
mf. 15 2
Marcus Thuram
fw. 21 13
Lautaro Martínez
fw. 19 8
Substitutes
Alessandro Calligaris
gk. 0 0
Josep Martínez
gk. 0 0
Federico Dimarco
df. 20 3
Benjamin Pavard
df. 13 0
Yann Bisseck
df. 13 1
Nicolò Barella
mf. 18 3
Kristjan Asllani
mf. 12 0
Tajon Buchanan
mf. 5 0
Mehdi Taremi
fw. 15 0
Marko Arnautovic
fw. 7 0

Latest team matches

Lecce
19 January, 2025
Serie A
Cagliari
Lecce
4
1
L
11 January, 2025
Serie A
Empoli
Lecce
1
3
W
5 January, 2025
Serie A
Lecce
Genoa
0
0
D
30 December, 2024
Serie A
Como
Lecce
2
0
L
21 December, 2024
Serie A
Lecce
Lazio
1
2
L
Show more Hide
Inter Milan
22 January, 2025
Champions League
Sparta Prague
Inter Milan
0
1
W
22 January, 2025
Champions League
Sparta Prague
Inter Milan
0
1
W
19 January, 2025
Serie A
Inter Milan
Empoli
3
1
W
15 January, 2025
Serie A
Inter Milan
Bologna
2
2
D
12 January, 2025
Serie A
Venezia
Inter Milan
0
1
W
Show more Hide

H2H: Lecce — Inter Milan

Serie A 2024-2025
24 August, 2024
Inter Milan
Lecce
2
0
Serie A 2023-2024
25 February, 2024
Lecce
Inter Milan
0
4
23 December, 2023
Inter Milan
Lecce
2
0
Serie A 2022-2023
5 March, 2023
Inter Milan
Lecce
2
0
13 August, 2022
Lecce
Inter Milan
1
2
Serie A 2019-2020
19 January, 2020
Lecce
Inter Milan
1
1
26 August, 2019
Inter Milan
Lecce
4
0
Serie A 2011-2012
29 January, 2012
Lecce
Inter Milan
1
0
21 December, 2011
Inter Milan
Lecce
4
1
Serie A 2010-2011
20 March, 2011
Inter Milan
Lecce
1
0
Show more Hide

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
Napoli
38 24 10 4 59:27 82
Inter Milan
38 24 9 5 79:35 81
Atalanta
38 22 8 8 78:37 74
Juventus
38 18 16 4 58:35 70
Roma
38 20 9 9 56:35 69
Fiorentina
38 19 8 11 60:41 65
7
Lazio
38 18 11 9 61:49 65
8
Milan
38 18 9 11 61:43 63
9
Bologna
38 16 14 8 57:47 62
10
Como 1907
38 13 10 15 49:52 49
11
Torino
38 10 14 14 39:45 44
12
Udineze
38 12 8 18 41:56 44
13
Genoa
38 10 13 15 37:49 43
14
Hellas Verona
38 10 7 21 34:66 37
15
Cagliari
38 9 9 20 40:56 36
16
Parma
38 7 15 16 44:58 36
17
Lecce
38 8 10 20 27:58 34
18
Empoli
38 6 13 19 33:59 31
19
Venezia
38 5 14 19 32:56 29
20
Monza
38 3 9 26 28:69 18
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Roma
5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2
Milan
5 4 0 1 10:5 12
3
Napoli
5 3 2 0 7:2 11
4
Juventus
5 3 2 0 9:4 11
5
Atalanta
5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6
Inter Milan
5 3 1 1 7:3 10
7
Como 1907
5 3 1 1 6:4 10
8
Fiorentina
5 3 0 2 9:8 9
9
Lecce
5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10
Cagliari
5 2 0 3 7:7 6
11
Empoli
5 2 0 3 7:7 6
12
Lazio
5 1 3 1 6:6 6
13
Hellas Verona
5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14
Parma
5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15
Genoa
5 1 1 3 8:9 4
16
Udineze
5 1 1 3 5:8 4
17
Venezia
5 1 1 3 5:10 4
18
Monza
5 1 0 4 3:12 3
19
Bologna
5 0 2 3 5:10 2
20
Torino
5 0 1 4 1:8 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Napoli
19 14 3 2 32:13 45
2
Inter Milan
19 13 4 2 40:21 43
3
Roma
19 13 2 4 37:15 41
4
Fiorentina
19 12 4 3 32:18 40
5
Juventus
19 11 7 1 31:15 40
6
Bologna
19 10 7 2 33:18 37
7
Milan
19 9 7 3 30:16 34
8
Atalanta
19 9 5 5 36:24 32
9
Lazio
19 7 9 3 33:26 30
10
Como 1907
19 8 5 6 28:26 29
11
Torino
19 6 7 6 17:18 25
12
Udineze
19 7 3 9 22:27 24
13
Cagliari
19 6 4 9 24:28 22
14
Genoa
19 5 7 7 21:25 22
15
Parma
19 5 6 8 25:28 21
16
Venezia
19 5 5 9 17:22 20
17
Lecce
19 4 6 9 13:31 18
18
Hellas Verona
19 4 5 10 15:36 17
19
Empoli
19 2 7 10 10:26 13
20
Monza
19 1 5 13 13:31 8
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Atalanta
19 13 3 3 42:13 42
2
Inter Milan
19 11 5 3 39:14 38
3
Napoli
19 10 7 2 27:14 37
4
Lazio
19 11 2 6 28:23 35
5
Juventus
19 7 9 3 27:20 30
6
Milan
19 9 2 8 31:27 29
7
Roma
19 7 7 5 19:20 28
8
Fiorentina
19 7 4 8 28:23 25
9
Bologna
19 6 7 6 24:29 25
10
Genoa
19 5 6 8 16:24 21
11
Como 1907
19 5 5 9 21:26 20
12
Udineze
19 5 5 9 19:29 20
13
Hellas Verona
19 6 2 11 19:30 20
14
Torino
19 4 7 8 22:27 19
15
Empoli
19 4 6 9 23:33 18
16
Lecce
19 4 4 11 14:27 16
17
Parma
19 2 9 8 19:30 15
18
Cagliari
19 3 5 11 16:28 14
19
Monza
19 2 4 13 15:38 10
20
Venezia
19 0 9 10 15:34 9
Legend
Qualification/Elimination
Relegation to Seria B
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Lecce vs Inter Milan Odds

TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
BookieOVER ()UNDER ()
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