Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: prediction & betting odds 27 Apr 2025

The FA Cup semi-final match between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City will take place on April 27 at Wembley Stadium in London. Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest has won the FA Cup twice in their history. Their last trophy was claimed in 1959, and they reached the final once more 25 years ago. This season's tournament has been challenging for Nuno Espírito Santo's side, as they only secured a win in regular time at the start, defeating Luton Town 2-0. In the next three rounds, the club advanced thanks to better penalty execution, notably overcoming Premier League sides Ipswich and Brighton.

  • No more than two goals were scored in regular time in 6 of Nottingham Forest's last 7 FA Cup games.
  • Nottingham Forest avoided defeat in 90 minutes in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament (1 win and 7 draws).
  • The club has not lost the first half in their last eight FA Cup matches (3 wins and 5 draws).

Predicted lineup for Nottingham Forest (4-2-3-1)

Matz Sels – Ola Aina, Murillo, Neco Williams, Nikola Milenković – Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira, Ryan Yates – Morgan Gibbs-White, Nicolas Dominguez, Elliot Anderson – Taiwo Awoniyi.

Ola Aina's participation in the match is still uncertain.

Manchester City

The Citizens faced a tough quarter-final away match against Bournemouth, winning 2-1. However, their opponents in the first three rounds were much easier – they advanced past a Championship bottom-dweller, as well as League 1 and League 2 teams. If Pep Guardiola's side defeats Nottingham Forest, they will reach the final of this tournament for the third consecutive time: last year they lost to Manchester United, while the previous season they won the trophy (for the 7th time in their history), again facing their city rivals in the final.

  • The club has won 15 of their last 16 matches in this tournament.
  • At least three goals have been scored in Manchester City's last five FA Cup games.
  • The Mancunians have scored at least two goals in 11 of their last 14 games in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Manchester City (4-2-3-1)

Ederson – Josko Gvardiol, Abduqodir Khusanov, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias – Bernardo Silva, Mateo Kovacic – Phil Foden, Kevin De Bruyne, Bernardo Silva – Erling Haaland.

Rodri Hernandez, Nathan Ake, John Stones, and forward Erling Haaland are currently in the club's infirmary. Goalkeeper Ederson is still questionable.

Referee

Michael Oliver (England)

Matches – 24 (Premier League and FA Cup, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 110;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;

Red cards shown – 6;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 8%.

Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City: Match Prediction

Pep Guardiola's side has an excellent track record in the FA Cup: consistently reaching the later stages of the tournament, winning in regular time, and scoring heavily. However, the upcoming match is unlikely to be easy for the Mancunians, as Nottingham Forest has a well-organized team this season, which rarely loses in the league. In the FA Cup, they have shown resilience, snatching victories in penalty shootouts.

Both teams are contending for a Champions League spot in the current Premier League. The Citizens are currently third, one point ahead of Nottingham Forest, but Nuno Espírito Santo's side has a game in hand. Despite the league motivation, both teams will have a special focus on the FA Cup, making it difficult to predict a winner in this matchup.

I believe that if Nottingham Forest loses, it will be by no more than one goal. In their last 23 official matches, Nottingham Forest has only lost by a margin of two or more goals once. Meanwhile, Manchester City has achieved just four victories by more than one goal in their previous 12 official matches.

My prediction – Nottingham Forest with a handicap (+1)

Nottingham Forest — Manchester City betting tips 27 Apr 2025

Given their respective English Premier League campaigns, it feels fitting that Nottingham Forest and Manchester City are meeting at this advanced stage of the FA Cup. This will be their second clash in under two months and the fourth meeting over the past year.

Initially, the reigning champions held a clear advantage. On 28 April 2024, even away from home, Manchester City secured a 2:0 win. At the time, Nottingham Forest were still fighting to avoid relegation from the English Premier League. In December, Manchester City, enjoying a return to form, swept aside Nottingham Forest with a 3:0 result. On 29 December, Nottingham Forest climbed to third in the standings, a position they maintained until Matchweek 32. Along the way, they even edged Manchester City with a narrow 1:0 victory. The subsequent dip in form can be attributed to consecutive defeats. However, in the latest round of English Premier League fixtures, Nottingham Forest responded well with a 2:1 away win over Tottenham Hotspur, thanks to a goal from the returning Christopher Wood, who had just recovered from a minor injury.

Manchester City also managed a 2:1 victory in Matchweek 33, though it came with difficulty. They required a goal deep into stoppage time — the third of four added minutes — to see off Aston Villa, with full-back Matias Nunez scoring the winner. That same scoreline featured in their FA Cup quarter-final against Bournemouth. There was talk of a potential upset, with Bournemouth even taking the lead. However, the side couldn’t withstand Manchester City’s pressure, who registered 17 attempts on goal.

Even so, naming a clear favourite remains tricky. Nottingham Forest are more than capable of making this a challenging contest. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see them progress or at least take the game beyond 90 minutes. It’s difficult to picture the hosts losing by more than a one-goal margin — they’re well-organised, and Matz Sels currently ranks among the English Premier League’s top three goalkeepers for saves (108).

Betting prediction
Nottingham Forest (+1)
Cf
Odds
13/20
Bet now

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Odds

Current season

Logo Nottingham Forest Logo Manchester City
1.25 GF per game 4
0.75 GA per game 0.67
8.75 Corners per game 6.67
2 Yellow cards per game 1.33

FA Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Nottingham Forest
29.03.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
0
:
0
0
:
0
OT
3
:
4
P
D
03.03.25
Nottingham Forest
Ipswich
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
5
:
4
P
D
11.02.25
Exeter City
Nottingham Forest
2
:
2
0
:
0
OT
2
:
4
P
D
11.01.25
Nottingham Forest
Luton Town
W
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11.01.25
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H2H: Nottingham Forest — Manchester City

Premier League 2024-2025
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31.08.22
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Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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