The quarter-final match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Palmeiras (Brazil) and Chelsea (England) will take place on July 5 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, USA. Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Palmeiras
Abel Ferreira's side reached the quarter-finals after defeating Botafogo in the previous round, securing the win only after 120 minutes of play (0-0, extra time 1-0). It's worth noting that in four matches of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, the team drew three times in regular time. Moreover, Palmeiras has conceded in only one match in this tournament so far.
- Palmeiras is unbeaten in their last 7 FIFA Club World Cup matches, with 2 wins and 5 draws in regular time.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 7 of Palmeiras's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their last 8 FIFA Club World Cup matches.
Predicted lineup for Palmeiras (4-2-3-1)
Weverton – Augustin Hiai, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquin Piquerez – Emiliano Martinez, Richard Rios – Allan Andrade Elias, Estevan, Mauricio – Vitor Roque.
Defenders Gustavo Gomez and Joaquin Piquerez will miss the game due to suspensions, while defender Murilo is out with an injury.
Chelsea
The English side played against Benfica in the round of 16 and also couldn't determine a winner in regular time. The match ended 1-1, but Chelsea scored three unanswered goals in extra time. It's worth mentioning that Chelsea has played eight matches in the history of this tournament and has only lost twice in 90 minutes, both times against Brazilian Serie A teams, Flamengo and Corinthians. Chelsea met Palmeiras in the final of the 2021 FIFA Club World Cup, winning a hard-fought match (1-1, extra time 1-0).
- Chelsea has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their last 8 FIFA Club World Cup matches.
- Chelsea has scored in 90 minutes in their last 6 matches in this tournament.
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in regular time in 11 of Chelsea's last 13 matches in the UEFA Champions League and FIFA Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (3-4-3)
Robert Sanchez – Benoit Badiashile, Levi Colwill, Reece James – Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez – Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto, Liam Delap.
Midfielder Moises Caicedo will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Goalkeeper Philip Jorgensen's participation is in doubt due to an injury.
Referee
Alireza Faghani (Iran)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 62;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 20%.
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: Match Prediction
The upcoming match is unlikely to feature a high number of goals. The stakes are high, so both teams will likely focus more on defensive actions. Palmeiras has shown strong defensive play, conceding only two goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup.
Chelsea has also performed well defensively in this tournament. They have played eight matches in the FIFA Club World Cup and have only conceded more than one goal once. It's also worth noting that Chelsea generally struggles against Brazilian teams in this tournament (1 draw and 2 losses in 90 minutes), and in these encounters, they have never scored more than one goal in regular time.
I'm confident that Enzo Maresca understands the nuances of South American football and will make adjustments to his players' approach to play more securely and have a better chance of reaching the semi-finals. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
