The quarter-final match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Palmeiras (Brazil) and Chelsea (England) will take place on July 5 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, USA. Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Palmeiras
Abel Ferreira's team reached the quarter-finals after defeating Botafogo in the previous round. However, they only managed to overcome their compatriots after 120 minutes of play (0-0, extra time 1-0). Notably, in four matches at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, the team has drawn three times in regular time. Moreover, Palmeiras has conceded in only one match in the current tournament.
- Palmeiras' unbeaten run at the FIFA Club World Cup now stands at 7 matches – 2 wins and 5 draws in regular time.
- A maximum of two goals were scored in 90 minutes in 7 of the last 8 games for the Brazilians in this tournament.
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their last 8 FIFA Club World Cup matches.
Predicted lineup for Palmeiras (4-2-3-1)
Weverton – Augustin Hiai, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquin Piquerez – Emiliano Martinez, Richard Rios – Allan Andrade Elias, Estevan, Mauricio – Vitor Roque.
Defenders Gustavo Gomez and Joaquin Piquerez will miss the game due to suspensions, and defender Murilo is out with an injury.
Chelsea
The English side faced Benfica in the round of 16 and also couldn't determine a winner in 90 minutes. Regular time ended 1-1, and in extra time, the Londoners scored three unanswered goals. Notably, Chelsea has played eight matches in this tournament throughout its history and has only lost twice in regular time, both times against Brazilian Serie A teams – Flamengo and Corinthians. Chelsea previously met Palmeiras in the 2021 FIFA Club World Cup final, where the Londoners triumphed in a hard-fought match (1-1, extra time 1-0).
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their previous 8 FIFA Club World Cup matches.
- Chelsea has scored in 90 minutes in their last 6 matches in this tournament.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in regular time in 11 of Chelsea's last 13 matches in the UEFA Champions League and FIFA Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (3-4-3)
Robert Sanchez – Benoit Badiashile, Levi Colwill, Reece James – Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez – Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto, Liam Delap.
Midfielder Moises Caicedo will miss the meeting due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen's participation is in doubt due to an injury. Forward Pedro Neto may miss the match due to the death of his friend Diogo Jota.
Referee
Alireza Faghani (Iran)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 62;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 20%.
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: Match Prediction
The upcoming game is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. The stakes are high, so both teams are expected to focus more on defensive actions. Palmeiras, in particular, has excelled in defense, conceding only two goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup.
Chelsea has also been solid defensively in this tournament, having played eight matches in the FIFA Club World Cup and conceding more than one goal only once. It's worth noting that Chelsea has generally struggled against Brazilian teams in this tournament (1 draw and 2 losses in 90 minutes), and in these encounters, the English side has never scored more than one goal in regular time.
I am confident that Enzo Maresca understands the nuances of South American football and will make adjustments to his team's play to ensure a more secure performance and increase their chances of reaching the semi-finals. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
* Each team's starting lineup is based on their previous match in this tournament.
