Match stats

Logo PAOK Logo Rijeka
59 Ball possession (%) 41
16 Goal attempts 4
13 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked shots 2

PAOK vs Rijeka: prediction & betting odds 28 August 2025

The second leg of the Europa League 2025/26 qualifying playoff between PAOK (Greece) and Rijeka (Croatia) will take place on August 28 at the Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki. The score of the first match was 1-0 in favor of Rijeka. PAOK vs. Rijeka: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

PAOK

In the first match, the team lost 0-1 away. As a result, PAOK extended their winless streak in the Europa League to six matches (2 draws, 4 losses). Moreover, in the last four encounters in this European competition, the club has failed to score. To advance to the main stage of the Europa League, the Greeks must win by at least two goals over 90 minutes. Notably, last season PAOK participated in the main draw of this tournament and even reached the playoffs.

  • The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 11 home matches in the Europa League (5 wins, 4 draws).
  • The club has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 8 of their last 10 home games in this European competition.
  • The Greeks have not allowed opponents to score in the second half in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Europa League.

Predicted lineup for PAOK (4-5-1)

Jiri Pavlenka – Abdul Rahman Baba, Tomasz Kedziora, Ioannis Michailidis, Jonjoe Kenny – Andrija Zivkovic, Magomed Ozdoev, Ioannis Konstantelias, Soualiho Meite, Luka Ivanusec – Fedor Chalov.

Rijeka

By winning the first match, the team secured back-to-back victories in the Europa League for the first time since 2019. Additionally, this was Rijeka's first clean sheet in five recent matches in this European competition. To advance to the main stage of the tournament, the club only needs to avoid defeat in 90 minutes, and if the Croatians lose by one goal, extra time will be played. It's worth noting that Rijeka has not participated in the main draw of the Europa League since the 2020/21 season.

  • The team has not won in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Europa League (2 draws, 4 losses).
  • The club has not conceded in the first half in 8 of their last 10 away games in this European competition.
  • The Croatians have not scored more than once in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Europa League.

Predicted lineup for Rijeka (4-5-1)

Martin Zlomislic – Justas Lasickas, Ante Majstorovic, Stjepan Radelic, Mladen Devetak – Merveille Ndockyt, Tiago Dantas, Dejan Petrovic, Toni Fruk, Niko Jankovic – Luka Menalo.

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez (Spain)

Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 44;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 15%.

Match Prediction: PAOK vs. Rijeka

I believe the second leg will be more productive than the first. PAOK plays aggressively at home and rarely goes without scoring: in the last 12 home matches in the Europa League, the team failed to score only three times, and in half of those games, the Greeks scored at least twice. However, in 10 of their last 15 home matches in this European competition, the club has conceded.

Rijeka, although not always successful in securing positive results away, strives to be active in attack. In their last 13 away games in the Europa League, the team left the field without scoring only three times, and in six matches during this period, they scored at least twice. Meanwhile, the Croatians allow too many costly mistakes at their own goal: in the same period, the club has only three clean sheets.

I anticipate several goals in this match, so my prediction: Total over 2 goals

Betting tips 28 August 2025

One step remains before the UEFA Europa League group stage. Both PAOK and Rijeka can still qualify. Despite losing the first leg, PAOK’s chances of qualifying are viewed as slightly higher.

Rijeka trail PAOK in most departments, including the quality of personnel and European experience, but the team did everything possible at home and not only kept a clean sheet but also won 1:0. By every metric they were better: 15-11 shots and 7-3 shots on target, 60% to 40% possession, and two yellow cards to five. Rijeka could have won by a wider margin.

PAOK have been involved in low-scoring games not only against Rijeka but also in all three of their other official matches of the new season. That is how they got past Wolfsberger in the previous qualifying round of the Europa League, scoring only once, and that came in the second half of extra time in the second leg. In the opening round of Super League Greece, PAOK laboured to beat Athlitiki Enosi Larissa (1:0).

We do not expect a sudden surge in goals. HNK Rijeka are likely to be cautious, so PAOK may find it difficult to break down the defence. One or two goals could settle it, therefore our prediction is Total Under 2.5 Goals.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
7/10
Bet now

PAOK vs Rijeka Odds

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Team lineups

PAOK

Razvan Lucescu
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Jiří Pavlenka
gk. 0 0
Abdul Rahman Baba
df. 11 0
Giannis Michailidis
df. 0 0
Jonjoe Kenny
df. 0 0
Tomasz Kędziora
df. 0 0
Giannis Konstantelias
mf. 0 0
Magomed Ozdoev
mf. 10 0
Soualiho Meïté
mf. 4 0
Andrija Živković
fw. 0 0
Fyodor Chalov
fw. 0 0
Kiril Despodov
fw. 7 0
Substitutes
Antonis Tsiftsis
gk. 0 0
Luka Gugeshashvili
gk. 0 0
Dejan Lovren
df. 0 0
Greg Taylor
df. 0 0
Joan Sastre
df. 0 0
Dimitrios Tsopouroglou
mf. 0 0
Dimitris Pelkas
mf. 0 0
Mady Camara
mf. 0 0
Dimitrios Chatsidis
fw. 0 0
Georgios Giakoumakis
fw. 0 0
Luka Ivanušec
fw. 0 0
Tyson
fw. 13 0
Rijeka

Radomir Đalović
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Martin Zlomislic
gk. 0 0
Ante Majstorović
df. 0 0
Ante Oreč
df. 0 0
Justas Lasickas
df. 0 0
Mladen Devetak
df. 0 0
Stjepan Radeljic
df. 0 0
Dejan Petrovič
mf. 3 0
Niko Janković
mf. 0 0
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas
mf. 0 0
Toni Fruk
mf. 0 0
Luka Menalo
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Aleksa Todorović
gk. 0 0
Vito Kovač
gk. 0 0
Anel Husic
df. 0 0
Lovro Kitin
df. 0 0
Amer Gojak
mf. 0 0
Bruno Bogojević
mf. 2 0
Silvio Ilinković
mf. 6 0
Šimun Butić
mf. 4 0
Ante Matej Jurič
fw. 0 0
Dominik Thaqi
fw. 0 0
Duje Čop
fw. 0 0
Gabriel Rukavina
fw. 3 0
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