The fourth round match of the Champions League 2024/25 group stage between PSG (France) and Atletico Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 6 at the Parc des Princes stadium in Paris. PSG vs Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Szymon Marciniak (Poland)
Matches – 8 (International meetings, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 36;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 24;
Penalties – 25%.
Probable line-ups for the PSG vs Atletico Madrid match
PSG (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, William Saliba, Nuno Mendes – Joao Moutinho, Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha – Ousmane Dembele, Marco Asensio, Bradley Barcola.
Atletico Madrid (3-5-2): Jan Oblak – Axel Witsel, Nahuel Molina, Jose Maria Gimenez – Javi Galan, Nahuel Molina, Conor Gallagher, Koke, Pablo Barrios – Julian Alvarez, Antoine Griezmann.
PSG
The Parisians have had a shaky start to the Champions League group stage. The team narrowly defeated Girona in the first round (1-0), then suffered an away loss to Arsenal (0-2). In their last match, Luis Enrique's charges were held to a draw at home against PSV (1:1). The club is currently in the middle of the tournament table. It's also worth noting that the French side has failed to score more than one goal in five consecutive matches in this competition.
Defenders Lucas Hernandez and Presnel Kimpembe, as well as striker Goncalo Ramos, will miss out due to injuries.
- A maximum of two goals were scored in PSG's last five Champions League games.
- The club conceded first in 6 of their last 7 matches in this competition.
- In their previous 18 matches in this tournament, PSG managed to win the first half only twice (with 10 draws and 6 losses).
Atletico Madrid
The Spaniards had a strong start, defeating Leipzig at home (2-1). However, they then experienced a collapse – losing two consecutive matches with a combined score of 1:7. Madrid was thrashed away by Benfica (0:4), and in their last match, they were defeated at home by Lille (1:3). Interestingly, the last time Atletico lost at their stadium in the Champions League was in November 2021. As a result, Diego Simeone's men are positioned at 27th place in the tournament table.
- Three or more goals were scored in regular time in the last six matches of Atletico in this tournament.
- Both teams scored within 90 minutes in 5 of Atletico's last 6 Champions League games.
- The Spaniards conceded first in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this competition.
PSG vs Atletico Madrid: match prediction
Both teams have been somewhat disappointing in the main stage of the Champions League. To advance to the round of 16, it's crucial for the clubs to secure victories, especially for the French side, whose remaining matches are significantly tougher than those of the Spaniards. PSG still has to face Bayern Munich, Manchester City, and VfB Stuttgart, with only the game against Salzburg looking potentially easier. If Luis Enrique's men fail to collect three points in the fourth round, their chances of even making it into the top 24 will be considerably lower.
PSG plays well at home in the Champions League. If the club loses at home, it is usually only to top-tier teams. Atletico, on the other hand, has been performing poorly away from home. In their last 10 away matches in this competition, Madrid has managed only one victory (against Feyenoord), with two draws and seven losses in the other games.
My prediction is a
PSG Victory with odds of 1.82.
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