The Matchday 1 encounter of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between PSG (France) and Atletico Madrid (Spain) will be held on June 15 at the Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena (USA). PSG vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians received an invitation to the Club World Cup even before they won the UEFA Champions League for the first time in their history. Notably, PSG achieved the largest victory in the final of this tournament (5-0). The team also clinched the national championship for the fourth consecutive time. Luis Enrique's side is in excellent form, having not lost in 8 of their last 10 official matches (7 wins, 1 draw), with the losses during this period coming when the team rotated their squad. After such a remarkable season, bookmakers have PSG as the second favorites for the tournament after Real Madrid.
Forward Ousmane Dembele shared the title of top scorer in the previous Ligue 1 season and also set a record for goal contributions among French club players in the Champions League (8 goals, 4 assists).
- The team has won 10 of their last 12 Champions League matches (2 losses).
- The French side has scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 12 Champions League games.
- PSG has not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 matches in Europe's premier competition.
Projected lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola.
Forward Ousmane Dembele will miss the group stage due to injury.
Atletico Madrid
The Spanish club has never won the UEFA Champions League, but in 6 of the last 7 editions of the tournament, Atletico has reached the knockout stages. In La Liga, Atletico fought for the title until the end but finished third. However, Diego Simeone's unique team is well capable of being a highlight of their debut Club World Cup. Additionally, in the most prestigious European tournament, Atletico won 6 of their last 7 matches (1 loss).
In the current transfer window, the club signed defender Clement Lenglet. Notably, two newcomers, forwards Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth, scored 17 and 20 goals respectively in the last La Liga season.
- The team's goal-scoring streak in the Champions League spans 8 matches.
- Both opponents scored in 6 of Atletico's last 8 Champions League games.
- In this European competition, the club has not drawn in 17 matches (12 wins, 5 losses).
Projected lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Nahuel Molina, Axel Witsel, Jose Maria Gimenez, Robin Le Normand – Marcos Llorente, Rodrigo De Paul, Giuliano Simeone, Samuel Lino – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 15%.
Match Prediction: PSG vs. Atletico Madrid
The opponents met in the last Champions League edition. Early in the group stage, the Spaniards capitalized on PSG's tough start and defeated the French side 2-1, scoring the decisive goal in stoppage time. However, Luis Enrique's team made history afterward. PSG eventually won the tournament, setting several records along the way. The team showcased excellent quality of play and deservedly took the title. Having gained immense confidence, the club is unlikely to let Atletico defeat them again.
The Parisians have accustomed fans to vibrant and high-scoring football, and even the loss of Ousmane Dembele is unlikely to significantly affect the team's attacking potential. The French side scored at least twice in 9 of their last 12 Champions League matches.
The Spaniards also look good in attack, but Atletico's once-reliable defense no longer seems impenetrable. Madrid conceded during regular time in 12 of their last 14 Champions League matches.
Taking these factors into account, my prediction: PSG not to lose and Total over 1.5 goals
