The semi-final match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between PSG (France) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on July 9 at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, USA. PSG vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
Luis Enrique's team overcame Bayern Munich (2-0) in the previous playoff round. PSG scored both goals late in the match, with the second goal coming while playing with nine men. As a result, the French side secured their fourth victory in the current Club World Cup, with each win by at least a two-goal margin. Notably, PSG has conceded the fewest goals in this tournament, just one.
- No more than two goals were scored in regular time in 3 of the team's last 4 matches in the Club World Cup.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 90 minutes in the club's last five matches in this tournament.
- PSG has not conceded in the second half in their last five matches in the Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Marquinhos, William Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Désiré Doué, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola.
Defender Presnel Kimpembe will miss the match due to injury. Defenders Lucas Hernandez and William Pacho are suspended for two matches.
Real Madrid
In the quarter-final, Xabi Alonso's team defeated Borussia Dortmund (3-2). As a result, Real Madrid won their fourth consecutive match in the Club World Cup and extended their unbeaten run in regular time in this tournament to 16 matches (14 wins, 2 draws). Notably, the Madrid side could reach their seventh final in the Club World Cup, with the previous six always ending in victory for Real.
- The club has won in regular time in 11 of their last 12 matches in the Club World Cup.
- The team scored at least three goals in 90 minutes in 8 of their last 10 matches in this tournament.
- Both opponents scored in regular time in 7 of Real Madrid's last 10 matches in the Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Trent Alexander-Arnold, Dean Huysen, Antonio Rüdiger, Fran Garcia – Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Federico Valverde – Vinícius Júnior, Gonzalo Garcia, Arda Güler.
Defenders David Alaba and Ferland Mendy, as well as midfielder Eduardo Camavinga and forward Endrick Felipe, will not play due to injuries. Defender Dean Huysen is suspended. Notably, forward Kylian Mbappe may play against PSG for the first time since leaving the club.
Referee
Szymon Marciniak (Poland)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 38%.
PSG vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
I expect a high-scoring game with plenty of goals, as both teams have shown strong attacking performances in the current Club World Cup. PSG has scored 12 goals, while Real has only one less. Moreover, PSG failed to score at least twice only against Botafogo, while Xabi Alonso’s side has breached opponents' defenses in all CWC 2025 matches.
Real Madrid has been consistent in attack throughout the Club World Cup: in their last ten matches in this tournament, they have never left the field without scoring and only twice scored fewer than three goals in regular time. However, in 7 of their last 10 matches in the Club World Cup, the Madrid team has failed to keep a clean sheet.
I anticipate an exciting attacking display from both teams. My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
