Portugal vs Denmark: betting odds 23 Mar 2025

The second leg of the Nations League 2024/25 quarter-final between Portugal and Denmark will take place on March 23 at the Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon. The score of the first match was 1-0 in favor of Denmark. Portugal vs. Denmark: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Portugal

Roberto Martinez's side suffered a 0-1 defeat in Denmark, marking their first loss in the current Nations League campaign (4 wins, 2 draws). Notably, Portugal has only kept a clean sheet in one match during this stretch. Only seven national teams have failed to keep a single clean sheet in the Nations League 2024/25. To reach their second semi-final in this tournament, Portugal needs to beat the Danes by at least two goals. Half of the team's group victories were achieved with the necessary margin.

• Both teams scored in 5 of Portugal's last 7 Nations League matches.
• In 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament, the team scored at least two goals.
• On home soil, the national team has not conceded more than one goal in 13 Nations League matches.

Predicted lineup for Portugal (3-4-3)

Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Ruben Dias, Diogo Dalot – Vitinha, Joao Neves, Bruno Fernandes, Renato Veiga – Rafael Leao, Cristiano Ronaldo, Pedro Neto.

Denmark

The Danes not only secured an advantage ahead of the return leg but also ended a four-match winless streak in the Nations League (2 draws, 2 losses). Additionally, the team kept a clean sheet for the fourth time in this tournament, with only North Macedonia having a better record (5). To reach the semi-finals, Brian Riemer's side needs only to avoid defeat in Portugal. Denmark has suffered only two losses in the Nations League 2024/25, both by a narrow margin. A repeat of such an outcome would lead to extra time.

• The Danes have not won in 5 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament (2 draws, 3 losses).
• The national team scored in 8 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
• The team conceded first in 5 of their last 7 away games in the Nations League.

Predicted lineup for Denmark (4-4-2)

Kasper Schmeichel – Jannik Vestergaard, Joakim Maehle, Rasmus Kristensen, Joachim Andersen – Christian Eriksen, Morten Hjulmand, Christian Nørgaard, Jesper Lindstrøm – Mika Biereth, Gustav Isaksen.

Referee

Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 9%.

Portugal vs. Denmark: Match Prediction

Brian Riemer's side deservedly won the first meeting. The Danes missed a penalty, outperformed their opponents in shots nearly threefold, and had an even greater advantage in xG. Now, the team needs to maintain their lead, but if Denmark continues in the same vein, the Portuguese will face problems again.

Portugal has only kept a clean sheet against Scotland, the lowest-scoring team in the group, in this Nations League campaign. Even at home, the Portuguese have failed to keep their goal intact in four matches in this tournament. Now, the team must score, exposing their unreliable defense.

The Danes have scored in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the Nations League. I wouldn't be surprised if the visitors manage to trouble their opponents again. My prediction: Denmark Individual Total Over 0.5