The 2024/25 Nations League Final between Portugal and Spain will take place on June 8 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Portugal vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Portugal
The winners of the first Nations League edition went unbeaten through the group stage (4 wins, 2 draws) and were the highest-scoring team in their group, netting 13 goals. However, in the first playoff match against Denmark, Roberto Martinez's side suffered a defeat (0-1). In the return leg, Portugal took revenge (3-2, extra time 2-0) and advanced to the semifinals. Against Germany, the team secured a comeback victory with a 2-1 scoreline, reaching the final of this tournament for the second time in their history.
- The team has conceded in their last five Nations League matches.
- Portugal has not lost in 8 of their last 9 games in this tournament (6 wins, 2 draws).
- In 7 of the last 9 Nations League matches, Portugal scored at least one goal.
Predicted lineup for Portugal (3-4-3)
Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Ruben Dias, Goncalo Inacio – Ruben Neves, Joao Neves, Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva – Pedro Neto, Cristiano Ronaldo, Francisco Trincao.
Spain
Spain began their title defense confidently, achieving five wins and one draw in the group stage. Luis de la Fuente's team conceded only four goals, the fewest in their group. In the quarter-finals, they drew twice with the Netherlands (2-2, 2-2, extra time 1-1) and advanced only after a penalty shootout (5-4). In the semifinals against France, Spain nearly squandered a four-goal lead but ultimately won (5-4) to reach their third consecutive final in this tournament.
- In their last six Nations League games, Spain has scored at least twice.
- Spain's scoring streak in this tournament extends to eight matches.
- At least one goal was scored in both halves in Spain's last six Nations League matches.
Predicted lineup for Spain (4-3-3)
Unai Simon – Marc Cucurella, Din Donny Huisen, Robin Le Normand, Pedro Porro – Mikel Merino, Martin Zubimendi, Pedri – Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams, Lamine Yamal.
Referee
Sandro Scherer (Switzerland)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Portugal vs. Spain: Match Prediction
The finalists faced each other in the previous Nations League edition. In the group stage, Spain did not lose to Portugal in both encounters (1-1, 1-0). I believe that in the upcoming game, Luis de la Fuente's side has more chances for success. However, I expect more goals this time around.
Spain had an incredible semifinal match, as France last conceded at least five goals in 1969. Spain has been unstoppable, scoring at least two goals in each of their last six Nations League matches. However, it's worth noting that during this period, the team kept a clean sheet only once. Nevertheless, the reigning European champions consistently achieve results and have not lost an official match in regular time for over two years.
Portugal ranks third in scoring in this Nations League. The attack poses no questions, but Roberto Martinez's side has work to do in defense. In the 2024/25 Nations League, Portugal has kept a clean sheet only once, and with such defensive statistics, it will be challenging against an in-form opponent. Moreover, Portugal has not beaten Spain in their last five official encounters (3 draws, 2 losses).
My prediction: Spain to avoid defeat and total over 2.5 goals
