The quarter-final match of the 2025 Club World Cup between Real Madrid (Spain) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) is set to take place on July 5 at the MetLife Stadium in New York, USA. Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Spanish side only faced difficulties at the start of the 2025 Club World Cup, dropping points in a 1-1 draw with Al-Hilal. However, they bounced back with victories over Pachuca (3-1) and Salzburg (3-0) in the group stage and defeated Juventus 1-0 in the round of 16. The win against the Italians came thanks to an aggressive attacking display, with Madrid registering 21 shots on goal. Notably, Real Madrid has never lost in regulation time at the Club World Cup, boasting 15 wins and 4 draws.
- Madrid have won by at least two goals in regulation time in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- Real Madrid has scored at least three goals in 90 minutes in 7 of their last 9 Club World Cup matches.
- The team has won the second half in 9 of their last 11 matches in the Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Trent Alexander-Arnold, Dean Donny Huijsen, Antonio Rüdiger, Fran García – Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Federico Valverde – Vinícius Júnior, Gonzalo García, Arda Güler.
Defenders David Alaba and Ferland Mendy, as well as midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, will miss out due to injuries.
Borussia Dortmund
The Germans overcame Monterrey 2-1 in the previous playoff stage. Interestingly, the Mexicans outperformed them in several statistical categories, but Nico Kovac's side was more effective in attack. Like Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund has yet to lose in the Club World Cup, with one draw and three wins, all secured by a single-goal margin.
- Dortmund has not lost in regulation time in 10 of their last 11 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup (7 wins and 3 draws).
- Borussia has conceded no more than one goal in 90 minutes in 9 of their last 11 games in these tournaments.
- The team has not lost the first half in their last five matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup (4 wins and 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3)
Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Waldemar Anton, Niklas Süle – Julian Ryerson, Daniel Svensson, Felix Nmecha, Pascal Groß – Karim Adeyemi, Jobe Bellingham, Serhou Guirassy.
Forward Jamie Bynoe-Gittens' participation is doubtful due to illness. Midfielder Jobe Bellingham will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Ramon Abatti (Brazil)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund
The opponents know each other well, having frequently met in the UEFA Champions League. Last year, they faced off in the UEFA Champions League final, where Madrid triumphed 2-0. In October, they clashed again in the group stage of the 2024/25 Champions League, with the Spaniards once more emerging victorious, though the match was far more entertaining and high-scoring, ending 5-2.
I expect the upcoming match to be filled with goals. At least three goals have been scored in 9 of the last 12 encounters between Madrid and Dortmund in the European Champions League. Additionally, this level of scoring was recorded in regulation time in 11 of Real Madrid's last 14 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup, as well as in 5 of Borussia's last 7 games in these tournaments.
Considering both teams are attacking powerhouses familiar with each other, I predict an open game. My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
