Real Madrid with Vinícius Júnior and without him are like two different teams. Kylian Mbappé is yet to assume the leadership role, which was evident in their clash with Liverpool (0:2). However, in the league, the Madrid team are faring well. Getafe, meanwhile, linger in the lower half of the table and are accustomed to drawing games, but against such a formidable opponent, their chances of securing points seem minimal.
Real Madrid are confidently progressing in La Liga. Excluding the loss to Barcelona (0:4), the Madrid side have won all their other home games, scoring at least two goals per match. On average, they concede one goal at the Santiago Bernabéu, and even fewer if you set aside the drubbing by the Catalans. They handle lower-tier opponents without much fuss—winning five out of six matches with at least a two-goal margin. Yet, Real Madrid face squad issues: a slew of injuries have struck, with Vinícius Júnior recently added to the list, and their latest Champions League match showcased what Real Madrid are capable of without the Brazilian.
Getafe are the most peaceful team this season, amassing seven draws in 14 games. They display a lack of scoring prowess (0.7 goals per match) combined with a relatively sturdy defence (0.8 conceded). However, their away performances remain inconsistent—not a single win in six away games. The head-to-head history is also unfavourable for Getafe: they have succumbed to Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabéu in 15 consecutive matches, conceding an average of three goals per game.
Given Real Madrid’s current form and Getafe’s weak away performances, the hosts appear clear favourites. A convincing victory for the Madrid team is expected, despite their squad issues. They won't make mistakes against this level of opposition.