Match stats

Logo Real Madrid Logo Manchester City
48 Ball possession (%) 52
15 Goal attempts 12
8 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked shots 5

Real Madrid vs Manchester City: betting odds 19 Feb 2025

The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between Real Madrid (Spain) and Manchester City (England) will take place on February 19 at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. The score of the first match was 3-2 in favor of Real Madrid. Real Madrid vs. Manchester City: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Real Madrid

The Spaniards secured a comeback victory in the first leg, defeating the Mancunians 3-2 at their stadium. Notably, Madrid scored two goals towards the end of the match. As a result, Real Madrid's winning streak in the Champions League has extended to four matches, with the team scoring at least three goals in each of them. To advance to the round of 16, Carlo Ancelotti's side only needs to avoid defeat in the return leg.


  • Real Madrid's uncompromising streak in this European competition stands at 11 games (8 wins and 3 losses).
  • At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Real Madrid's last 7 Champions League matches.
  • Two or more goals have been scored in the second half of the Spaniards' last five matches in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)

Thibaut Courtois – Aurélien Tchouaméni, Antonio Rüdiger, Raúl Asensio, Federico Valverde – Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Dani Ceballos – Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappé.


Defenders Éder Militão and Dani Carvajal are sidelined due to injuries. Midfielder Lucas Vázquez's participation is doubtful. Notably, defenders Antonio Rüdiger and David Alaba have returned to fitness.

Manchester City

The English side faltered at the end of the first leg, losing not only the win but also a draw. Now, Pep Guardiola's team needs to win in Spain by two or more goals. If the return match ends with a one-goal victory for the visitors, extra time will be played. Defeating Madrid will not be easy, especially since the Mancunians have only won one of their last six Champions League matches (1 draw and 4 losses). However, it is worth noting that in the last seven editions of this European competition, Manchester City has consistently reached at least the quarter-finals.


  • The Cityzens have not won in regular time in 8 of their last 11 matches in this tournament (4 draws and 4 losses).
  • At least four goals have been scored in 7 of the last 8 matches involving the Mancunians in the Champions League.
  • Both teams have scored in 5 of the club's last 6 matches in this European competition.

Predicted lineup for Manchester City (4-1-4-1)

Ederson – Josko Gvardiol, Rico Lewis, John Stones, Abdukodir Khusanov – Mateo Kovacic – Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Kevin De Bruyne, Savio – Erling Haaland.


Midfielder Rodri Hernandez, forward Oscar Bobb, and defender Manuel Akanji have long-term injuries and will not play in the near future.

Referee

Istvan Kovacs (Romania)


Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 13%.

Real Madrid vs. Manchester City: Match Prediction

The opponents are well aware of each other's strengths and weaknesses. Nevertheless, their head-to-head encounters tend to be high-scoring. In nine recent Champions League meetings, both teams found the net eight times, with at least three goals scored in seven matches. Additionally, both teams have scored in the last four head-to-head clashes at Real Madrid's home in the Champions League.


Furthermore, the "Both Teams to Score – Yes" bet has been successful in Real Madrid's last eight home matches in this European competition. At least three goals have been scored in the last six games at Real Madrid's home ground in the Champions League. Manchester City's away games in this tournament are equally prolific: both teams have scored in 10 of the Cityzens' last 12 away matches, with at least four goals scored in 8 of their last 9 away games.


I believe this head-to-head encounter will also delight us with high scoring. My prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes and Total Over 2.5

Betting tips 19 Feb 2025

Despite dropping points in La Liga, Real Madrid’s form in the Champions League remains unshaken. The reigning champions are ready to knock out Manchester City, who are bound to make defensive errors at the Bernabéu. The Manchester side will be forced to take risks, which could play into Madrid’s hands.

Real Madrid have scored in 13 of 14 games in 2025, failing to register a shot on target only once – in the controversial loss to Espanyol (0:1). On Saturday, despite playing with 10 men for a large portion of the match after Bellingham’s Bellingham’s red card, Real Madrid still managed to secure a 1:1 draw at Osasuna. They’ll be looking to make a statement here – in the first leg at the Etihad, they created 2.52 xG in the second half alone, fired six shots on target, and thrived in the high-intensity closing moments.

Manchester City’s game plan wasn’t a complete failure in the first leg, but Jack Grealish’s early injury disrupted Pep Guardiola’s approach. Manuel Akanji’s absence will be an even bigger issue, meaning either Rico Lewis or Abduqodir Husanov could start – both lacking experience at this level. Since 22 January, Manchester City have conceded 10 goals in their last three away matches, suffering heavy defeats to Paris Saint-Germain (2:4) and Arsenal (1:5).

With defensive instability in Manchester City’s ranks and Real Madrid’s strong attacking displays at home, the hosts should find the net multiple times. The best bet is on Real Madrid scoring at least twice.

Betting prediction
Real Madrid Total Over 1.5
Cf
Odds
11/20
Bet now

Real Madrid vs Manchester City Odds

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Champions League: previous matches in the tournament

Real Madrid
11.02.25
Manchester City
Real Madrid
W
29.01.25
Brest
Real Madrid
W
22.01.25
Real Madrid
Red Bull Salzburg
W
10.12.24
Atalanta
Real Madrid
W
27.11.24
Liverpool
Real Madrid
L
05.11.24
Real Madrid
AC Milan
L
22.10.24
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
W
02.10.24
Lille
Real Madrid
L
17.09.24
Real Madrid
Stuttgart
W
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Manchester City
11.02.25
Manchester City
Real Madrid
L
29.01.25
Manchester City
Brugge
W
22.01.25
PSG
Manchester City
L
11.12.24
Juventus
Manchester City
L
26.11.24
Manchester City
Feyenoord
D
05.11.24
Sporting CP
Manchester City
L
23.10.24
Manchester City
Sparta Prague
W
01.10.24
Slovan Bratislava
Manchester City
W
18.09.24
Manchester City
Inter Milan
D
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H2H: Real Madrid — Manchester City

Champions League 2024-2025
11.02.25
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Champions League 2023-2024
17.04.24
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
3
:
4
P
09.04.24
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Champions League 2022-2023
17.05.23
Manchester City
Real Madrid
09.05.23
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Champions League 2021-2022
04.05.22
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
:
1
1
:
0
OT
26.04.22
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Champions League 2019-2020
07.08.20
Manchester City
Real Madrid
26.02.20
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Champions Cup 2017
26.07.17
Manchester City
Real Madrid
4
:
1
Champions League 2015-2016
04.05.16
Real Madrid
Manchester City
26.04.16
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Champions Cup 2015
23.07.15
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
:
4
Champions League 2012-2013
21.11.12
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
:
1
18.09.12
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
:
2
More matches

Team lineups

Real Madrid

C. Ancelotti
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Thibaut Сourtois
gk. 7 -10
Antonio Rüdiger
df. 8 2
Ferland Mendy
df. 8 0
Asencio
df. 5 0
Federico Valverde
mf. 9 0
Jude Victor William Bellingham
mf. 9 3
Aurelien Tchouameni
mf. 7 0
Daniel Ceballos
mf. 7 0
Kylian Mbappé
fw. 9 4
Rodrygo Goes
fw. 7 4
Vinisius Junior
fw. 7 7
Substitutes
Andriy Lunin
gk. 2 -4
Sergio Sanchez
gk. 0 0
Fran García
df. 6 0
Lucas Vázquez
df. 6 1
David Alaba
df. 2 0
Jesús Vallejo
df. 0 0
Luka Modrić
mf. 9 0
Arda Güler
mf. 7 0
Brahim Díaz
mf. 6 1
Eduardo Camavinga
mf. 5 0
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
fw. 5 1
Manchester City

Pep Guardiola
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Ederson
gk. 7 -17
Joško Gvardiol
df. 9 0
Rúben Dias
df. 6 0
John Stones
df. 5 1
Abdukodir Khusanov
df. 0 0
İlkay Gündoğan
mf. 9 2
Bernardo Silva
mf. 8 0
Phil Foden
mf. 8 3
Nicolás González Iglesias
mf. 0 0
Sávio Moreira de Oliveira
fw. 8 1
Omar Khaled Mohamed Abd Elsala Marmoush
fw. 1 0
Substitutes
Stefan Ortega Moreno
gk. 2 0
Scott Carson
gk. 0 0
Rico Henry Mark Lewis
df. 9 0
Nathan Aké
df. 3 0
Kevin De Bruyne
mf. 7 0
Matheus Nunes
mf. 7 1
Jack Grealish
mf. 6 1
Mateo Kovačić
mf. 5 1
James John McAtee
mf. 4 1
Erling Braut Håland
fw. 9 8
Jérémy Doku
fw. 4 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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