The Matchday 2 clash in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Real Madrid (Spain) and Pachuca (Mexico) will take place on June 22 at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, USA. Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Spanish side had a shaky start to the Club World Cup. In the first round, they shared points with Al-Hilal (1-1), extending their winless run in international competitions (Club World Cup and Champions League) to four matches (1 draw and 3 losses). However, it's worth noting that before this, Real Madrid had won six consecutive matches in the Club World Cup over 90 minutes.
- No more than three goals have been scored in regular time in Real Madrid's last five matches in the UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup.
- Real Madrid has not scored more than two goals in regular time in their last five matches in these tournaments.
- The club has not scored more than one goal in the second half in their last six encounters in the UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Dean Donny Huijsen, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Fran Garcia, Raul Asensio – Jude Bellingham, Aurelien Tchouameni, Federico Valverde – Vinicius Junior, Gonzalo Garcia, Rodrygo Goes.
Forward Kylian Mbappe will miss the game due to gastroenteritis.
Pachuca
Jaime Lozano's side found themselves in 4th place in Group H after the first round. They faced Salzburg in the tournament opener and suffered a 1-2 defeat. Nevertheless, the match was fairly balanced, and in some statistical aspects, the Mexicans even outperformed the Austrians. For instance, the team had more shots on goal (17:10), took more corners (7:2), and generally looked more dangerous (1.40 to 0.91 in xG). It's also worth mentioning that before this, Pachuca had not lost over 90 minutes in four consecutive Club World Cup matches (1 win and 3 draws).
- In the Club World Cup, the team has played 10 matches and secured only one victory in regular time (4 draws and 5 losses).
- Pachuca opened the scoring in 5 of their last 7 matches in the CONCACAF Champions League and Club World Cup.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in regular time in Pachuca's last five matches in these tournaments.
Predicted lineup for Pachuca (4-2-3-1)
Carlos Moreno – Bryan Gonzalez, Luis Rodriguez, Federico Pereira, Eduardo Gabriel – Elias Montiel, Pedro Pedraza – Agustin Palavecino, Alexei Dominguez, Robert Kennedy – Salomon Rondon.
Referee
Ramon Abbati (Brazil)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 17%.
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: Match Prediction
Xabi Alonso's debut as Real Madrid's head coach was not very successful. The Madrid side, playing without Kylian Mbappe and with new faces in defense, only managed a draw with Al-Hilal. Now they face Pachuca, who have no room for error after losing to Salzburg. I'm confident the Mexicans will do everything they can to avoid defeat.
In my opinion, the Spaniards will not achieve an easy and convincing victory in the second round. Real Madrid's players need time to adapt to the tactical decisions of their new head coach. Moreover, Madrid has not won by a large margin in their last seven matches in the European Champions League and Club World Cup. Meanwhile, the Mexicans have not lost by three or more goals in their last 26 matches in the CONCACAF Champions League and Club World Cup.
My prediction: Pachuca with a handicap (+2)
