Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: betting odds 16 Jan 2025

Round of 16 match in the Spanish Cup between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano will take place on January 16 at the Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastián. Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Predicted lineups for Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad (4-4-2): Unai Marrero – Jon Aramburu, Jon Pacheco, Igor Zubeldia, Javi Lopez – Beñat Turrientes, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Sergio Gomez, Brais Mendez – Orri Oskarsson, Mikel Oyarzabal.


Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1): Dani Cardenas – Abdul Mumin, Ivan Balliu, Alfonso Espino, Aridan Hernandez – Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau – Adrian Embarba, Oscar Trejo, Jorge de Frutos – Randy Nteka.


The starting lineup for each team in their previous match in this tournament is listed.

Real Sociedad

The San Sebastián team played all three previous stages away against lower league opponents. Although the team did not concede a single goal, one match went beyond 90 minutes to determine the winner. The Basques defeated Jove Español (5-0), Conquense (0-0, extra time 1-0), and Ponferradina (2-0). The club has won this tournament three times, with the last victory occurring in 2020, defeating Athletic 1-0. Last season, Real Sociedad reached the semi-finals, where they lost to Mallorca (0-0 and 1-1, extra time 0-0, on penalties 4-5).


  • The club has not lost in regular time in 10 consecutive matches in the Spanish Cup (7 wins and 3 draws).
  • At least one team has failed to score in 12 of Real Sociedad's last 14 games in this tournament after 90 minutes.
  • No more than two goals have been scored in regular time in 11 of the last 13 matches of the Basques in the Copa del Rey.

Rayo Vallecano

Like the San Sebastián team, the Madrid side played all three previous rounds of the Spanish Cup away against clubs from lower divisions. The team defeated Villamuriel (5-0), Unionistas (3-2), and Racing El Ferrol (3-1). In the previous edition, Rayo Vallecano was stopped at this stage, losing away to Girona 1-3. The most successful season in recent years was 2021/22, when the team reached the semi-finals, losing to Betis in two legs (1-1 and 1-2).


  • The club has not lost in regular time in 14 of the last 17 matches in the Copa del Rey (10 wins and 4 draws).
  • At least two goals have been scored in 7 of Rayo Vallecano's last 8 games in this tournament after 90 minutes.

Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match Prediction

In the first round of the current La Liga season, the Madrid team managed to defeat the Basques on their field with a score of 2-1. It is also worth recalling how the opponents performed last season – draws of 0-0 and 2-2. It will be difficult for Iñigo Pérez's side to secure a spot in European competitions through the league, so they should try to make their mark in the Copa del Rey. Especially since Rayo Vallecano is in good form and has not lost in seven official matches (4 wins and 3 draws).


It is also worth noting that although the Madrid team is in the middle of the league table, they are not easy to beat. This season, the team has played 22 matches in La Liga and the Spanish Cup, and only once have they lost by more than one goal. In the Copa del Rey, Rayo Vallecano has only lost by two or more goals in regular time twice in their last 21 away matches. Additionally, Real Sociedad has won only two of their last 11 La Liga matches by more than one goal.


My prediction: Rayo Vallecano with a handicap (+1)

Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano betting tips 16 Jan 2025

Real Sociedad's ongoing quest to find the right attacking combinations has hindered their ability to maintain a confident lead. Against Rayo Vallecano, the Basque side are expected to play conservatively in the opponent's half, as advancing further in the Copa del Rey is crucial given the risk of missing out on European competitions through their La Liga performance.

On Monday, Real Sociedad narrowly defeated Villarreal in San Sebastián (1:0), generating only 0.66 xG and managing three shots on target over 90 minutes. This marked the fourth consecutive match for the team with a total under 2.5. While playing away at Ponferradina (2:0), they only picked up the pace after the break, struggling to create even against a Tercera Division opponent (1.18 xG).

Rayo Vallecano have enjoyed favourable draws in the Cup so far, easily overcoming Unionistas (3:2) and Racing de Ferrol (3:1) from lower divisions. In La Liga, Vallecano rank among the weaker attacking teams (23.33 xG). On the road in the Spanish championship, they have only scored eight goals in 10 games.

In the opening round of La Liga, an injury-hit Real Sociedad lost to Rayo Vallecano (1:2). This upcoming encounter is expected to be a more restrained affair, with the Basque side likely to stifle the attacking potential of a mid-table Primera team that thrive on counter-attacks.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
63/100
Bet now

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

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OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
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TOTAL AWAY GOALS

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Current season

Logo Real Sociedad Logo Rayo Vallecano
0 Wins 0
0 Lost 0
0 Draws 0
2 GF per game 3
0 GA per game 1
3 Corners per game 4
0 Yellow cards per game 3

Copa del Rey: previous matches in the tournament

Real Sociedad
05.01.25
Ponferradina
Real Sociedad
W
05.12.24
Conquense
Real Sociedad
0
:
0
0
:
1
OT
D
21.11.24
Jove Español
Real Sociedad
W
More matches
Rayo Vallecano
03.01.25
Racing Ferrol
Rayo Vallecano
W
04.12.24
Unionistas de Salamanca
Rayo Vallecano
W
29.10.24
Villamuriel
Rayo Vallecano
W
More matches

H2H: Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano

La Liga 2024-2025
18.08.24
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2023-2024
27.01.24
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
29.10.23
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2022-2023
22.04.23
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
21.01.23
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2021-2022
01.05.22
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
22.08.21
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2018-2019
20.01.19
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
25.09.18
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2015-2016
08.05.16
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
03.01.16
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2014-2015
23.05.15
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
17.01.15
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2013-2014
09.03.14
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
3
04.10.13
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
1
:
0
La Liga 2012-2013
13.04.13
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
0
:
2
18.11.12
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
4
:
0
La Liga 2011-2012
31.03.12
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
4
:
0
05.11.11
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
4
:
0
La Liga 2002-2003
20.04.03
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
5
:
0
23.11.02
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
0
:
0
La Liga 2001-2002
24.02.02
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
2
14.10.01
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
2
:
1
La Liga 2000-2001
03.03.01
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
0
22.10.00
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
4
:
1
La Liga 1999-2000
30.01.00
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
1
12.09.99
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
2
:
1
More matches

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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