San Marino vs Austria: prediction & betting odds 10 June 2025

The Matchday 4 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between San Marino and Austria will take place on June 10 at the Olimpico Stadium in Serravalle. San Marino vs. Austria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

San Marino

Roberto Cevoli's team has lost all three matches in the current qualifying cycle. This result extends their losing streak, which dates back to 2001, totaling 56 defeats in this tournament. In their last match, they suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat to Bosnia and Herzegovina, and in the preceding game against Romania, they managed to score for the first time in seven previous matches. San Marino is at the bottom of the standings.

  • San Marino has conceded no more than 5 goals in 7 of their last 8 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • The team has scored only twice in their last 11 home games in World Cup qualifiers.

Projected lineup for San Marino (4-5-1)

Edoardo Colombo – Tommaso Benvenuti, Michele Cevoli, Dante Carlos Rossi, Filippo Fabbri – Alessandro Golinucci, Marcello Mularoni, Alberto Riccardi, Valli Casadei, Samuele Zannoni – Nicola Nanni.

Austria

Ralf Rangnick's side secured a victory over Romania (2-1) in their debut World Cup 2026 qualifying match. Currently, the team is in fourth place, but they have a good chance to overtake Romania and Cyprus, both of whom also have 3 points but have played more than one game in this tournament. Austria did not participate in the last two World Cup finals.

  • At least four goals have been scored in 5 of Austria's last 7 matches in this tournament.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Austria's last 5 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • Austria has conceded no more than 2 goals in their last 5 World Cup qualifying games.

Projected lineup for Austria (4-5-1)

Patrick Pentz – Philipp Mwene, Philipp Lienhart, Stefan Posch, Konrad Laimer – Patrick Wimmer, Nicolas Seiwald, Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Michael Gregoritsch – Marko Arnautovic.

Referee

Ondrej Berka (Czech Republic)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;

Average yellow cards per match – 5;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties – 14%

Match Prediction: San Marino vs. Austria

Austria started the qualifying cycle on a positive note, scoring 2 goals against Romania. This trend has been consistent in their away matches. The team has scored no more than 2 goals in their last 11 away World Cup qualifying matches.

San Marino, on the other hand, concedes a significant number of goals at home. At least 3 goals have been scored against them in 8 of their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Given Austria's moderate scoring ability and San Marino's shaky defense, it's likely that Austria will score no more than 4 goals in regular time.

My prediction: Austria individual total under 4.5 goals

* The projected lineups reflect the starting teams in their previous matches in this tournament.

San Marino — Austria betting tips 10 June 2025

Austria are currently in the hunt for one of the two qualifying spots in Group N for the 2026 World Cup. Following a confident 2:1 win over Romania, the team must now reinforce their position against the group’s underdogs, San Marino. The visitors have a straightforward target: claim victory and, ideally, improve their goal difference.

San Marino continue to defy expectations in their own way. The team recently reached a historic milestone by winning their UEFA Nations League group, earning promotion to League C. They began this qualifying campaign with a respectable 0:1 loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina, showing organisation despite their limited technical ability. Across their last 19 fixtures, San Marino have lost 15 times but never by more than four goals.

Austria go into this match as favourites, despite missing a few key players. The squad will be without first-choice goalkeeper Alexander Schlager and defensive leader David Alaba. Even so, Austria remain strong, as shown in the win over Romania, where both Marcel Sabitzer and Michael Gregoritsch got on the scoresheet. However, over their last 14 games, they have not registered a win by a margin greater than four goals.

San Marino are structured and resilient when playing at home and can no longer be considered an easy three points. Austria are clear favourites, but a complete blowout seems unlikely.

Betting prediction
San Marino (+4.5)
Cf
Odds
13/25
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San Marino vs Austria Odds

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World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

San Marino
07.06.25
Bosnia and Herzegovina
San Marino
L
24.03.25
San Marino
Romania
L
21.03.25
Cyprus
San Marino
L
More matches
Austria
07.06.25
Austria
Romania
W

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group H
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
  -:- 2:1 -:- 1:0 2 2 0 0
3:1
6
2
Romania
0:1   -:- -:- -:- 2 1 0 1
5:2
3
3
Cyprus
-:- -:-   -:- 2:0 2 1 0 1
3:2
3
4
Austria
-:- 2:1 -:-   -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
5
San Marino
-:- 1:5 -:- -:-   2 0 0 2
1:7
0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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