The Matchday 2 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between San Marino and Romania will be held on March 24 at the Olympic Stadium in Serravalle. San Marino vs. Romania: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
San Marino
Roberto Cevoli's side could not offer any resistance against Cyprus in the first round, losing 0-2 away. As a result, San Marino extended their losing streak in World Cup qualification, which has been ongoing since 2001. Furthermore, the team failed to score again, marking the sixth consecutive match in this qualification without a goal. However, for the first time in their last seven World Cup qualifiers, San Marino conceded fewer than two goals. The team is at the bottom of the group table, trailing Romania on goal difference.
- The team has lost in regular time in their last 36 home matches in World Cup qualification.
- San Marino has not scored in 10 of their last 11 home fixtures in this qualification.
- San Marino has conceded in regular time in 8 of their last 9 home World Cup qualifiers.
Predicted lineup for San Marino (4-5-1)
Edoardo Colombo – Tommaso Benvenuti, Michele Cevoli, Alessandro Tosi, Filippo Fabbri – Alessandro Golinucci, Lorenzo Capicchioni, Andrea Contadini, Filippo Berardi, Samuele Zannoni – Nicola Nanni.
Romania
In the first round, Mircea Lucescu's team was weaker than Bosnia and Herzegovina at home (0-1). Romania conceded the decisive goal after the opponent's only shot on target in the entire game. As a result, the team lost after three consecutive unbeaten matches in World Cup qualification (2 wins, 1 draw). Additionally, Romania conceded for the first time in their last four World Cup qualifiers. They are in fourth place in the group standings, ahead of only San Marino.
- The team has not won in regular time in 7 of their last 9 away matches in World Cup qualification (3 draws, 4 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Romania's last 7 away games in this qualification.
- Romania has scored exactly one or two goals in regular time in 5 of their last 6 away World Cup qualifiers.
Predicted lineup for Romania (4-3-3)
Florin Niță – Andrei Rațiu, Andrei Burcă, Mihai Popescu, Nicușor Bancu – Răzvan Marin, Marius Marin, Nicolae Stanciu – Dennis Man, Florin Tănase, Denis Drăguș.
Referee
Damian Sylwestrzak (Poland)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
San Marino vs. Romania: Match Prediction
Goals for San Marino are a rare event, especially at home, where the team creates very little: in their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers, they have scored just once. However, San Marino does not always crumble defensively and tries not to concede too many: in the previous World Cup qualification, only England and Poland inflicted heavy defeats (0-10 and 1-7 respectively), while Hungary, Albania, and Andorra did not score more than three goals.
Romania has not been prolific on the road recently: in their last nine away World Cup qualifiers, the team has never scored more than two goals. In the first game of the current qualification, Mircea Lucescu's side did not shine in attack against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
I don't expect this to be a high-scoring match, so my prediction: Total under 3.5 goals
* Each team's lineup reflects their starting eleven in their previous match in this tournament.