Slovakia vs Slovenia: betting odds 20 Mar 2025

Two evenly matched teams, Slovakia and Slovenia, are unlikely to play an open game in this crucial play-off fixture. The match in Bratislava will probably see the hosts enjoying a slight advantage in possession, as they performed well in League C of the Nations League, even though they fell short of surpassing a more star-studded Sweden.

After their summer appearance at Euro 2024—where Slovakia almost knocked England out in the Round of 16 (1:2 after extra time)—they continued to impress in the Nations League. Over six matches, they suffered only one defeat, losing away to Sweden (1:2). In their most recent home fixture, the team generated an impressive 2.23 xG and had 13 shots on target against Estonia, yet only found the net once through Dávid Strelec (1:0).

Meanwhile, Slovenia competed in the tougher League B, where their only victories came against group outsiders Kazakhstan (3:0 and 1:0). In November, they struggled against Norway (1:4) and Austria (1:1), managing a combined 2.25 xG over those two games. It is clear that Slovenia will not benefit from an open style of play in such a crucial match. Their 4-4-2 formation, featuring the striking duo of Benjamin Šeško and Zan Vipotnik, is effective mainly in counter-attacking situations.

Slovakia welcomes back Milan Škriniar, who, alongside Denis Vavro, will be tasked with neutralising Slovenia’s main attacking threat, Šeško. Since October 2016, these teams have met four times, and only once have they produced over 2.5 goals. Given this trend, another low-scoring encounter is expected.