Odds overview
Villarreal are clear favourites: the home win is available at 1.50, while the draw is quoted at 4.60 and the away win at 6.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. Villarreal (-1) at 1.80 is quoted slightly shorter than Deportivo (+1) at 2.00.
Why Villarreal are favourites for the match
A Villarreal win is quoted at 1.50, the draw at 4.60 and a Deportivo win at 6.20. The arguments in favour of this assessment are:
- Villarreal win regularly at home — they have won 8 of their last 10 matches on their own ground.
- Villarreal effectively contain opponents' attacks at home — in 8 of their last 10 matches, their opponents have had no more than 13 shots. This means Deportivo, who already shoot infrequently away from home, will be even more limited in attack.
- Villarreal are among the league's top three teams for expected goals (average xG of 1.98), while Deportivo allow an average of six shots on target per match — one of the worst records in the league.
Form and Line-up Villarreal
Villarreal have made a difficult start to the 2026/27 season: they have taken two points from their opening three La Liga matches, drawing 2:2 twice (against Racing and Atletico) and losing to Alaves (0:1), despite dominating throughout. All three matches, however, were away from home. Returning to their own stadium should give the hosts more confidence, as the Yellow Submarine have won 8 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
Key numbers:
Villarreal are unbeaten in their last 4 matches against Deportivo.
Both teams to score - Yes has landed in 5 of the last matches.
More than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 5 of the previous 6 meetings.
Probable Villarreal line-up (4-4-2): Luiz Junior — Santiago Mourino, Juan Foyth, Renato Veiga, Carlos Romero — Nicolas Pepe, Santi Comesana, Pape Gueye, Tajon Buchanan — Gerard Moreno, Georges Mikautadze.
Absentees: Willy Kambwala (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo have made a better start to the new season: one win and two draws, with an aggregate score of 5:3, have earned them five points and eighth place ahead of Matchday 4. However, the club from La Coruna have struggled away from home. The visitors have conceded at least one goal in seven of their previous nine matches.
Key numbers:
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of the last 6 meetings.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of the previous 10 matches.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in 9 of the last 10 matches.
Probable Deportivo La Coruna line-up (4-4-2): Leo Roman — Ximo Navarro, Lucas Noubi, Bright Ede, Giacomo Quagliata — Luismi Cruz, Mario Soriano, Lorenzo Amatucci, Ricky Rodriguez — Bil Nsongo, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Absentees: Adria Altimira (suspended). Noe Carrillo, Adama Traore (both injured).
Team chances
The home win at 1.50 corresponds to fair odds of 1.57 and a 63.8% probability. The draw is offered at 4.60, with fair odds of 4.81 and a probability of 20.8%, while the away win is quoted at 6.20, with fair odds of 6.48 and a 15.4% probability.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Villarreal win | 1.50 | 1.57 | 63.8% |
Draw | 4.60 | 4.81 | 20.8% |
Deportivo La Coruna win | 6.20 | 6.48 | 15.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is quoted shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10, indicating greater interest in a high-scoring scenario. At the 3.5 line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.42 is clearly favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.65.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Villarreal (-1.5) at 2.30 is quoted higher than Deportivo (+1.5) at 1.58. At the -1 line, Villarreal (-1) at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Deportivo (+1) at 2.00. With a zero handicap, Villarreal Draw No Bet at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Deportivo Draw No Bet at 4.20.
Home team | Handicap | Away team |
2.30 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.58 |
1.80 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 2.00 |
1.17 | 0 | 4.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.85 is quoted slightly shorter than Both teams to score - No at 1.90. The market rates an exchange of goals and a scenario in which at least one team fails to score almost equally.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.85 |
No | 1.90 |
Double-chance prediction
1X at 1.12 is the most likely double-chance option, while 12 is offered at 1.20. X2 at 2.60 is considered considerably less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.12 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
Team total prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Villarreal — 2 goals, Deportivo La Coruna — 0.5 goals.
Villarreal team total
Villarreal team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.06 is strongly favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 6.90. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 goals is available at 1.57 versus 2.35 for Under 1.5 goals; at the 2 line, Under 2 goals is quoted at 1.73 and Over 2 goals at 2.05. At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.40 is quoted shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.90 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
2.35 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
1.73 | 2 | 2.05 |
1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Deportivo La Coruna team total
Deportivo La Coruna team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.67 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.13. At the 1 line, Under 1 goal at 1.45 is clearly favoured over Over 1 goal at 2.65, while at the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.23 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.75.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.13 | 0.5 | 1.67 |
1.45 | 1 | 2.65 |
1.23 | 1.5 | 3.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jesus Gil (Spain)
Matches — 22 (La Liga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with red cards — 6 of 22;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 22.
