Wales vs Kazakhstan: betting odds 22 Mar 2025

The Matchday 1 fixture of the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers between Wales and Kazakhstan will take place on March 22 at the Cardiff City Stadium. Wales vs. Kazakhstan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Wales

In the last qualifiers, the team achieved their main goal by qualifying for the World Cup in Qatar. Wales finished second in their qualifying group, trailing only Belgium, and then defeated Austria (2-1) and Ukraine (1-0) in the playoffs. However, in the final tournament, the team struggled, earning just one point and finishing last in their group. Notably, Wales is currently on a nine-match unbeaten run in World Cup qualifiers (6 wins, 3 draws).

  • The team has not lost in their last six home World Cup qualifiers (4 wins, 2 draws).
  • No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of the last 10 home qualifiers for Wales.
  • Wales have conceded no more than one goal in their last 12 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Wales (3-4-3)

Daniel Ward – Ben Cabango, Joe Rodon, Ben Davies – Daniel James, Jordan James, Josh Sheehan, Neco Williams – Mark Harris, Liam Cullen, Brennan Johnson.

Midfielder Aaron Ramsey has not been called up due to injury.

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan has struggled in World Cup qualifiers. In the last qualification campaign, the team managed to earn only three points with a goal difference of 5:20, finishing last in their group. Furthermore, they ended the campaign with three consecutive losses without scoring, including a record 0-8 defeat in France in the final match.

  • The team has not won in their last 15 away World Cup qualifiers (3 draws, 12 losses).
  • Kazakhstan conceded at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 away qualifiers.
  • Kazakhstan scored no more than one goal in 14 of their last 15 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Kazakhstan (5-4-1)

Stas Pokatilov – Sultanbek Astanov, Marat Bystrov, Nuraly Alip, Erkin Tapalov, Yan Vorogovsky – Maxim Samorodov, Askhat Tagybergen, Islam Chesnokov, Aybar Zhaksylykov – Abat Aymbetov.

Midfielder Baktiyor Zainutdinov will miss the match due to injury. Note that Stanislav Cherchesov has left his position as head coach, and Ali Aliyev is temporarily in charge.

Referee

Donatas Rumšas (Lithuania)

Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties – 20%.

Match Prediction: Wales vs. Kazakhstan

Home support often helps Wales achieve their goals, though the team is not known for high-scoring performances. They typically limit themselves to one goal: in 8 of their last 10 home World Cup qualifiers, Wales did not score more than once. At the same time, Wales is solid defensively, conceding no more than one goal in their last 12 home qualifiers.

Kazakhstan often struggles on the road and rarely secures positive results. The team has issues in attack, scoring more than once only once in their last 15 away games, and failing to score in eight of those matches.

I expect a low-scoring match, so my prediction: Total under 3

Betting tips 22 Mar 2025

Wales return to action riding the momentum of their promotion to the Nations League A, while Kazakhstan arrive in Cardiff after a disastrous campaign in League B. Though Kazakh interim boss Ali Aliyev made a solid impression with a 2:0 win over Curaçao, this clash in Cardiff will be a much sterner test.

Following their failure to qualify for Euro 2024, Wales have entered a period of transition, with long-time stars Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey stepping away from international football. Under Craig Bellamy, Wales have adopted a 3-4-3 setup focused on counter-attacking football. With Dan James and Neco Williams providing width and defensive cover, the team conceded the fewest goals (4) in a Nations League group that included Montenegro, Turkey, and Iceland, and won three matches to top the table.

Kazakhstan, on the other hand, are still recovering from a disastrous spell under Stanislav Cherchesov, which saw the team go winless in the Nations League, suffering five defeats and scoring no goals in a group with Norway, Austria, and Slovenia. Ali Aliyev’s immediate goal isn’t to turn Kazakhstan into an attacking powerhouse—it’s about restoring structure and solidity. 

In what will be the first-ever meeting between these two sides, the initiative will rest with Wales. However, with both teams prioritising defensive stability and Kazakhstan aiming to avoid a heavy defeat, a low-scoring affair seems likely.

Betting prediction
Total Under 3
Cf
Odds
43/50
Bet now

Wales vs Kazakhstan Odds

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TOTAL HOME GOALS
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World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Wales
The team hasn't played a game yet this season
Kazakhstan
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group J
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
North Macedonia
  -:- -:- -:- -:- 1 1 0 0
3:0
3
2
Belgium
-:-   -:- -:- -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
3
Kazakhstan
-:- -:-   -:- -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
4
Wales
-:- -:- 3:1   -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
5
Liechtenstein
0:3 -:- -:- -:-   1 0 0 1
0:3
0

Team lineups

Wales

C. Bellamy
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Karl Darlow
gk. 0 0
Ben Davies
df. 0 0
Connor Richard John Roberts
df. 0 0
Joseph Peter Rodon
df. 0 0
Neco Shay Williams
df. 0 0
Benjamin Sorba William Thomas
mf. 0 0
Daniel Owen James
mf. 0 0
David Brooks
mf. 0 0
Joshua Luke Sheehan
mf. 0 0
Brennan Price Johnson
fw. 0 0
Liam Jamie Cullen
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Adam Rhys Davies
gk. 0 0
Danny Ward
gk. 0 0
Benjamin George Cabango
df. 0 0
Christopher James Mepham
df. 0 0
Jay Rhys Dasilva
df. 0 0
Jordan Anthony James
mf. 0 0
Joseph Michael Allen
mf. 0 0
Kieffer Roberto Francisco Moore
fw. 0 0
Mark Thomas Harris
fw. 0 0
Nathan Broadhead
fw. 0 0
Rabbi Matondo
fw. 0 0
Tom Lawrence
fw. 0 0
Kazakhstan

A. Aliyev
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Aleksandr Zarutskiy
gk. 0 0
Alexander Marochkin
df. 0 0
Marat Bystrov
df. 0 0
Nuraly Alip
df. 0 0
Yan Vorogovskiy
df. 0 0
Yerkin Topalov
df. 0 0
Ashat Tagybergen
mf. 0 0
Islam Chesnokov
mf. 0 0
Serikzhan Muzhikov
mf. 0 0
Aibar Zhaksylykov
fw. 0 0
Maksim Samorodov
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Mohammedjan Seisen
gk. 0 0
Stas Pokatilov
gk. 0 0
Adilbek Zhumakhanov
df. 0 0
Ular Zhaksybayev
df. 0 0
Galymzhan Kenzhebek
mf. 0 0
Georgy Zhukov
mf. 0 0
Nauryzbek Zhagorov
mf. 0 0
Ramazan Orazov
mf. 0 0
Sultanbek Astanov
mf. 0 0
Abat Aymbetov
fw. 0 0
Aliyar Mukhamed
fw. 0 0
Dastan Satpaev
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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