The Matchday 1 fixture of the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers between Wales and Kazakhstan will take place on March 22 at the Cardiff City Stadium. Wales vs. Kazakhstan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Wales
In the last qualifiers, the team achieved their main goal by qualifying for the World Cup in Qatar. Wales finished second in their qualifying group, trailing only Belgium, and then defeated Austria (2-1) and Ukraine (1-0) in the playoffs. However, in the final tournament, the team struggled, earning just one point and finishing last in their group. Notably, Wales is currently on a nine-match unbeaten run in World Cup qualifiers (6 wins, 3 draws).
- The team has not lost in their last six home World Cup qualifiers (4 wins, 2 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of the last 10 home qualifiers for Wales.
- Wales have conceded no more than one goal in their last 12 home World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for Wales (3-4-3)
Daniel Ward – Ben Cabango, Joe Rodon, Ben Davies – Daniel James, Jordan James, Josh Sheehan, Neco Williams – Mark Harris, Liam Cullen, Brennan Johnson.
Midfielder Aaron Ramsey has not been called up due to injury.
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan has struggled in World Cup qualifiers. In the last qualification campaign, the team managed to earn only three points with a goal difference of 5:20, finishing last in their group. Furthermore, they ended the campaign with three consecutive losses without scoring, including a record 0-8 defeat in France in the final match.
- The team has not won in their last 15 away World Cup qualifiers (3 draws, 12 losses).
- Kazakhstan conceded at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 away qualifiers.
- Kazakhstan scored no more than one goal in 14 of their last 15 away World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for Kazakhstan (5-4-1)
Stas Pokatilov – Sultanbek Astanov, Marat Bystrov, Nuraly Alip, Erkin Tapalov, Yan Vorogovsky – Maxim Samorodov, Askhat Tagybergen, Islam Chesnokov, Aybar Zhaksylykov – Abat Aymbetov.
Midfielder Baktiyor Zainutdinov will miss the match due to injury. Note that Stanislav Cherchesov has left his position as head coach, and Ali Aliyev is temporarily in charge.
Referee
Donatas Rumšas (Lithuania)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction: Wales vs. Kazakhstan
Home support often helps Wales achieve their goals, though the team is not known for high-scoring performances. They typically limit themselves to one goal: in 8 of their last 10 home World Cup qualifiers, Wales did not score more than once. At the same time, Wales is solid defensively, conceding no more than one goal in their last 12 home qualifiers.
Kazakhstan often struggles on the road and rarely secures positive results. The team has issues in attack, scoring more than once only once in their last 15 away games, and failing to score in eight of those matches.
I expect a low-scoring match, so my prediction: Total under 3