Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Paris Masters match.
Holger Rune, the former champion of this tournament in 2022, is determined to claim the title once more. Playing on indoor courts has long been one of his strengths, and this match represents a chance to advance towards the coveted trophy. Alex de Minaur, too, is gearing up for a crucial match, as reaching the semi-finals at this level could help him finish the season in the top 10.
Holger Rune
Rune shows remarkable results on indoor courts, with an impressive record of winning 48 out of 67 matches, which speaks to his confidence and effectiveness in indoor environments. In his last match against Arthur Cazaux, he overcame early challenges and executed a strong comeback after the first set (3:6, 6:3, 6:4). Furthermore, Rune has won 12 out of his last 13 matches in Paris over the past three years, highlighting his comfort and high motivation at this event. The French Masters remains a special tournament for him where he feels right at home.
Alex de Minaur
De Minaur is renowned for his speed and steady baseline play. The Australian played a solid match against Britain's Jack Draper (5:7, 6:2, 6:3), capitalising on his opponent's fatigue and improving his serve statistics by winning 68% of service points. However, De Minaur is less consistent indoors, where his cautious style sometimes falters against aggressive opponents. The head-to-head record also shows that he struggles more on indoor hard courts against Rune's powerful shots (0:2, 1:2).
Holger Rune vs Alex de Minaur Prediction
Given the head-to-head statistics, Rune's mindset, and his success on indoor courts, the Dane is the favourite in this encounter. He tends to be the stronger player indoors, and in Paris, he feels especially confident, making a bet on Rune to win very appealing.
