Odds overview
Arsenal are clear favourites: an Arsenal win is available at 1.37, a draw at 5.10 and a Leeds United win at 8.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals — 1.80 against 2.00 — suggesting a higher-scoring match is slightly more likely. On the handicap, Leeds United (+1.5) at 1.75 looks more likely than Arsenal (-1.5) at 2.10.
Why Arsenal are favourites
Bookmakers make Arsenal clear favourites: the London club are available at 1.37 to win, with a draw at 5.10 and a Leeds United win at 8.00.
• Arsenal are second in the Premier League, behind only Manchester City. They are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 league matches and have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game this season.
• Leeds United regularly concede the initiative away from home: their opponents have had more shots in 9 of Leeds' last 10 away league matches.
• Leeds United have failed to win 8 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Form and Line-up Arsenal
In recent away matches, Arsenal beat Sunderland (2:0) but lost to Brighton & Hove Albion (0:3). Defeat to Brighton dropped Arsenal to second in the table. At home, however, Mikel Arteta's side defend tightly: in their last 10 Premier League matches at the Emirates Stadium, opponents have managed no more than five shots on target and 13 shots in total per match.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of Arsenal's last 10 Premier League matches
- Fewer than 12 corners have been taken in each of Arsenal's last 10 Premier League matches
- Arsenal have received fewer than three yellow cards in each of their last 10 home Premier League matches
Probable Arsenal line-up (4-2-3-1): David Raya, Jurriën Timber, Riccardo Calafiori, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Gabriel Magalhães, Piero Hincapié, Bukayo Saka, Bruno Guimaraes, Martin Ødegaard, Ebere Eze, Viktor Gyökeres
Absentees: William Saliba, Christos Tzolis (injured); Ezri Konsa, Max Dowman, Kai Havertz, Cristhian Mosquera, Ben White, Declan Rice (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Leeds United
Leeds United drew with Crystal Palace (0:0) in the previous round. That result dropped them from third to fifth, but Daniel Farke's side remain unbeaten in the league, with two wins and three draws.
The Whites have proved hard to beat away from home in the Premier League, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches. Their attacking output on the road has been modest, though — they have managed fewer than six shots on target in 9 of those 10 matches.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in 8 of Leeds United's last 10 Premier League away matches
- Leeds United have taken fewer than five corners in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches
- Leeds United have committed more than 10 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Premier League away matches
Probable Leeds United line-up (3-4-2-1): James Trafford, Jayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson, James Justin, Tarik Muharemović, Nico Elvedi, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Anton Stach, Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Absentees: Joe Rodon, Mateo Joseph, Harry Wilson (injured); Jean-Mattéo Bahoya (doubtful)
Teams' chances
An Arsenal win is available at 1.37, with fair odds of 1.44 and a 69.5% probability. A draw is quoted at 5.10, with fair odds of 5.36 and an 18.7% probability; the corresponding figures for a Leeds United win are 8.00, 8.41 and 11.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal win | 1.37 | 1.44 | 69.5% |
| Draw | 5.10 | 5.36 | 18.7% |
| Leeds United win | 8.00 | 8.41 | 11.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.80. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is clearly favoured at 1.40, against 2.75 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
Arsenal (-1.5) are quoted at 2.10, while Leeds United (+1.5) are at 1.75. On the one-goal handicap, Arsenal (-1) are available at 1.57 and Leeds United (+1) at 2.35. For a zero handicap, Arsenal (0) are offered at 1.10 and Leeds United (0) at 5.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.75 | |
| 1.57 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.35 | |
| 1.10 | 0 | 5.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No has shorter odds at 1.70 than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.10, meaning the market slightly favours at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.10 |
| No | 1.70 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Arsenal — 2 goals; Leeds United — 0.5 goals.
Arsenal team goals
Arsenal team goals: Under 0.5 at 7.10, Over 0.5 at 1.05; Under 1.5 at 2.40, Over 1.5 at 1.53. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.80 and Over 2 at 1.95; at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 is 1.48 against 2.55 for Over 2.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.10 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.40 | 1.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.80 | 2 | 1.95 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Leeds United team goals
Leeds United team goals: at the 0.5-goal line, Under 0.5 is available at 1.85 and Over 0.5 at 1.90. Under 1 is quoted at 1.25 against 3.55 for Over 1, while Under 1.5 is 1.13 against 4.90 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 0.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 3.55 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 4.90 |
