The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Arsenal (England) and PSV (Netherlands) will take place on March 12 at the Emirates Stadium in London. The score of the first match was 7-1 in favor of Arsenal. Arsenal vs. PSV: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Arsenal
The Gunners effectively settled the outcome of this tie in the first leg. Winning 7-1, the London club became the first team in Champions League history to score such a number of goals in an away playoff match. Additionally, Mikel Arteta's side extended their winning streak in this tournament to five matches. Unless a major upset occurs in the return leg, Arsenal will advance to the quarter-finals of this European competition, just like last season.
- At least three goals have been scored in each of the last five matches involving the English side in this tournament.
- At least one team failed to score in 7 of Arsenal's last 10 games in the Champions League.
- The club opened the scoring in 6 of their last 8 matches in this European competition.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhães, William Saliba, Jurrien Timber – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Mikel Merino, Ethan Nwaneri, Leandro Trossard.
Forwards Gabriel Martinelli, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus, and Bukayo Saka, as well as defender Takehiro Tomiyasu, will miss out due to injuries.
PSV
Peter Bosz's side performed well in the group stage, overcoming a strong Juventus in the previous round, but faltered in the Round of 16, losing 1-7 at home. This defeat marked the heaviest loss in the club's European history. To at least take the tie into extra time, PSV must create a sensation by beating the Londoners on their own turf with a six-goal margin.
- Both teams scored in regular time in the last five matches involving the Dutch side in this tournament.
- At least three goals were scored in 90 minutes in 7 of PSV's last 8 Champions League games.
- The Dutch team has not won in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this European competition (3 draws and 5 losses).
Predicted lineup for PSV (4-3-3)
Walter Benítez – Olivier Boscagli, Richard Ledezma, Ryan Flamingo, Tyrell Malacia – Jerdy Schouten, Guus Til, Ismael Saibari – Ivan Perisic, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Defender Sergiño Dest, midfielder Malik Tillman, and forward Ricardo Pepi will not play due to injuries.
Match Prediction: Arsenal vs. PSV
Recall that the English side is dealing with injuries to key attacking players. In the first leg, playing without traditional forwards, the Londoners managed to score seven goals. This highlights Arsenal's potential, with bench players seamlessly fitting into Mikel Arteta's system. It is highly likely that the return leg will also be high-scoring, as the Dutch team has no reason to sit back in defense and should play an open game against the Gunners.
I expect three or more goals in this encounter. In their last five Champions League matches, Arsenal scored at least three goals four times and twice in another match. The visitors are also likely to score, as the Londoners might field a second-string team, providing opportunities for PSV's forwards. The Dutch side has been consistently scoring in European competitions and the Eredivisie. In their last 11 matches in this tournament, PSV failed to score only once.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
